✗Model wrong — prediction Cercle Brugge, result RAAL La Louvière wins
P. M. Fall
(ast. T. Lutonda)
51'
W. Faye
(ast. J. Liongola)
55'
P. M. Fall
(ast. J. Liongola)
69'
J. Liongola
76'
(pen.)
34'
(ast. D. Vanzeir)
O. Diakite
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cercle Brugge a 58% win probability (draw 17%, RAAL La Louvière 24%). The final result was RAAL La Louvière 4–1 Cercle Brugge. In 3 previous meetings, RAAL La Louvière have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cercle Brugge.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
4
1.51
Actual xG
1.00
3
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
5
24
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
34'
ast. D. Vanzeir ·
O. Diakite⚽
J. Ito
/ S. Gueulette
46'
M. Ashimeru
/ B. Soumare
46'
⚽P. M. Fall
· ast. T. Lutonda
51'
⚽W. Faye
· ast. J. Liongola
55'
W. Faye
56'
56'
H. Jurado
60'
C. Ravych
/
R. Caicedo
60'
G. Magnee
/
E. Kakou
60'
Nazinho
/
K. Valy
64'
G. Magnee
⚽P. M. Fall
· ast. J. Liongola
69'
71'
O. Adewumi
/
D. Vanzeir
⚽J. Liongola
(pen.)
76'
78'
K. Kouassi
/
H. Jurado
S. Lahssaini
/ A. Beka Beka
80'
W. Faye
/ S. Traore
87'
P. M. Fall
/ M. Maisonneuve
90'
Pre-match prediction
24.61%
RAAL ←
17.11%
X
58.28%
Cercle
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (RAAL La Louvière)
24.61%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
1.51
-0.43
3.28
1.00
-2.28
RAAL La Louvière dominated by xG (1.51 vs 1.00).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
86'
G
25
D. Lamego
86'
D
99
Yllan Okou
86'
D
4
W. Faye
1 ⚽
86'
D
15
S. Lahssaini
80'
M
5
T. Lutonda
1 👟
86'
M
18
Majeed Ashimeru
45'
M
Majeed Ashimeru
45'
M
23
J. Ito
45'
M
11
J. Liongola
1 ⚽
2 👟
86'
M
J. Liongola
1 ⚽
2 👟
86'
M
7
P. Fall
2 ⚽
86'
F
P. Fall
2 ⚽
86'
F
22
Jerry Afriyie
86'
F
Jerry Afriyie
86'
F
Bench
6
A. Beka Beka
6'
M
28
B. Soumare
41'
M
3
N. Gillot
D
27
N. Nsingi
F
8
S. Gueulette
41'
M
84
86'
G
33
R. Caicedo
60'
D
24
G. Kondo
86'
D
5
E. Kakou
60'
D
12
K. Valy
60'
M
18
P. Gerkens
86'
M
19
I. Diaby
86'
M
2
I. Diakite
86'
M
23
H. Jurado
78'
F
13
D. Vanzeir
1 👟
70'
F
10
O. Diakité
1 ⚽
86'
F
O. Diakité
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
20
Flávio Nazinho
26'
D
Flávio Nazinho
26'
D
15
G. Magnée
26'
D
G. Magnée
26'
D
28
Hannes Van Der Bruggen
M
17
O. Adewumi
16'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Liongola
M · RAAL
10.00
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots
· 26 pass
P. Fall
F · RAAL
8.90
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
W. Faye
D · RAAL
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
T. Lutonda
M · RAAL
7.30
1 👟
· 23 pass
Yllan Okou
D · RAAL
7.20
· 37 pass
S. Lahssaini
M · RAAL
7.00
· 36 pass
RAAL La Louvière — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D. Lamego | D | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Yllan Okou | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| W. Faye | D | 86 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Lahssaini | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Lutonda | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Majeed Ashimeru | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ito | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Liongola | M | 86 | 10.00 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 17% | 7 | — | — |
| P. Fall | F | 86 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 4 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jerry Afriyie | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Beka Beka | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Soumare | M | 41 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Gueulette | M | 41 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Cercle Brugge — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| R. Caicedo | D | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Kondo | D | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 53% | — | — | — |
| E. Kakou | D | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Valy | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Gerkens | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Diaby | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Diakite | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Jurado | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Vanzeir | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| O. Diakité | F | 86 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Flávio Nazinho | D | 26 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| G. Magnée | D | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Adewumi | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?
The final score was RAAL La Louvière 4–1 Cercle Brugge.
What did the model predict before RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?
The model assigned 24% probability to a RAAL La Louvière win, 17% to a draw, and 58% to an Cercle Brugge win.