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Racing Club - Boca Juniors

Copa Argentina September 27, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.84%
Win
Racing Club
34.65%
Draw
35.5%
Win
Boca Juniors
0.88
Expected xG
1.08

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (15.69%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 35%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 70%
12 65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
✓ 78.6% hit rate (14 picks)
Over 2.5 48%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Boca Juniors a 35% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Racing Club. Expected goals are 0.9 for Racing Club and 1.1 for Boca Juniors (total 2.0), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.69% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Racing Club have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Boca Juniors.

Season Stats

Racing Club
3W 0D 0L
Boca Juniors
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.3
0.3
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
100%
Based on the last 3 matches in Copa Argentina. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
Racing Club
3W 0D 0L · at home
Boca Juniors
1W 1D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
0.3
Conceded
0.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
33%
O 1.5
50%
33%
O 2.5
0%
33%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 3
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Racing Club Boca Juniors →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1% 15.2% 8.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.4% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

W Belgrano Cordoba 1–0
W Defensa Y Justicia 4–1
W San Martin Formosa 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
D Velez Sarsfield 0–0
W Sarmiento Junin 0–2
W Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 31%

Playing profile

Racing Club Racing Club
Attack
29
Defence
61
Form
42
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
Attack
34
Defence
80
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?
The model gives Racing Club a 29% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 35% for an Boca Juniors win.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?
Expected goals: Racing Club 0.9, Boca Juniors 1.1 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.69%.