(og)
69'
José Pachuca
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toluca a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Puebla 26%). The final result was Puebla 0–1 Toluca. In 2 previous meetings, Puebla have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Toluca.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
5
17
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
45'
Víctor Guzmán
/
Franco Romero
Ignacio Maestro
57'
59'
Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro
/
Everardo Lopez
59'
Jorge Diaz
/
Jesús Angulo
69'
(og)
José Pachuca⚽
Carlos Baltazar
/ Heriberto Jurado
72'
Brayan Garnica
/ Omar Moreno
75'
77'
Luan Garcia
/
Federico Viñas
Fernando Monarrez
/ Oscar Villa
90'+4
José Pachuca
/ Iker Moreno
90'+4
Alejandro Organista
/ Alberto Herrera
90'+4
90'+6
Oswaldo Virgen
/
João Paulo Dias Fernandes
90'
90'
Bruno Méndez
Pre-match prediction
26.89%
Puebla
28.79%
X
44.32%
Toluca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Toluca)
44.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
—
—
1.66
—
—
Lineups
28
R. Gutiérrez
G
R. Gutiérrez
G
7
F. Monárrez
89'
D
F. Monárrez
89'
D
4
J. Vargas
D
J. Vargas
D
5
F. Almada
D
F. Almada
D
20
J. Pachuca
1 ⚽
89'
D
J. Pachuca
1 ⚽
89'
D
21
S. Sanabria
M
S. Sanabria
M
22
C. Baltazar
72'
M
C. Baltazar
72'
M
24
A. Organista
89'
M
A. Organista
89'
M
10
M. Tomás
M
M. Tomás
M
27
B. Garnica
75'
M
B. Garnica
75'
M
19
I. Maestro Puch
F
I. Maestro Puch
F
Bench
3
A. Herrera
1'
M
A. Herrera
1'
M
2
Á. Leyva
D
Á. Leyva
D
16
A. Ramírez
M
A. Ramírez
M
14
E. Armenta
M
E. Armenta
M
25
H. Jurado
18'
F
H. Jurado
18'
F
12
I. Moreno
1'
M
I. Moreno
1'
M
33
J. Rodríguez
G
J. Rodríguez
G
34
Lucas Camilo
M
Lucas Camilo
M
8
O. Moreno
15'
F
O. Moreno
15'
F
15
Ó. Villa
1'
D
Ó. Villa
1'
D
22
L. García
G
L. García
G
25
E. López
59'
D
E. López
59'
D
6
F. Pereira
D
F. Pereira
D
4
B. Méndez
D
B. Méndez
D
2
D. Barbosa
D
D. Barbosa
D
8
N. Castro
M
N. Castro
M
5
F. Romero
45'
M
F. Romero
45'
M
20
J. Gallardo
M
J. Gallardo
M
10
J. Angulo
59'
M
J. Angulo
59'
M
16
F. Viñas
77'
M
F. Viñas
77'
M
26
Paulinho
F
Paulinho
F
Bench
3
A. Briseño
D
A. Briseño
D
24
F. Arce
M
F. Arce
M
11
Helinho
31'
F
Helinho
31'
F
29
J. Díaz
31'
M
J. Díaz
31'
M
13
Luan
13'
D
Luan
13'
D
23
O. Virgen
1'
F
O. Virgen
1'
F
15
P. Pérez
M
P. Pérez
M
12
R. Beltrán
G
R. Beltrán
G
184
S. Aceves
M
S. Aceves
M
7
V. Guzmán
45'
M
V. Guzmán
45'
M
Best on the pitch
F. Pereira
D · Toluca
7.44
1 shots
· 65 pass
L. García
G · Toluca
7.25
· 21 pass
F. Romero
M · Toluca
7.07
· 21 pass
Helinho
F · Toluca
7.02
1 shots
· 13 pass
V. Guzmán
M · Toluca
6.92
1 shots
· 25 pass
D. Barbosa
D · Toluca
6.82
· 33 pass
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gutiérrez | G | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Monárrez | D | 89 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Vargas | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Almada | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Pachuca | D | 89 | 5.71 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Sanabria | M | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Baltazar | M | 72 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Organista | M | 89 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Tomás | M | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 5 | 41 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Garnica | M | 75 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Maestro Puch | F | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Herrera | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Jurado | F | 18 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Moreno | F | 15 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Ó. Villa | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Toluca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. García | G | 90 | 7.25 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| E. López | D | 59 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Pereira | D | 90 | 7.44 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Méndez | D | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 55% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Barbosa | D | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| N. Castro | M | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Romero | M | 45 | 7.07 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gallardo | M | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Angulo | M | 59 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Viñas | M | 77 | 6.12 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulinho | F | 96 | 6.18 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Helinho | F | 31 | 7.02 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Díaz | M | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Luan | D | 13 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Virgen | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Guzmán | M | 45 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Puebla vs Toluca?
The final score was Puebla 0–1 Toluca.
What did the model predict before Puebla vs Toluca?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Puebla win, 28% to a draw, and 44% to an Toluca win.