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Qarabag - Imisli FK

Premier League May 16, 2026 15:00
#2 · 63 pts
vs
#9 · 33 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
67.32%
Win
Qarabag
22.33%
Draw
10.35%
Win
Imisli FK
1.65
Expected xG
0.4
Model prediction
Qarabag
67.32%
Probability

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Qarabag a 67% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 10% for Imisli FK. Expected goals are 1.7 for Qarabag and 0.4 for Imisli FK (total 2.0), with a 67% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 21.3% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Qarabag have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Imisli FK.

Score Matrix
↕ Qarabag Imisli FK →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1%
1 21.3% 8.5% 1.7% 0.2%
2 17.6% 7.0% 1.4% 0.2%
3 9.7% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1%
4 4.0% 1.6% 0.3%
5 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Recent form
D Qabala 1–1
W Turan 2–1
L Neftchi Baku 2–1
W Neftchi Baku 1–5
L Sabah FA 0–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 31%
D Zira 0–0
W Araz 0–1
L Sumqayıt 0–2
W Kapaz 0–1
W Qabala 0–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 51%
Playing profile
Qarabag Qarabag
Attack
38
Defence
77
Form
57
Imisli FK Imisli FK
Attack
13
Defence
70
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Sabah FA Sabah FA 31 75
2 Qarabag Qarabag 31 63
3 Turan Turan 31 59
4 Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku 31 53
5 Zira Zira 31 50
6 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 31 41
7 Araz Araz 31 40
8 Şamaxı FK Şamaxı FK 31 35
9 Imisli FK Imisli FK 31 33
10 Kapaz Kapaz 31 27
11 Qabala Qabala 31 21
12 Karvan Karvan 31 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Qarabag vs Imisli FK?
The model gives Qarabag a 67% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 10% for an Imisli FK win.
How many goals are expected in Qarabag vs Imisli FK?
Expected goals: Qarabag 1.7, Imisli FK 0.4 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 67%.
What is the most likely score in Qarabag vs Imisli FK?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.3%.