Facundo Almada
(ast. Juan Pablo Vargas)
66'
17'
(ast. Lucas Ocampos)
Diego Rossi
31'
Hugo Cuypers
34'
(ast. Óliver Torres)
Lucas Ocampos
61'
(ast. Óliver Torres)
Roberto de la Rosa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Puebla 27%). The final result was Puebla 1–4 Monterrey. In 2 previous meetings, Puebla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Monterrey.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
6
1.19
Actual xG
1.46
2
Saves
2
40%
Possession
60%
2
Corners
8
15
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
ast. Lucas Ocampos ·
Diego Rossi⚽
31'
Hugo Cuypers⚽
34'
ast. Óliver Torres ·
Lucas Ocampos⚽
Heriberto Jurado
/ Omar Moreno
45'
45'
Daniel Aceves
/
Carlos Salcedo
Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges
/ Eduardo Armenta
45'
Eduardo Mustre
/ L. Hernández
56'
57'
Lucas Orellano
/
Hugo Cuypers
57'
Roberto de la Rosa
/
Orbelín Pineda
58'
Iker Fimbres
/
Diego Rossi
61'
ast. Óliver Torres ·
Roberto de la Rosa⚽
Alonso Ramirez
/ Ignacio Maestro
65'
⚽Facundo Almada
· ast. Juan Pablo Vargas
66'
76'
Jesús Corona
/
Lucas Ocampos
Iker Moreno
/ José Pachuca
79'
90'+1
Ricardo Chávez
90'
Lucas Orellano
Pre-match prediction
27.92%
Puebla
28.46%
X
43.62%
Monterrey ←
we assigned to the actual result (Monterrey)
43.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
1.19
+0.13
1.47
1.46
-0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 1.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
28
R. Gutiérrez
G
R. Gutiérrez
G
7
F. Monárrez
D
F. Monárrez
D
4
J. Vargas
1 👟
D
J. Vargas
1 👟
D
5
F. Almada
1 ⚽
D
F. Almada
1 ⚽
D
12
I. Moreno
79'
D
I. Moreno
79'
D
16
A. Ramírez
65'
M
A. Ramírez
65'
M
24
A. Organista
M
A. Organista
M
25
H. Jurado
45'
M
H. Jurado
45'
M
10
M. Tomás
45'
M
M. Tomás
45'
M
27
B. Garnica
M
B. Garnica
M
29
E. Mustre
56'
F
E. Mustre
56'
F
Bench
3
A. Herrera
M
A. Herrera
M
14
E. Armenta
45'
M
E. Armenta
45'
M
19
I. Maestro Puch
25'
F
I. Maestro Puch
25'
F
6
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
20
J. Pachuca
11'
D
J. Pachuca
11'
D
33
J. Rodríguez
G
J. Rodríguez
G
9
L. Hernández
34'
F
L. Hernández
34'
F
8
O. Moreno
45'
F
O. Moreno
45'
F
15
Ó. Villa
D
Ó. Villa
D
1
E. Andrada
G
E. Andrada
G
3
G. Arteaga
D
G. Arteaga
D
13
C. Salcedo
45'
D
C. Salcedo
45'
D
4
V. Guzmán
D
V. Guzmán
D
2
R. Chávez
D
R. Chávez
D
25
O. Pineda
57'
M
O. Pineda
57'
M
8
Óliver Torres
2 👟
M
Óliver Torres
2 👟
M
7
L. Ocampos
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
M
L. Ocampos
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
M
9
D. Rossi
1 ⚽
58'
M
D. Rossi
1 ⚽
58'
M
18
Cesar Garza Cantu
M
Cesar Garza Cantu
M
99
H. Cuypers
1 ⚽
57'
F
H. Cuypers
1 ⚽
57'
F
Bench
19
A. Aceves
45'
D
A. Aceves
45'
D
5
F. Ambríz
M
F. Ambríz
M
11
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
32'
M
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
32'
M
17
J. Corona
14'
M
J. Corona
14'
M
30
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
22
L. Cárdenas
G
L. Cárdenas
G
10
L. Orellano
33'
F
L. Orellano
33'
F
21
L. Reyes
D
L. Reyes
D
27
R. de la Rosa
1 ⚽
33'
F
R. de la Rosa
1 ⚽
33'
F
33
S. Medina
D
S. Medina
D
Best on the pitch
Óliver Torres
M · Monterrey
8.60
2 👟
· 67 pass
L. Ocampos
M · Monterrey
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 39 pass
H. Cuypers
F · Monterrey
7.96
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
D. Rossi
M · Monterrey
7.53
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
R. de la Rosa
F · Monterrey
7.29
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
V. Guzmán
D · Monterrey
7.26
2 shots
· 58 pass
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gutiérrez | G | 90 | 5.59 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Monárrez | D | 90 | 5.22 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Vargas | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Almada | D | 90 | 6.54 | 1 | — | 2 | 49 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 79 | 5.59 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ramírez | M | 65 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Organista | M | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Jurado | M | 45 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Tomás | M | 45 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Garnica | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Mustre | F | 56 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Armenta | M | 45 | 6.22 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Maestro Puch | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pachuca | D | 11 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Hernández | F | 34 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Moreno | F | 45 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Andrada | G | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Arteaga | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Salcedo | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Guzmán | D | 90 | 7.26 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Chávez | D | 90 | 7.12 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Pineda | M | 57 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Óliver Torres | M | 90 | 8.60 | — | 2 | 0 | 67 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 76 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rossi | M | 58 | 7.53 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Cesar Garza Cantu | M | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Cuypers | F | 57 | 7.96 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Aceves | D | 45 | 6.88 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa | M | 32 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Corona | M | 14 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Orellano | F | 33 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. de la Rosa | F | 33 | 7.29 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Puebla vs Monterrey?
The final score was Puebla 1–4 Monterrey.
What did the model predict before Puebla vs Monterrey?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Puebla win, 28% to a draw, and 43% to an Monterrey win.