Pro League · Relegation Group - 36 May 09, 2026 16:00

RAAL La Louvière

#3 · 34 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Cercle Brugge

#2 · 41 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Cercle Brugge, result RAAL La Louvière vince

P. M. Fall (ast. T. Lutonda) 51'

W. Faye (ast. J. Liongola) 55'

P. M. Fall (ast. J. Liongola) 69'

J. Liongola 76' (pen.)

34' (ast. D. Vanzeir) O. Diakite

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cercle Brugge a 58% win probability (draw 17%, RAAL La Louvière 24%). The final result was RAAL La Louvière 4–1 Cercle Brugge. In 3 previous meetings, RAAL La Louvière have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cercle Brugge.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

7

6

Shots on target

4

1.51

Actual xG

1.00

3

Saves

2

44%

Possession

56%

6

Corners

5

24

Tackles

22

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

34'

ast. D. Vanzeir · O. Diakite⚽

↕ J. Ito / S. Gueulette

46'

↕ M. Ashimeru / B. Soumare

46'

⚽P. M. Fall · ast. T. Lutonda

51'

⚽W. Faye · ast. J. Liongola

55'

W. Faye

56'

56'

H. Jurado

60'

C. Ravych / R. Caicedo ↕

60'

G. Magnee / E. Kakou ↕

60'

Nazinho / K. Valy ↕

64'

G. Magnee

⚽P. M. Fall · ast. J. Liongola

69'

71'

O. Adewumi / D. Vanzeir ↕

⚽J. Liongola (pen.)

76'

78'

K. Kouassi / H. Jurado ↕

↕ S. Lahssaini / A. Beka Beka

80'

↕ W. Faye / S. Traore

87'

↕ P. M. Fall / M. Maisonneuve

90'

Pre-match prediction

24.61%

RAAL ←

17.11%

X

58.28%

Cercle

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (RAAL La Louvière) 24.61% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

RAAL

1.94

1.51

-0.43

Cercle

3.28

1.00

-2.28

RAAL La Louvière dominated by xG (1.51 vs 1.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Zulte Waregem	36	48
1	Genk	37	33
1	Club Brugge KV	37	50
2	Union St. Gilloise	37	49
2	Cercle Brugge	36	41
2	Standard Liege	37	33
3	St. Truiden	37	39
3	RAAL La Louvière	36	34
3	Charleroi	37	30
4	Dender	36	25
4	Anderlecht	37	29
4	KVC Westerlo	37	30
5	Gent	37	27
5	Antwerp	37	27
6	KV Mechelen	37	27
6	OH Leuven	37	19

Lineups

RAAL La Louvière 3-1-4-2

21

86' G 6.30

25

D. Lamego 86' D 6.60

99

Yllan Okou 86' D 7.20

4

W. Faye 1 ⚽ 86' D 7.70

15

S. Lahssaini 80' M 7.00

5

T. Lutonda 1 👟 86' M 7.30

18

M. Ashimeru 45' M 6.60

23

J. Ito 45' M 6.30

11

J. Liongola 1 ⚽ 2 👟 86' M 10.00

7

P. M. Fall 2 ⚽ 86' F 8.90

22

J. Afriyie 86' F 6.70

Bench

6

A. Beka Beka 6' M

28

B. Soumare 41' M 6.30

3

N. Gillot D

27

N. Nsingi F

8

S. Gueulette 41' M 6.70

Cercle Brugge 3-4-2-1

84

86' G 6.20

33

R. Caicedo 60' D 6.20

24

G. Kondo 86' D 6.70

5

E. Kakou 60' D 6.50

12

K. Valy 60' M 6.90

18

P. Gerkens 86' M 6.90

19

I. Diaby 86' M 6.30

2

I. Diakite 86' M 6.60

23

H. Jurado 78' F 6.30

13

D. Vanzeir 1 👟 70' F 6.30

10

O. Diakite 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.00

Bench

20

Flávio Nazinho 26' D 5.30

15

G. Magnee 26' D 6.20

28

Hannes Van Der Bruggen M

17

O. Adewumi 16' F 6.70

Best on the pitch

J. Liongola

M · RAAL

10.00

1 ⚽ 2 👟

1 shots · 26 pass

P. M. Fall

F · RAAL

8.90

2 ⚽

4 shots · 16 pass

W. Faye

D · RAAL

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 29 pass

T. Lutonda

M · RAAL

7.30

1 👟

· 23 pass

Yllan Okou

D · RAAL

7.20

· 37 pass

S. Lahssaini

M · RAAL

7.00

· 36 pass

RAAL La Louvière — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	86	6.30	—	—	—	31	20%	—	—	—
D. Lamego	D	86	6.60	—	—	—	27	19%	2	—	—
Yllan Okou	D	86	7.20	—	—	—	37	34%	—	—	—
W. Faye	D	86	7.70	1	—	2	29	25%	2	1	—
S. Lahssaini	M	80	7.00	—	—	—	36	31%	3	—	—
T. Lutonda	M	86	7.30	—	1	—	23	21%	2	—	—
M. Ashimeru	M	45	6.60	—	—	1	18	15%	2	—	—
J. Ito	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
J. Liongola	M	86	10.00	1	2	1	26	17%	7	—	—
P. M. Fall	F	86	8.90	2	—	4	16	9%	—	—	—
J. Afriyie	F	86	6.70	—	—	1	12	11%	1	—	—
A. Beka Beka	M	6	—	—	—	—	4	2%	2	—	—
B. Soumare	M	41	6.30	—	—	1	12	11%	2	—	—
S. Gueulette	M	41	6.70	—	—	—	14	12%	—	—	—

Cercle Brugge — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	86	6.20	—	—	—	19	13%	—	—	—
R. Caicedo	D	60	6.20	—	—	1	30	25%	2	—	—
G. Kondo	D	86	6.70	—	—	1	59	53%	—	—	—
E. Kakou	D	60	6.50	—	—	1	34	30%	2	—	—
K. Valy	M	60	6.90	—	—	—	22	17%	4	—	—
P. Gerkens	M	86	6.90	—	—	—	42	32%	3	—	—
I. Diaby	M	86	6.30	—	—	—	36	31%	4	—	—
I. Diakite	M	86	6.60	—	—	—	32	26%	3	—	—
H. Jurado	F	78	6.30	—	—	—	18	15%	1	1	—
D. Vanzeir	F	70	6.30	—	1	2	20	16%	—	—	—
O. Diakite	F	86	7.00	1	—	1	12	9%	1	—	—
Flávio Nazinho	D	26	5.30	—	—	—	7	3%	—	—	—
G. Magnee	D	26	6.20	—	—	—	10	8%	2	1	—
O. Adewumi	F	16	6.70	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—