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QPR - Millwall

EFL Cup August 08, 2026 15:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.84%
Win
QPR
32.9%
Draw
29.26%
Win
Millwall
1.14
Expected xG
0.54

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.26%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 33%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 62%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 59%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives QPR a 37% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Millwall. Expected goals are 1.1 for QPR and 0.5 for Millwall (total 1.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.26% probability. In 2 previous meetings, QPR have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Millwall.

Season Stats

QPR
0W 0D 1L
Millwall
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.3
3.0
Conceded
0.7
4.0
Shots OT
4.0
2.0
Corners
5.0
31%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
33%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 3 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ QPR Millwall →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.6% 10.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 21.2% 11.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 12.0% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3%
3 4.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.2%

Recent form

QPR QPR
L Plymouth 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
D Crystal Palace 1–1
W Coventry 2–1
W Newport County 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

QPR QPR
Attack
41
Defence
68
Form
57
Millwall Millwall
Attack
24
Defence
71
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win QPR vs Millwall?
The model gives QPR a 37% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 29% for an Millwall win.
How many goals are expected in QPR vs Millwall?
Expected goals: QPR 1.1, Millwall 0.5 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in QPR vs Millwall?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.26%.