Premier League
· Regular Season - 8
October 17, 2026 17:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Qarabag a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Neftchi Baku 32%). The final result was Qarabag 3–3 Neftchi Baku. In 3 previous meetings, Qarabag have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Neftchi Baku.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
40.16%
Qarabag
27.21%
X ←
32.63%
Neftchi
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.45
—
—
2.34
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
The final score was Qarabag 3–3 Neftchi Baku.
What did the model predict before Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Qarabag win, 27% to a draw, and 32% to an Neftchi Baku win.