Pro League · Relegation Group - 36 May 09, 2026 16:00 Easi Arena, La Louviere

RAAL La Louvière

#16 · 1 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Cercle Brugge

#14 · 2 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Cercle Brugge, result RAAL La Louvière wins

P. M. Fall (ast. T. Lutonda) 51'

W. Faye (ast. J. Liongola) 55'

P. M. Fall (ast. J. Liongola) 69'

J. Liongola 76' (pen.)

34' (ast. D. Vanzeir) O. Diakite

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cercle Brugge a 58% win probability (draw 17%, RAAL La Louvière 24%). The final result was RAAL La Louvière 4–1 Cercle Brugge. In 3 previous meetings, RAAL La Louvière have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cercle Brugge.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

7

6

Shots on target

4

1.51

Actual xG

1.00

3

Saves

2

44%

Possession

56%

6

Corners

5

24

Tackles

22

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

34'

ast. D. Vanzeir · O. Diakite⚽

↕ J. Ito / S. Gueulette

46'

↕ M. Ashimeru / B. Soumare

46'

⚽P. M. Fall · ast. T. Lutonda

51'

⚽W. Faye · ast. J. Liongola

55'

W. Faye

56'

56'

H. Jurado

60'

C. Ravych / R. Caicedo ↕

60'

G. Magnee / E. Kakou ↕

60'

Nazinho / K. Valy ↕

64'

G. Magnee

⚽P. M. Fall · ast. J. Liongola

69'

71'

O. Adewumi / D. Vanzeir ↕

⚽J. Liongola (pen.)

76'

78'

K. Kouassi / H. Jurado ↕

↕ S. Lahssaini / A. Beka Beka

80'

↕ W. Faye / S. Traore

87'

↕ P. M. Fall / M. Maisonneuve

90'

Pre-match prediction

24.61%

RAAL ←

17.11%

X

58.28%

Cercle

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (RAAL La Louvière) 24.61% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

RAAL

1.94

1.51

-0.43

Cercle

3.28

1.00

-2.28

RAAL La Louvière dominated by xG (1.51 vs 1.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gent	5	15
2	Union St. Gilloise	5	13
3	Club Brugge KV	5	12
4	Charleroi	5	12
5	Zulte Waregem	5	11
6	Standard Liege	5	11
7	Anderlecht	6	10
8	SK Beveren	6	9
9	Genk	5	8
10	St. Truiden	6	8
11	Lommel United	5	7
12	Antwerp	5	7
13	KVC Westerlo	5	4
14	Cercle Brugge	5	2
15	KV Mechelen	6	2
16	RAAL La Louvière	5	1
17	OH Leuven	5	0
18	Kortrijk	5	0

Lineups

RAAL La Louvière 3-1-4-2

21

86' G 6.30

25 D. Lamego 86' D 6.60

99 Y. Okou 86' D 7.20

4 W. Faye 1 ⚽ 86' D 7.70

15

S. Lahssaini 80' M 7.00

5 T. Lutonda 1 👟 86' M 7.30

18 Majeed Ashimeru 45' M 6.60

23 J. Ito 45' M 6.30

11 Jordi Liongola 1 ⚽ 2 👟 86' M 10.00

7 P. Fall 2 ⚽ 86' F 8.90

22 J. Afriyie 86' F 6.70

Bench

6

A. Beka Beka 6' M

28 B. Soumaré 41' M 6.30

27 N. Nsingi F

3 Nolan Gillot D

8 S. Gueulette 41' M 6.70

Cercle Brugge 3-4-2-1

84

86' G 6.20

33 R. Caicedo 60' D 6.20

24 G. Kondo 86' D 6.70

5 Emmanuel Kakou 60' D 6.50

12 V. Konaté 60' M 6.90

18

P. Gerkens 86' M 6.90

19 Makaya Ibrahima Diaby 86' M 6.30

2 I. Diakité 86' M 6.60

23 Heriberto Jurado 78' F 6.30

13 D. Vanzeir 1 👟 70' F 6.30

10 O. Diakité 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.00

Bench

20 Flávio Nazinho 26' D 5.30

15 G. Magnée 26' D 6.20

28 H. Van der Bruggen M

17 O. Adewumi 16' F 6.70

Best on the pitch

Jordi Liongola

M · RAAL

10.00

1 ⚽ 2 👟

1 shots · 26 pass

P. Fall

F · RAAL

8.90

2 ⚽

4 shots · 16 pass

W. Faye

D · RAAL

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 29 pass

T. Lutonda

M · RAAL

7.30

1 👟

· 23 pass

Y. Okou

D · RAAL

7.20

· 37 pass

S. Lahssaini

M · RAAL

7.00

· 36 pass

RAAL La Louvière — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	86	6.30	—	—	—	31	20%	—	—	—
D. Lamego	D	86	6.60	—	—	—	27	19%	2	—	—
Y. Okou	D	86	7.20	—	—	—	37	34%	—	—	—
W. Faye	D	86	7.70	1	—	2	29	25%	2	1	—
S. Lahssaini	M	80	7.00	—	—	—	36	31%	3	—	—
T. Lutonda	M	86	7.30	—	1	—	23	21%	2	—	—
Majeed Ashimeru	M	45	6.60	—	—	1	18	15%	2	—	—
J. Ito	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
Jordi Liongola	M	86	10.00	1	2	1	26	17%	7	—	—
P. Fall	F	86	8.90	2	—	4	16	9%	—	—	—
J. Afriyie	F	86	6.70	—	—	1	12	11%	1	—	—
A. Beka Beka	M	6	—	—	—	—	4	2%	2	—	—
B. Soumaré	M	41	6.30	—	—	1	12	11%	2	—	—
S. Gueulette	M	41	6.70	—	—	—	14	12%	—	—	—

Cercle Brugge — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	86	6.20	—	—	—	19	13%	—	—	—
R. Caicedo	D	60	6.20	—	—	1	30	25%	2	—	—
G. Kondo	D	86	6.70	—	—	1	59	53%	—	—	—
Emmanuel Kakou	D	60	6.50	—	—	1	34	30%	2	—	—
V. Konaté	M	60	6.90	—	—	—	22	17%	4	—	—
P. Gerkens	M	86	6.90	—	—	—	42	32%	3	—	—
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby	M	86	6.30	—	—	—	36	31%	4	—	—
I. Diakité	M	86	6.60	—	—	—	32	26%	3	—	—
Heriberto Jurado	F	78	6.30	—	—	—	18	15%	1	1	—
D. Vanzeir	F	70	6.30	—	1	2	20	16%	—	—	—
O. Diakité	F	86	7.00	1	—	1	12	9%	1	—	—
Flávio Nazinho	D	26	5.30	—	—	—	7	3%	—	—	—
G. Magnée	D	26	6.20	—	—	—	10	8%	2	1	—
O. Adewumi	F	16	6.70	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—