World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
June 13, 2026 21:00
B. Khoukhi
(ast. H. Al Amin)
90'+4
(pen.)
17'
B. Embolo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Switzerland a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Qatar 27%). The final result was Qatar 1–1 Switzerland.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
7
0.76
Actual xG
3.24
5
Saves
3
32%
Possession
68%
3
Corners
10
13
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
M. Abunada
16'
17'
(pen.)
B. Embolo⚽
J. Gaber
23'
42'
D. Zakaria
A. Al Oui
/ A. Fathi
60'
J. Gaber
/ K. Boudiaf
60'
Y. Abdurisag
/ A. Alaaeldin
60'
65'
J. Manzambi
/
D. Ndoye
65'
F. Rieder
/
M. Aebischer
A. O. Madibo
/ M. Al Mannai
79'
79'
Z. Amdouni
/
R. Vargas
Edmilson Junior
/ H. Al Haydos
88'
89'
M. Muheim
/
R. Rodriguez
89'
A. Jashari
/
R. Freuler
⚽B. Khoukhi
· ast. H. Al Amin
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
27.62%
Qatar
29.16%
X ←
43.22%
Switzerland
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
0.76
-0.26
1.23
3.24
+2.01
Switzerland dominated by xG (3.24 vs 0.76).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Mahmud Abunada
G
Mahmud Abunada
G
14
Homam Ahmed
1 👟
D
Homam Ahmed
1 👟
D
16
Boualem Khoukhi
1 ⚽
D
Boualem Khoukhi
1 ⚽
D
2
Pedro Miguel
D
Pedro Miguel
D
13
Ayoub Al Oui
60'
D
Ayoub Al Oui
60'
D
4
Gueye Laye
M
Gueye Laye
M
23
Assim Madibo
79'
M
Assim Madibo
79'
M
5
Jassem Gaber
60'
M
Jassem Gaber
60'
M
11
Akram Afif
F
Akram Afif
F
15
Y. Abdurisag
60'
F
Y. Abdurisag
60'
F
8
Edmilson Junior
88'
F
Edmilson Junior
88'
F
Bench
6
Abdulaziz Hatem
M
Abdulaziz Hatem
M
7
Ahmed Alaa
30'
F
Ahmed Alaa
30'
F
17
Ahmed Al Ganehi
F
Ahmed Al Ganehi
F
20
Ahmed Fathi
30'
M
Ahmed Fathi
30'
M
25
Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain
D
Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain
D
19
Almoez Ali
F
Almoez Ali
F
10
Hassan Al Haydos
10'
F
Hassan Al Haydos
10'
F
12
Karim Boudiaf
30'
M
Karim Boudiaf
30'
M
3
Lucas Mendes
D
Lucas Mendes
D
22
Meshaal Barsham
G
Meshaal Barsham
G
26
Mohamed Al Manai
11'
M
Mohamed Al Manai
11'
M
9
Mohammed Muntari
F
Mohammed Muntari
F
21
Salah Zakaria
G
Salah Zakaria
G
18
Sultan Al Braik
D
Sultan Al Braik
D
24
Tahsin Jamshid
F
Tahsin Jamshid
F
1
G. Kobel
G
G. Kobel
G
13
Ricardo Rodríguez
89'
D
Ricardo Rodríguez
89'
D
5
M. Akanji
D
M. Akanji
D
4
N. Elvedi
D
N. Elvedi
D
6
D. Zakaria
D
D. Zakaria
D
8
R. Freuler
89'
M
R. Freuler
89'
M
10
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
20
M. Aebischer
65'
M
M. Aebischer
65'
M
17
R. Vargas
79'
F
R. Vargas
79'
F
7
B. Embolo
1 ⚽
F
B. Embolo
1 ⚽
F
11
D. Ndoye
65'
F
D. Ndoye
65'
F
Bench
24
A. Amenda
D
A. Amenda
D
14
Ardon Jashari
9'
M
Ardon Jashari
9'
M
16
C. Fassnacht
M
C. Fassnacht
M
26
C. Itten
F
C. Itten
F
15
Djibril Sow
M
Djibril Sow
M
18
E. Cömert
D
E. Cömert
D
22
F. Rieder
25'
M
F. Rieder
25'
M
9
J. Manzambi
25'
M
J. Manzambi
25'
M
25
Luca Jaquez
D
Luca Jaquez
D
2
Miro Muheim
9'
D
Miro Muheim
9'
D
21
M. Keller
G
M. Keller
G
19
N. Okafor
F
N. Okafor
F
3
S. Widmer
D
S. Widmer
D
12
Y. Mvogo
G
Y. Mvogo
G
23
Z. Amdouni
11'
F
Z. Amdouni
11'
F
Best on the pitch
R. Vargas
F · Switzerland
7.90
2 shots
· 30 pass
Ricardo Rodríguez
D · Switzerland
7.70
· 61 pass
Homam Ahmed
D · Qatar
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
M. Aebischer
M · Switzerland
7.50
1 shots
· 35 pass
G. Kobel
G · Switzerland
7.30
· 18 pass
G. Xhaka
M · Switzerland
7.30
2 shots
· 73 pass
Qatar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmud Abunada | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Homam Ahmed | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Boualem Khoukhi | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Miguel | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Ayoub Al Oui | D | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gueye Laye | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Assim Madibo | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jassem Gaber | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Akram Afif | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Abdurisag | F | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Edmilson Junior | F | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Alaa | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Fathi | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Hassan Al Haydos | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Karim Boudiaf | M | 30 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Al Manai | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
Switzerland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Kobel | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Rodríguez | D | 89 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | — | — | — |
| M. Akanji | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 102 | 92% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Elvedi | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 90 | 87% | — | — | — |
| D. Zakaria | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 54% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 68% | — | — | — |
| M. Aebischer | M | 65 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| R. Vargas | F | 79 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Embolo | F | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ndoye | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ardon Jashari | M | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Rieder | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Miro Muheim | D | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Z. Amdouni | F | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Qatar vs Switzerland?
The final score was Qatar 1–1 Switzerland.
What did the model predict before Qatar vs Switzerland?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Qatar win, 29% to a draw, and 43% to an Switzerland win.