Europa League
· 2nd Qualifying Round
July 23, 2026 18:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Qarabag, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Qarabag a 56% win probability (draw 23%, CSKA Sofia 19%). The final result was Qarabag 0–0 CSKA Sofia. In 1 previous meetings, Qarabag have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for CSKA Sofia.
Match statistics
Match Events
35'
L. Godoy
M. Jankovic
37'
B. Langa
/ E. Cafarquliyev
56'
M. Jankovic
/ R. Cephas
56'
59'
73'
J. Zwarts
/
L. Godoy
73'
I. Solet
/
M. Ebong
O. Kashchuk
/ J. Mouaddib
74'
B. Huseynov
/ C. Makreckis
74'
77'
F. Rodriguez
A. Zoubir
/ J. Montiel
78'
84'
T. Ouorou
/
A. Martino
90'+1
M. Brahimi
/
Pastor
90'+1
P. Panayotov
/
S. Sensi
Pre-match prediction
56.96%
Qarabag
23.63%
X ←
19.41%
CSKA
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.46
—
—
1.12
—
—
Lineups
99
Mateusz Kochalski
G
Mateusz Kochalski
G
5
Bruno Langa
D
Bruno Langa
D
4
Bence Várkonyi
D
Bence Várkonyi
D
55
Bədavi Hüseynov
D
Bədavi Hüseynov
D
2
Matheus Silva
D
Matheus Silva
D
8
M. Janković
M
M. Janković
M
35
Pedro Bicalho
M
Pedro Bicalho
M
10
Abdellah Zoubir
M
20
Kady Borges
M
Kady Borges
M
21
Olexiy Kashchuk
M
Olexiy Kashchuk
M
11
Zakaria Sawo
F
Bench
49
Ali Bashirov
M
Ali Bashirov
M
13
B. Mustafazadə
D
B. Mustafazadə
D
25
Č. Makreckis
M
Č. Makreckis
M
44
Elvin Cafarquliyev
M
32
Hikmat Cabrayilzada
M
Hikmat Cabrayilzada
M
7
Jaly Mouaddib
M
Jaly Mouaddib
M
9
Joni Montiel
M
Joni Montiel
M
23
Martin Zlomislić
G
Martin Zlomislić
G
22
Musa Qurbanlı
F
Musa Qurbanlı
F
29
R. Cephas
F
R. Cephas
F
1
Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev
G
Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev
G
21
F. Lapoukhov
G
17
Á. Martino
D
14
T. Ivanov
D
32
Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
D
2
Pastor
D
8
S. Sensi
M
6
Bruno Jordão
M
5
J. Gbamin
D
7
M. Ebong
M
28
I. Pittas
F
I. Pittas
F
9
S. Godoy
F
Bench
77
Alejandro Piedrahita
M
91
Aleks Tunchev
D
19
A. Yordanov
D
25
D. Evtimov
G
80
G. Chorbadzhiyski
M
94
I. Solet Bomawoko
M
10
Joël Zwarts
F
38
Léo Pereira
M
11
Mohamed Amine Brahimi
M
30
P. Panayotov
M
3
Tamimou Ouorou
D
34
V. Kaymakanov
M
Qarabag — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Kochalski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Langa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bence Várkonyi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bədavi Hüseynov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Silva | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Janković | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Bicalho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdellah Zoubir | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kady Borges | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olexiy Kashchuk | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Sawo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CSKA Sofia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Lapoukhov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Á. Martino | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Ivanov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Santiago Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pastor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sensi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Jordão | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gbamin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ebong | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Pittas | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Godoy | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia?
The final score was Qarabag 0–0 CSKA Sofia.
What did the model predict before Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Qarabag win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an CSKA Sofia win.