Championship
· Regular Season - 42
April 11, 2026 13:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave QPR a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Bristol City 24%). The final result was QPR 0–0 Bristol City. In 1 previous meetings, QPR have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bristol City.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
5
0.91
Actual xG
0.74
5
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
6
10
Tackles
9
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Varane
27'
A. S. Mbengue
55'
66'
N. Eile
R. Kolli
/ R. Burrell
68'
R. Kone
/ D. Bennie
69'
D. Bennie
75'
K. Morgan
/ K. Poku
75'
76'
D. Burgzorg
/
E. Riis
76'
R. McCrorie
/
M. Sykes
83'
G. Earthy
/
M. Bird
R. Norrington-Davies
85'
88'
T. Horvat
/
S. Twine
89'
D. Burgzorg
Pre-match prediction
48.43%
QPR
27.37%
X ←
24.21%
Bristol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
0.91
-0.58
0.95
0.74
-0.21
xG dominance was balanced (0.91 – 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
88'
G
18
R. Norrington-Davies
88'
D
R. Norrington-Davies
88'
D
6
J. Clarke-Salter
88'
D
J. Clarke-Salter
88'
D
37
R. Edwards
88'
D
R. Edwards
88'
D
27
A. Mbengue
88'
D
A. Mbengue
88'
D
11
P. Smyth
88'
M
P. Smyth
88'
M
40
J. Varane
88'
M
J. Varane
88'
M
21
Kieran Morgan
75'
M
Kieran Morgan
75'
M
20
H. Vale
88'
M
H. Vale
88'
M
22
R. Kone
69'
F
R. Kone
69'
F
26
Rayan Kolli
68'
F
Bench
23
D. Bennie
19'
F
D. Bennie
19'
F
15
I. Hayden
M
I. Hayden
M
2
Kealey Adamson
D
Kealey Adamson
D
17
K. Poku
13'
M
K. Poku
13'
M
16
R. Burrell
20'
F
R. Burrell
20'
F
5
S. Cook
D
S. Cook
D
23
88'
G
3
C. Pring
88'
D
C. Pring
88'
D
21
88'
D
38
N. Eile
88'
D
N. Eile
88'
D
12
88'
D
4
88'
M
40
Sam Morsy
88'
M
Sam Morsy
88'
M
6
Max Bird
83'
M
Max Bird
83'
M
10
S. Twine
88'
M
S. Twine
88'
M
17
M. Sykes
76'
M
M. Sykes
76'
M
18
E. Riis
76'
F
E. Riis
76'
F
Bench
11
D. Burgzorg
12'
F
D. Burgzorg
12'
F
2
R. McCrorie
12'
D
R. McCrorie
12'
D
20
S. Bell
F
S. Bell
F
14
T. Horvat
M
T. Horvat
M
Best on the pitch
G · QPR
8.20
· 22 pass
R. Edwards
D · QPR
7.70
1 shots
· 72 pass
J. Clarke-Salter
D · QPR
7.20
· 50 pass
H. Vale
M · QPR
7.20
· 33 pass
D · Bristol
7.00
· 86 pass
J. Varane
M · QPR
6.90
1 shots
· 39 pass
QPR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 88 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| R. Norrington-Davies | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Clarke-Salter | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 88 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 70% | — | — | — |
| A. Mbengue | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Smyth | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Varane | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kieran Morgan | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| H. Vale | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Kone | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Rayan Kolli | F | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bennie | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Poku | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Burrell | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Bristol City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| C. Pring | D | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 86 | 82% | — | — | — | |
| N. Eile | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 81 | 75% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| Sam Morsy | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| Max Bird | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| S. Twine | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Sykes | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Riis | F | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Burgzorg | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| R. McCrorie | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of QPR vs Bristol City?
The final score was QPR 0–0 Bristol City.
What did the model predict before QPR vs Bristol City?
The model assigned 48% probability to a QPR win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Bristol City win.