Skip to main content
← Primera Nacional

Quilmes - Atlanta

Primera Nacional July 04, 2026 23:00
Quilmes
#13 · 21 pts
vs
Atlanta
#2 · 33 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.49%
Win
Quilmes
27.92%
Draw
45.59%
Win
Atlanta
0.74
Expected xG
1.28
Most likely result 0–1 (17.0%)
2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
33%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atlanta a 45% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Quilmes. Expected goals are 0.7 for Quilmes and 1.3 for Atlanta (total 2.0), with a 58% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 17.0% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Quilmes have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atlanta.

Season Stats

Quilmes
5W 5D 5L
Atlanta
9W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.5
0.8
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
47%
27%
BTTS
47%
53%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
51%
O 1.5
32%
O 2.5
0%
O 3.5
26%
BTTS
Quilmes
4W 3D 1L · at home
Atlanta
4W 1D 3L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
0.2
Conceded
0.9
50%
Win %
50%
88%
Win or Draw
63%
38%
O 1.5
63%
25%
O 2.5
38%
0%
O 3.5
0%
13%
BTTS
38%
75%
Clean Sht
38%
50%
Failed to Score
38%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Quilmes Atlanta →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3% 17.0% 10.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.9% 12.6% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Quilmes Quilmes
L Colegiales 3–1
W Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0
D San Martin Tucuman 0–0
W Atletico DE Rafaela 2–0
D Agropecuario 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
Atlanta Atlanta
L Almagro 2–0
W Midland 1–2
W Gimnasia Jujuy 3–0
D Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–1
W San Martin Tucuman 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Quilmes Quilmes
Attack
16
Defence
81
Form
48
Atlanta Atlanta
Attack
37
Defence
83
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Quilmes
0
Draw
1
Atlanta
16 Feb 2026 Primera Nacional 0–1

Group 2

# Team G Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 18 36
2 Atlanta Atlanta 18 33
3 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 18 30
4 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 18 27
5 Temperley Temperley 18 27
6 Midland Midland 18 26
7 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 17 23
8 Colegiales Colegiales 18 23
9 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 18 23
10 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 18 22
11 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 17 22
12 Almagro Almagro 18 22
13 Quilmes Quilmes 18 21
14 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 18 21
15 Patronato Patronato 18 21
16 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 18 19
17 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 18 19
18 Agropecuario Agropecuario 18 18

What's at stake · Group 2

Top 2 advance to the next round

Quilmes Atlanta
Current #13 #2
→ Quilmes #7 #2
→ Draw #11 #2
→ Atlanta #13 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Quilmes vs Atlanta?
The model gives Quilmes a 26% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 45% for an Atlanta win.
How many goals are expected in Quilmes vs Atlanta?
Expected goals: Quilmes 0.7, Atlanta 1.3 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 58%.
What is the most likely score in Quilmes vs Atlanta?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.0%.