Championship
· Regular Season - 42
April 11, 2026 13:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave QPR a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Bristol City 24%). The final result was QPR 0–0 Bristol City. In 1 previous meetings, QPR have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bristol City.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
5
0.91
Actual xG
0.74
5
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
6
10
Tackles
9
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Varane
27'
A. S. Mbengue
55'
66'
N. Eile
R. Kolli
/ R. Burrell
68'
R. Kone
/ D. Bennie
69'
D. Bennie
75'
K. Morgan
/ K. Poku
75'
76'
D. Burgzorg
/
E. Riis
76'
R. McCrorie
/
M. Sykes
83'
G. Earthy
/
M. Bird
R. Norrington-Davies
85'
88'
T. Horvat
/
S. Twine
89'
D. Burgzorg
Pre-match prediction
48.43%
QPR
27.37%
X ←
24.21%
Bristol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
0.91
-0.58
0.95
0.74
-0.21
xG dominance was balanced (0.91 – 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
88'
G
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
88'
D
Rhys Norrington-Davies
88'
D
6
J. Clarke-Salter
88'
D
37
R. Edwards
88'
D
27
A. Mbengue
88'
D
A. Mbengue
88'
D
11
Paul Smyth
88'
M
Paul Smyth
88'
M
40
J. Varane
88'
M
21
K. Morgan
75'
M
20
H. Vale
88'
M
22
Richard Kone
69'
F
26
Rayan Kolli
68'
F
Bench
23
D. Bennie
19'
F
15
Isaac Hayden
M
2
K. Adamson
D
17
K. Poku
13'
M
16
R. Burrell
20'
F
5
S. Cook
D
23
88'
G
3
C. Pring
88'
D
21
88'
D
38
N. Eile
88'
D
12
88'
D
4
88'
M
40
S. Morsy
88'
M
6
M. Bird
83'
M
10
S. Twine
88'
M
S. Twine
88'
M
17
Mark Sykes
76'
M
18
E. Riis
76'
F
E. Riis
76'
F
Bench
11
D. Burgzorg
12'
F
2
R. McCrorie
12'
D
20
S. Bell
F
14
T. Horvat
M
T. Horvat
M
Best on the pitch
G · QPR
8.20
· 22 pass
R. Edwards
D · QPR
7.70
1 shots
· 72 pass
J. Clarke-Salter
D · QPR
7.20
· 50 pass
H. Vale
M · QPR
7.20
· 33 pass
D · Bristol
7.00
· 86 pass
J. Varane
M · QPR
6.90
1 shots
· 39 pass
QPR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 88 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Clarke-Salter | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 88 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 70% | — | — | — |
| A. Mbengue | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Paul Smyth | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Varane | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Morgan | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| H. Vale | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Richard Kone | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Rayan Kolli | F | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bennie | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Poku | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Burrell | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Bristol City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| C. Pring | D | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 86 | 82% | — | — | — | |
| N. Eile | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 81 | 75% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| S. Morsy | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Bird | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| S. Twine | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Mark Sykes | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Riis | F | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Burgzorg | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| R. McCrorie | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of QPR vs Bristol City?
The final score was QPR 0–0 Bristol City.
What did the model predict before QPR vs Bristol City?
The model assigned 48% probability to a QPR win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Bristol City win.