Qarabag - Dynamo Kyiv
Conference League
August 13, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.38%
Win
Qarabag
26.5%
Draw
29.12%
Win
Dynamo Kyiv
1.67
1.18
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.3%)
1X2 Result
✓ 82.4% hit rate (17 picks)
1
44%
X
27%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
56%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
65%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Qarabag a 44% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Dynamo Kyiv. Expected goals are 1.7 for Qarabag and 1.2 for Dynamo Kyiv (total 2.8), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Qarabag have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dynamo Kyiv.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
3W
0D
4L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
1.4
1.0
Conceded
1.3
2.0
Shots OT
3.0
11.0
Corners
4.9
61%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
86%
0%
O 2.5
43%
0%
BTTS
14%
0%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ
Based on the last 7 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Qarabag
Attack
41
Defence
79
Form
55
Dynamo Kyiv
Attack
39
Defence
65
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
6 Aug 2026
0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?
The model gives Qarabag a 44% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 29% for an Dynamo Kyiv win.
How many goals are expected in Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Expected goals: Qarabag 1.7, Dynamo Kyiv 1.2 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.3%.