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Liga MX · Apertura - 3 August 01, 2026 03:00 Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Puebla
#14 · 16 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Guadalajara Chivas
#3 · 26 pts
E. Mustre 26'
63' (ast. E. Alvarez) R. Alvarado
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 40% win probability (draw 30%, Puebla 29%). The final result was Puebla 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. In 2 previous meetings, Puebla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Guadalajara Chivas.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
22
3
Shots on target
8
0.59
Actual xG
1.86
7
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
1
Corners
7
12
Tackles
13
Match Events
⚽E. Mustre
26'
63'
E. Alvarez / F. Gonzalez ↕
63'
O. Govea / J. Carrillo ↕
63'
ast. E. Alvarez · R. Alvarado⚽
↕ E. Mustre / L. Hernandez
71'
71'
A. Sepulveda / A. Gonzalez ↕
↕ C. Baltazar / M. Tomas
71'
77'
K. Castaneda / B. Gutierrez ↕
77'
R. Marin / R. Ledezma ↕
↕ A. Organista / O. Villa
79'
↕ E. Gomez / O. F. Moreno Villegas
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
29.61%
Puebla
30.34%
X ←
40.05%
Guadalajara
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Puebla
0.85
0.59
-0.26
Guadalajara
1.65
1.86
+0.21
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.86 vs 0.59). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club America Club America 13 27
2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 14 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 14 26
4 Atlas Atlas 14 24
5 Toluca Toluca 14 23
6 Leon Leon 14 22
7 Monterrey Monterrey 13 20
8 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 13 20
9 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 13 20
10 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 14 19
11 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 14 19
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14 17
13 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 14 16
14 Puebla Puebla 14 16
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 14 15
16 Atlante FC Atlante FC 14 14
17 Necaxa Necaxa 14 10
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 14 5
Lineups
Puebla Puebla 4-2-3-1
28 R. Gutiérrez R. Gutiérrez G 8.30
7 F. Monárrez F. Monárrez D 6.70
4 J. Vargas J. Vargas D 7.30
5 F. Almada F. Almada D 6.60
12 I. Moreno I. Moreno D 6.90
21 S. Sanabria S. Sanabria M 6.00
24 A. Organista A. Organista 79' M 6.60
11 E. Gómez E. Gómez 89' M 6.90
22 C. Baltazar C. Baltazar 71' M 6.90
26 K. Velasco K. Velasco M 7.20
29 E. Mustre E. Mustre 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.30
Bench
3 A. Herrera A. Herrera M
2 Á. Leyva Á. Leyva D
16 A. Ramírez A. Ramírez M
27 B. Garnica B. Garnica F
33 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez G
9 L. Hernández L. Hernández 19' F 6.60
34 Lucas Camilo Lucas Camilo M
10 M. Tomás M. Tomás 19' M 6.90
8 O. Moreno O. Moreno 1' F
15 Ó. Villa Ó. Villa 11' D 6.30
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2
1 J. Rangel J. Rangel G 6.50
2 J. Castillo J. Castillo D 7.20
7 L. Romo L. Romo D 7.30
23 D. Aguirre D. Aguirre D 7.00
28 R. González R. González 63' M 6.90
5 B. González B. González M 7.20
33 J. Carrillo J. Carrillo 63' M 7.50
11 B. Gutiérrez B. Gutiérrez 77' M 7.20
37 R. Ledezma R. Ledezma 77' M 7.30
34 A. González A. González 71' F 6.50
25 R. Alvarado R. Alvarado 1 ⚽ F 8.70
Bench
9 Á. Sepúlveda Á. Sepúlveda 19' F 6.60
3 D. Campillo D. Campillo D
10 E. Álvarez E. Álvarez 1 👟 27' F 7.20
18 J. Pérez J. Pérez M
19 K. Castañeda K. Castañeda 13' M 6.90
16 L. Rey L. Rey D
24 M. Gómez M. Gómez D
6 O. Govea O. Govea 27' M 6.90
13 Óscar Whalley Óscar Whalley G
17 R. Marín R. Marín 13' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
R. Alvarado
R. Alvarado
F · Guadalajara
8.70
1 ⚽
4 shots · 65 pass
R. Gutiérrez
R. Gutiérrez
G · Puebla
8.30
· 35 pass
J. Carrillo
J. Carrillo
M · Guadalajara
7.50
2 shots · 47 pass
J. Vargas
J. Vargas
D · Puebla
7.30
· 32 pass
R. Ledezma
R. Ledezma
M · Guadalajara
7.30
1 shots · 52 pass
E. Mustre
E. Mustre
F · Puebla
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Puebla Puebla — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Gutiérrez G 90 8.30 — — — 35 18% — — —
F. Monárrez D 90 6.70 — — 1 32 28% 2 — —
J. Vargas D 90 7.30 — — — 32 27% 2 — —
F. Almada D 90 6.60 — — 1 38 30% — — —
I. Moreno D 90 6.90 — — — 35 31% — — —
S. Sanabria M 90 6.00 — — — 30 22% 4 — —
A. Organista M 79 6.60 — — — 38 37% — — —
E. Gómez M 89 6.90 — — — 20 18% — — —
C. Baltazar M 71 6.90 — — — 20 18% 1 — —
K. Velasco M 90 7.20 — — 2 36 32% 1 — —
E. Mustre F 71 7.30 1 — 1 17 10% 1 — —
L. Hernández F 19 6.60 — — — 5 4% — — —
M. Tomás M 19 6.90 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
O. Moreno F 1 — — — 1 — — — — —
Ó. Villa D 11 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Rangel G 90 6.50 — — — 27 26% — — —
J. Castillo D 90 7.20 — — — 61 56% 2 — —
L. Romo D 90 7.30 — — — 84 77% 3 — —
D. Aguirre D 90 7.00 — — 2 78 69% — — —
R. González M 63 6.90 — — 2 64 58% — — —
B. González M 90 7.20 — — 2 47 41% 2 — —
J. Carrillo M 63 7.50 — — 2 47 42% — — —
B. Gutiérrez M 77 7.20 — — 1 48 43% 3 — —
R. Ledezma M 77 7.30 — — 1 52 45% — — —
A. González F 71 6.50 — — 4 13 10% — — —
R. Alvarado F 90 8.70 1 — 4 65 59% 1 — —
Á. Sepúlveda F 19 6.60 — — 1 3 3% 1 — —
E. Álvarez F 27 7.20 — 1 1 18 14% — — —
K. Castañeda M 13 6.90 — — — 12 11% — — —
O. Govea M 27 6.90 — — 1 23 20% 1 — —
R. Marín F 13 6.60 — — 1 2 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The final score was Puebla 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas.
What did the model predict before Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Puebla win, 30% to a draw, and 40% to an Guadalajara Chivas win.