Pro League · Relegation Group - 36 May 09, 2026 16:00 Easi Arena, La Louviere

RAAL La Louvière

#14 · 7 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Cercle Brugge

#18 · 3 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Cercle Brugge, result RAAL La Louvière wins

P. M. Fall (ast. T. Lutonda) 51'

W. Faye (ast. J. Liongola) 55'

P. M. Fall (ast. J. Liongola) 69'

J. Liongola 76' (pen.)

34' (ast. D. Vanzeir) O. Diakite

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cercle Brugge a 58% win probability (draw 17%, RAAL La Louvière 24%). The final result was RAAL La Louvière 4–1 Cercle Brugge. In 3 previous meetings, RAAL La Louvière have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cercle Brugge.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

7

6

Shots on target

4

1.51

Actual xG

1.00

3

Saves

2

44%

Possession

56%

6

Corners

5

24

Tackles

22

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

34'

ast. D. Vanzeir · O. Diakite⚽

↕ J. Ito / S. Gueulette

46'

↕ M. Ashimeru / B. Soumare

46'

⚽P. M. Fall · ast. T. Lutonda

51'

⚽W. Faye · ast. J. Liongola

55'

W. Faye

56'

56'

H. Jurado

60'

C. Ravych / R. Caicedo ↕

60'

G. Magnee / E. Kakou ↕

60'

Nazinho / K. Valy ↕

64'

G. Magnee

⚽P. M. Fall · ast. J. Liongola

69'

71'

O. Adewumi / D. Vanzeir ↕

⚽J. Liongola (pen.)

76'

78'

K. Kouassi / H. Jurado ↕

↕ S. Lahssaini / A. Beka Beka

80'

↕ W. Faye / S. Traore

87'

↕ P. M. Fall / M. Maisonneuve

90'

Pre-match prediction

24.61%

RAAL ←

17.11%

X

58.28%

Cercle

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (RAAL La Louvière) 24.61% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

RAAL

1.94

1.51

-0.43

Cercle

3.28

1.00

-2.28

RAAL La Louvière dominated by xG (1.51 vs 1.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gent	9	25
2	Club Brugge KV	9	24
3	Union St. Gilloise	9	23
4	Charleroi	9	21
5	Anderlecht	9	16
6	Genk	9	15
7	KVC Westerlo	9	14
8	Lommel United	9	12
9	Standard Liege	9	11
10	Zulte Waregem	9	11
11	Antwerp	9	10
12	SK Beveren	9	10
13	St. Truiden	9	8
14	RAAL La Louvière	9	7
15	KV Mechelen	8	6
16	OH Leuven	9	6
17	Kortrijk	8	3
18	Cercle Brugge	9	3

Lineups

RAAL La Louvière 3-1-4-2

21

86' G 6.30

25 Djibril Lamego 86' D 6.60

99 Y. Okou 86' D 7.20

4 Wagane Faye 1 ⚽ 86' D 7.70

15 S. Lahssaini 80' M 7.00

5 Thierry Lutonda 1 👟 86' M 7.30

18 Majeed Ashimeru 45' M 6.60

23 J. Ito 45' M 6.30

11 Jordi Liongola 1 ⚽ 2 👟 86' M 10.00

7 P. Fall 2 ⚽ 86' F 8.90

22 Jerry Afriyie 86' F 6.70

Bench

6

A. Beka Beka 6' M

28 B. Soumaré 41' M 6.30

27 N. Nsingi F

3 Nolan Gillot D

8 S. Gueulette 41' M 6.70

Cercle Brugge 3-4-2-1

84

86' G 6.20

33 Royer Caicedo 60' D 6.20

24 Geoffrey Kondo 86' D 6.70

5 Emmanuel Kakou 60' D 6.50

12 V. Konaté 60' M 6.90

18

P. Gerkens 86' M 6.90

19 Makaya Ibrahima Diaby 86' M 6.30

2 Ibrahim Diakité 86' M 6.60

23 H. Jurado 78' F 6.30

13 D. Vanzeir 1 👟 70' F 6.30

10 O. Diakité 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.00

Bench

20 Flávio Nazinho 26' D 5.30

15 Gary Magnee 26' D 6.20

28 Hannes Van Der Bruggen M

17 O. Adewumi 16' F 6.70

Best on the pitch

Jordi Liongola

M · RAAL

10.00

1 ⚽ 2 👟

1 shots · 26 pass

P. Fall

F · RAAL

8.90

2 ⚽

4 shots · 16 pass

Wagane Faye

D · RAAL

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 29 pass

Thierry Lutonda

M · RAAL

7.30

1 👟

· 23 pass

Y. Okou

D · RAAL

7.20

· 37 pass

S. Lahssaini

M · RAAL

7.00

· 36 pass

RAAL La Louvière — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	86	6.30	—	—	—	31	20%	—	—	—
Djibril Lamego	D	86	6.60	—	—	—	27	19%	2	—	—
Y. Okou	D	86	7.20	—	—	—	37	34%	—	—	—
Wagane Faye	D	86	7.70	1	—	2	29	25%	2	1	—
S. Lahssaini	M	80	7.00	—	—	—	36	31%	3	—	—
Thierry Lutonda	M	86	7.30	—	1	—	23	21%	2	—	—
Majeed Ashimeru	M	45	6.60	—	—	1	18	15%	2	—	—
J. Ito	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
Jordi Liongola	M	86	10.00	1	2	1	26	17%	7	—	—
P. Fall	F	86	8.90	2	—	4	16	9%	—	—	—
Jerry Afriyie	F	86	6.70	—	—	1	12	11%	1	—	—
A. Beka Beka	M	6	—	—	—	—	4	2%	2	—	—
B. Soumaré	M	41	6.30	—	—	1	12	11%	2	—	—
S. Gueulette	M	41	6.70	—	—	—	14	12%	—	—	—

Cercle Brugge — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	86	6.20	—	—	—	19	13%	—	—	—
Royer Caicedo	D	60	6.20	—	—	1	30	25%	2	—	—
Geoffrey Kondo	D	86	6.70	—	—	1	59	53%	—	—	—
Emmanuel Kakou	D	60	6.50	—	—	1	34	30%	2	—	—
V. Konaté	M	60	6.90	—	—	—	22	17%	4	—	—
P. Gerkens	M	86	6.90	—	—	—	42	32%	3	—	—
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby	M	86	6.30	—	—	—	36	31%	4	—	—
Ibrahim Diakité	M	86	6.60	—	—	—	32	26%	3	—	—
H. Jurado	F	78	6.30	—	—	—	18	15%	1	1	—
D. Vanzeir	F	70	6.30	—	1	2	20	16%	—	—	—
O. Diakité	F	86	7.00	1	—	1	12	9%	1	—	—
Flávio Nazinho	D	26	5.30	—	—	—	7	3%	—	—	—
Gary Magnee	D	26	6.20	—	—	—	10	8%	2	1	—
O. Adewumi	F	16	6.70	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—