E. Mustre
(ast. C. Baltazar)
9'
E. Mustre
(ast. J. Vargas)
54'
C. Baltazar
(ast. B. Garnica)
62'
(og)
4'
F. Almada
51'
(ast. F. Villalba)
E. Bullaude
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Puebla a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Santos Laguna 30%). The final result was Puebla 3–2 Santos Laguna. In 2 previous meetings, Puebla have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Santos Laguna.
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
2
1.02
Actual xG
0.32
38%
Possession
62%
6
Corners
7
Match Events
4'
(og)
F. Almada⚽
⚽E. Mustre
· ast. C. Baltazar
9'
46'
R. Sordo
/
D. Gonzalez
51'
ast. F. Villalba ·
E. Bullaude⚽
⚽E. Mustre
· ast. J. Vargas
54'
⚽C. Baltazar
· ast. B. Garnica
62'
67'
K. Palacios
/
E. Aguirre
67'
K. Picon
/
E. Echeverria
C. Baltazar
/ O. Villa
74'
80'
J. Mancha
/
A. Lopez
B. Garnica
/ Lucas Camilo
80'
A. Organista
/ S. Sanabria
89'
F. Monarrez
/ J. R. Pachuca Martinez
89'
E. Mustre
/ L. Hernandez
89'
90'+1
K. Picon
Pre-match prediction
38.56%
Puebla ←
30.58%
X
30.86%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Puebla)
38.56%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
1.02
-0.63
1.22
0.32
-0.9
Puebla dominated by xG (1.02 vs 0.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Puebla vs Santos Laguna?
The final score was Puebla 3–2 Santos Laguna.
What did the model predict before Puebla vs Santos Laguna?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Puebla win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Santos Laguna win.