Championship
· Regular Season - 39
March 21, 2026 16:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portsmouth a 38% win probability (draw 32%, QPR 28%). The final result was QPR 6–1 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, QPR have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
7
1.63
Actual xG
1.52
40%
Possession
60%
1
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
28.96%
QPR ←
32.98%
X
38.06%
Portsmouth
we assigned to the actual result (QPR)
28.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.54
1.63
+1.09
1.15
1.52
+0.37
xG dominance was balanced (1.63 – 1.52).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of QPR vs Portsmouth?
The final score was QPR 6–1 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before QPR vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 28% probability to a QPR win, 32% to a draw, and 38% to an Portsmouth win.