Championship
· Regular Season - 42
April 11, 2026 13:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave QPR a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Bristol City 24%). The final result was QPR 0–0 Bristol City. In 1 previous meetings, QPR have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bristol City.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
5
0.91
Actual xG
0.74
5
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
6
10
Tackles
9
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Varane
27'
A. S. Mbengue
55'
66'
N. Eile
R. Kolli
/ R. Burrell
68'
R. Kone
/ D. Bennie
69'
D. Bennie
75'
K. Morgan
/ K. Poku
75'
76'
D. Burgzorg
/
E. Riis
76'
R. McCrorie
/
M. Sykes
83'
G. Earthy
/
M. Bird
R. Norrington-Davies
85'
88'
T. Horvat
/
S. Twine
89'
D. Burgzorg
Pre-match prediction
48.43%
QPR
27.37%
X ←
24.21%
Bristol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
0.91
-0.58
0.95
0.74
-0.21
xG dominance was balanced (0.91 – 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
88'
G
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
88'
D
Rhys Norrington-Davies
88'
D
6
Jake Clarke-Salter
88'
D
Jake Clarke-Salter
88'
D
37
Ronnie Edwards
88'
D
Ronnie Edwards
88'
D
27
Amadou Salif Mbengue
88'
D
Amadou Salif Mbengue
88'
D
11
Paul Smyth
88'
M
Paul Smyth
88'
M
40
Jonathan Varane
88'
M
Jonathan Varane
88'
M
21
Kieran Morgan
75'
M
Kieran Morgan
75'
M
20
Harvey Vale
88'
M
Harvey Vale
88'
M
22
Richard Kone
69'
F
Richard Kone
69'
F
26
Rayan Kolli
68'
F
Bench
23
D. Bennie
19'
F
D. Bennie
19'
F
15
Isaac Hayden
M
Isaac Hayden
M
2
Kealey Adamson
D
Kealey Adamson
D
17
Kwame Poku
13'
M
Kwame Poku
13'
M
16
Rumarn Burrell
20'
F
Rumarn Burrell
20'
F
5
Steve Cook
D
Steve Cook
D
23
88'
G
3
Cameron Pring
88'
D
Cameron Pring
88'
D
21
88'
D
38
Noah Eile
88'
D
Noah Eile
88'
D
12
88'
D
4
88'
M
40
S. Morsy
88'
M
6
Max Bird
83'
M
Max Bird
83'
M
10
Scott Twine
88'
M
Scott Twine
88'
M
17
Mark Sykes
76'
M
Mark Sykes
76'
M
18
E. Riis
76'
F
E. Riis
76'
F
Bench
11
D. Burgzorg
12'
F
D. Burgzorg
12'
F
2
R. McCrorie
12'
D
R. McCrorie
12'
D
20
S. Bell
F
14
T. Horvat
M
T. Horvat
M
Best on the pitch
G · QPR
8.20
· 22 pass
Ronnie Edwards
D · QPR
7.70
1 shots
· 72 pass
Jake Clarke-Salter
D · QPR
7.20
· 50 pass
Harvey Vale
M · QPR
7.20
· 33 pass
D · Bristol
7.00
· 86 pass
Jonathan Varane
M · QPR
6.90
1 shots
· 39 pass
QPR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 88 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Jake Clarke-Salter | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Ronnie Edwards | D | 88 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Amadou Salif Mbengue | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Paul Smyth | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Varane | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kieran Morgan | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Harvey Vale | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Richard Kone | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Rayan Kolli | F | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bennie | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kwame Poku | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Rumarn Burrell | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Bristol City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Cameron Pring | D | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 86 | 82% | — | — | — | |
| Noah Eile | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 81 | 75% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| S. Morsy | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| Max Bird | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Scott Twine | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Mark Sykes | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Riis | F | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Burgzorg | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| R. McCrorie | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of QPR vs Bristol City?
The final score was QPR 0–0 Bristol City.
What did the model predict before QPR vs Bristol City?
The model assigned 48% probability to a QPR win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Bristol City win.