Europa League
· 2nd Qualifying Round
July 23, 2026 18:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Qarabag, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Qarabag a 56% win probability (draw 23%, CSKA Sofia 19%). The final result was Qarabag 0–0 CSKA Sofia. In 1 previous meetings, Qarabag have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for CSKA Sofia.
Match statistics
Match Events
35'
L. Godoy
M. Jankovic
37'
B. Langa
/ E. Cafarquliyev
56'
M. Jankovic
/ R. Cephas
56'
59'
73'
J. Zwarts
/
L. Godoy
73'
I. Solet
/
M. Ebong
O. Kashchuk
/ J. Mouaddib
74'
B. Huseynov
/ C. Makreckis
74'
77'
F. Rodriguez
A. Zoubir
/ J. Montiel
78'
84'
T. Ouorou
/
A. Martino
90'+1
M. Brahimi
/
Pastor
90'+1
P. Panayotov
/
S. Sensi
Pre-match prediction
56.96%
Qarabag
23.63%
X ←
19.41%
CSKA
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.46
—
—
1.12
—
—
Lineups
99
M. Kochalski
G
M. Kochalski
G
5
Bruno Langa
D
Bruno Langa
D
4
B. Várkonyi
D
B. Várkonyi
D
55
B. Hüseynov
D
B. Hüseynov
D
2
Matheus Silva
D
Matheus Silva
D
8
M. Janković
M
M. Janković
M
35
Pedro Bicalho
M
Pedro Bicalho
M
10
Abdellah Zoubir
M
20
Kady Borges
M
Kady Borges
M
21
Olexiy Kashchuk
M
Olexiy Kashchuk
M
11
Zakaria Sawo
F
Bench
49
Ali Bashirov
M
Ali Bashirov
M
13
B. Mustafazadə
D
B. Mustafazadə
D
25
Č. Makreckis
M
Č. Makreckis
M
44
Elvin Cafarquliyev
M
32
Hikmat Cabrayilzada
M
Hikmat Cabrayilzada
M
7
Jaly Mouaddib
M
Jaly Mouaddib
M
9
Joni Montiel
M
Joni Montiel
M
22
M. Qurbanlı
F
M. Qurbanlı
F
23
M. Zlomislić
G
M. Zlomislić
G
29
R. Cephas
F
R. Cephas
F
1
Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev
G
Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev
G
21
Fedor Lapoukhov
G
Fedor Lapoukhov
G
17
Ángelo Martino
D
Ángelo Martino
D
14
Teodor Ivanov
D
Teodor Ivanov
D
32
Facundo Rodríguez
D
Facundo Rodríguez
D
2
Pastor
D
Pastor
D
8
Stefano Sensi
M
Stefano Sensi
M
6
Bruno Jordão
M
Bruno Jordão
M
5
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
D
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
D
7
Max Ebong
M
Max Ebong
M
28
Ioannis Pittas
F
Ioannis Pittas
F
9
Leandro Godoy
F
Leandro Godoy
F
Bench
91
Aleks Tunchev
D
Aleks Tunchev
D
19
Andrey Yordanov
D
Andrey Yordanov
D
77
A. Piedrahita
M
A. Piedrahita
M
25
Dimitar Evtimov
G
Dimitar Evtimov
G
80
G. Chorbadzhiyski
M
94
Isaac Solet
M
Isaac Solet
M
10
Joël Zwarts
F
Joël Zwarts
F
38
Léo Pereira
M
Léo Pereira
M
11
Mohamed Amine Brahimi
M
Mohamed Amine Brahimi
M
30
Petko Panayotov
M
Petko Panayotov
M
3
Tamimou Ouorou
D
Tamimou Ouorou
D
34
Vasil Kaymakanov
M
Vasil Kaymakanov
M
Qarabag — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kochalski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Langa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Várkonyi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Hüseynov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Silva | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Janković | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Bicalho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdellah Zoubir | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kady Borges | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olexiy Kashchuk | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Sawo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CSKA Sofia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fedor Lapoukhov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángelo Martino | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teodor Ivanov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pastor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefano Sensi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Jordão | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Gbamin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Ebong | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ioannis Pittas | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Godoy | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia?
The final score was Qarabag 0–0 CSKA Sofia.
What did the model predict before Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Qarabag win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an CSKA Sofia win.