Championship
· Regular Season - 4
September 02, 2026 20:45
R. Burrell
36'
R. Burrell
(ast. R. Edwards)
53'
75'
(ast. O. Tanner)
P. Ng
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 36% win probability (draw 29%, QPR 33%). The final result was QPR 2–1 Cardiff.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
3
2.09
Actual xG
0.60
37%
Possession
63%
3
Corners
4
Match Events
⚽R. Burrell
36'
46'
C. Willock
/
C. Ashford
46'
K. Bielik
/
C. Scanlon
47'
O. Tanner
⚽R. Burrell
· ast. R. Edwards
53'
N. Madsen
/ J. Varane
71'
T. Lamptey
/ J. Clarke-Salter
72'
A. S. Mbengue
/ K. Adamson
72'
G. Kamara
/ D. Cirkin
72'
75'
ast. O. Tanner ·
P. Ng⚽
77'
P. Ng
80'
J. Colwill
/
J. Moylan
A. Lloyd
/ I. Chair
81'
89'
C. Robinson
/
A. Robertson
89'
I. Davies
/
O. Tanner
Pre-match prediction
33.14%
QPR ←
29.96%
X
36.9%
Cardiff
we assigned to the actual result (QPR)
33.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
2.09
+0.47
2.88
0.60
-2.28
QPR dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.60).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of QPR vs Cardiff?
The final score was QPR 2–1 Cardiff.
What did the model predict before QPR vs Cardiff?
The model assigned 33% probability to a QPR win, 29% to a draw, and 36% to an Cardiff win.