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Liga MX · Apertura - 3 August 01, 2026 03:00 Estadio Cuauhtemoc, Puebla
Puebla
#7 · 13 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Guadalajara Chivas
#2 · 14 pts
E. Mustre 26'
63' (ast. E. Alvarez) R. Alvarado
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Guadalajara Chivas a 40% win probability (draw 30%, Puebla 29%). The final result was Puebla 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. In 2 previous meetings, Puebla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Guadalajara Chivas.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
22
3
Shots on target
8
0.59
Actual xG
1.86
7
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
1
Corners
7
12
Tackles
13
Match Events
⚽E. Mustre
26'
63'
E. Alvarez / F. Gonzalez ↕
63'
O. Govea / J. Carrillo ↕
63'
ast. E. Alvarez · R. Alvarado⚽
↕ E. Mustre / L. Hernandez
71'
71'
A. Sepulveda / A. Gonzalez ↕
↕ C. Baltazar / M. Tomas
71'
77'
K. Castaneda / B. Gutierrez ↕
77'
R. Marin / R. Ledezma ↕
↕ A. Organista / O. Villa
79'
↕ E. Gomez / O. F. Moreno Villegas
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
29.61%
Puebla
30.34%
X ←
40.05%
Guadalajara
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Puebla
0.85
0.59
-0.26
Guadalajara
1.65
1.86
+0.21
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (1.86 vs 0.59). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club America Club America 6 16
2 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 7 14
3 Toluca Toluca 6 13
4 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 7 13
5 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 7 13
6 Atlas Atlas 7 13
7 Puebla Puebla 7 13
8 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 7 12
9 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 8 11
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 7 11
11 Leon Leon 7 10
12 Monterrey Monterrey 6 9
13 Necaxa Necaxa 8 8
14 Atlante FC Atlante FC 8 7
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 7 6
16 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 7 6
17 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 7 1
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 7 0
Lineups
Puebla Puebla 4-2-3-1
28 R. Gutiérrez R. Gutiérrez G 8.30
7 F. Monárrez F. Monárrez D 6.70
4 J. Vargas J. Vargas D 7.30
5 F. Almada F. Almada D 6.60
12 I. Moreno I. Moreno D 6.90
21 S. Sanabria S. Sanabria M 6.00
24 A. Organista A. Organista 79' M 6.60
11 E. Gómez E. Gómez 89' M 6.90
22 C. Baltazar C. Baltazar 71' M 6.90
26 K. Velasco K. Velasco M 7.20
29 E. Mustre E. Mustre 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.30
Bench
3 A. Herrera A. Herrera M
2 Á. Leyva Á. Leyva D
16 A. Ramírez A. Ramírez M
27 B. Garnica B. Garnica F
33 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez G
34 Lucas Camilo Lucas Camilo M
9 Luifer Hernández Luifer Hernández 19' F 6.60
10 M. Tomás M. Tomás 19' M 6.90
8 O. Moreno O. Moreno 1' F
15 Ó. Villa Ó. Villa 11' D 6.30
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2
1 J. Rangel J. Rangel G 6.50
2 José Castillo José Castillo D 7.20
7 L. Romo L. Romo D 7.30
23 D. Aguirre D. Aguirre D 7.00
28 R. González R. González 63' M 6.90
5 Bryan González Bryan González M 7.20
33 J. Carrillo J. Carrillo 63' M 7.50
11 B. Gutiérrez B. Gutiérrez 77' M 7.20
37 R. Ledezma R. Ledezma 77' M 7.30
34 A. González A. González 71' F 6.50
25 R. Alvarado R. Alvarado 1 ⚽ F 8.70
Bench
9 Á. Sepúlveda Á. Sepúlveda 19' F 6.60
3 D. Campillo D. Campillo D
10 E. Álvarez E. Álvarez 1 👟 27' F 7.20
18 J. Pérez J. Pérez M
19 K. Castañeda K. Castañeda 13' M 6.90
16 Luis Gabriel Rey Luis Gabriel Rey D
24 Miguel Gómez Miguel Gómez D
6 O. Govea O. Govea 27' M 6.90
13 Óscar Whalley Óscar Whalley G
17 R. Marín R. Marín 13' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
R. Alvarado
R. Alvarado
F · Guadalajara
8.70
1 ⚽
4 shots · 65 pass
R. Gutiérrez
R. Gutiérrez
G · Puebla
8.30
· 35 pass
J. Carrillo
J. Carrillo
M · Guadalajara
7.50
2 shots · 47 pass
J. Vargas
J. Vargas
D · Puebla
7.30
· 32 pass
R. Ledezma
R. Ledezma
M · Guadalajara
7.30
1 shots · 52 pass
E. Mustre
E. Mustre
F · Puebla
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Puebla Puebla — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Gutiérrez G 90 8.30 — — — 35 18% — — —
F. Monárrez D 90 6.70 — — 1 32 28% 2 — —
J. Vargas D 90 7.30 — — — 32 27% 2 — —
F. Almada D 90 6.60 — — 1 38 30% — — —
I. Moreno D 90 6.90 — — — 35 31% — — —
S. Sanabria M 90 6.00 — — — 30 22% 4 — —
A. Organista M 79 6.60 — — — 38 37% — — —
E. Gómez M 89 6.90 — — — 20 18% — — —
C. Baltazar M 71 6.90 — — — 20 18% 1 — —
K. Velasco M 90 7.20 — — 2 36 32% 1 — —
E. Mustre F 71 7.30 1 — 1 17 10% 1 — —
Luifer Hernández F 19 6.60 — — — 5 4% — — —
M. Tomás M 19 6.90 — — — 12 9% 1 — —
O. Moreno F 1 — — — 1 — — — — —
Ó. Villa D 11 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Rangel G 90 6.50 — — — 27 26% — — —
José Castillo D 90 7.20 — — — 61 56% 2 — —
L. Romo D 90 7.30 — — — 84 77% 3 — —
D. Aguirre D 90 7.00 — — 2 78 69% — — —
R. González M 63 6.90 — — 2 64 58% — — —
Bryan González M 90 7.20 — — 2 47 41% 2 — —
J. Carrillo M 63 7.50 — — 2 47 42% — — —
B. Gutiérrez M 77 7.20 — — 1 48 43% 3 — —
R. Ledezma M 77 7.30 — — 1 52 45% — — —
A. González F 71 6.50 — — 4 13 10% — — —
R. Alvarado F 90 8.70 1 — 4 65 59% 1 — —
Á. Sepúlveda F 19 6.60 — — 1 3 3% 1 — —
E. Álvarez F 27 7.20 — 1 1 18 14% — — —
K. Castañeda M 13 6.90 — — — 12 11% — — —
O. Govea M 27 6.90 — — 1 23 20% 1 — —
R. Marín F 13 6.60 — — 1 2 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The final score was Puebla 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas.
What did the model predict before Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Puebla win, 30% to a draw, and 40% to an Guadalajara Chivas win.