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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 13 October 18, 2026 19:45 Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Buenos Aires
Racing Club
#8 · 21 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Independiente
#5 · 24 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Racing Club, result Draw
Matías Zaracho 29'
(pen.) 65' Maximiliano Meza
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Racing Club a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Independiente 23%). The final result was Racing Club 1–1 Independiente. In 1 previous meetings, Racing Club have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
1.09
2
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
8
Corners
4
18
Tackles
15
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Juan Barinaga
6'
Matías Zaracho
17'
⚽Matías Zaracho
29'
45'
Matías Abaldo / Luciano Cabral ↕
Mateo Ezequiel Martínez
49'
Gonzalo Escudero
64'
65'
(pen.) Maximiliano Meza⚽
↕ Tomás Conechny / Duván Vergara
72'
↕ Matías Zaracho / Diego Ulises·Ortegoza
72'
↕ Matías Kranevitter / Leonel Pérez
73'
↕ Juan Barinaga / Ezequiel Cannavo
76'
78'
Iván Morales / Chimy Ávila ↕
78'
Leonardo Godoy / Santiago Arias ↕
↕ Lautaro Diaz / Elías David Torres
81'
86'
Facundo Zabala / Nahuel Banegas ↕
87'
Iván Morales
89'
Lautaro Millán / Maximiliano Meza ↕
90'+2
Leonardo Godoy
Leonel Pérez
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
55.76%
Racing
20.81%
X ←
23.44%
Independiente
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Racing
2.31
1.27
-1.04
Independiente
1.38
1.09
-0.29
xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.09). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
2 River Plate River Plate 16 29
3 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 29
4 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 28
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 26
7 Huracan Huracan 16 22
8 Racing Club Racing Club 16 21
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 21
10 Tigre Tigre 16 20
11 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 19
12 Banfield Banfield 16 18
13 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 14
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 8
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 5
Lineups
Racing Club Racing Club 4-3-3
25 F. Cambeses F. Cambeses G 6.53
19 I. Rodríguez I. Rodríguez D 6.86
43 G. Escudero G. Escudero D 6.56
38 M. Martinez M. Martinez D 6.14
14 J. Barinaga J. Barinaga 76' D 6.09
20 G. Lodico G. Lodico M 6.78
5 M. Kranevitter M. Kranevitter 73' M 6.38
11 M. Zaracho M. Zaracho 1 ⚽ 72' M 7.32
17 T. Conechny T. Conechny 72' F 6.49
9 A. Martínez A. Martínez F 6.19
32 L. Díaz L. Díaz 81' F 6.36
Bench
18 A. Espino A. Espino D 0.00
24 A. Fernández A. Fernández M 0.00
46 A. Tello A. Tello M 0.00
16 D. Ortegoza D. Ortegoza 18' M 6.98
7 D. Vergara D. Vergara 18' F 6.66
4 E. Cannavo E. Cannavo 14' D 6.63
22 E. Torres E. Torres 9' F 6.86
40 F. Fraga F. Fraga F 0.00
33 L. Pérez L. Pérez 17' M 6.35
2 M. Pérez M. Pérez D 0.00
30 M. Tagliamonte M. Tagliamonte G 0.00
23 N. Colombo N. Colombo D 0.00
Independiente Independiente 4-3-3
33 R. Rey R. Rey G 6.30
5 N. Banegas N. Banegas 86' D 6.69
35 J. Arrayago J. Arrayago D 6.43
36 S. Valdez S. Valdez D 6.58
4 S. Arias S. Arias 78' D 6.55
8 M. Meza M. Meza 1 ⚽ 89' M 6.89
23 I. Marcone I. Marcone M 6.24
16 M. Perez M. Perez M 5.99
10 L. Cabral L. Cabral 45' F 6.57
6 E. Ávila E. Ávila 78' F 6.84
7 S. Montiel S. Montiel F 6.11
Bench
32 D. Martínez D. Martínez M 0.00
2 F. Calderón F. Calderón D 0.00
34 F. Tempone F. Tempone F 0.00
22 F. Zabala F. Zabala 4' D 6.38
9 I. Morales I. Morales 12' F 6.19
13 J. Fedorco J. Fedorco D 0.00
24 J. Palais J. Palais M 0.00
14 Lautaro Millán Lautaro Millán 1' M 6.27
29 L. Godoy L. Godoy 12' D 5.89
19 M. Abaldo M. Abaldo 45' F 6.54
77 S. Mele S. Mele G 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Zaracho
M. Zaracho
M · Racing
7.32
1 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
D. Ortegoza
D. Ortegoza
M · Racing
6.98
1 shots · 14 pass
M. Meza
M. Meza
M · Independiente
6.89
1 ⚽
3 shots · 26 pass
I. Rodríguez
I. Rodríguez
D · Racing
6.86
· 41 pass
E. Torres
E. Torres
F · Racing
6.86
· 5 pass
E. Ávila
E. Ávila
F · Independiente
6.84
3 shots · 19 pass
Racing Club Racing Club — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Cambeses G 90 6.53 — — 0 30 21% 0 — —
I. Rodríguez D 90 6.86 — — 0 41 35% 0 — —
G. Escudero D 90 6.56 — — 1 45 36% 2 1 —
M. Martinez D 90 6.14 — — 0 41 34% 2 1 —
J. Barinaga D 76 6.09 — — 0 21 15% 0 1 —
G. Lodico M 90 6.78 — — 1 55 47% 1 — —
M. Kranevitter M 73 6.38 — — 2 36 26% 1 — —
M. Zaracho M 72 7.32 1 — 3 30 22% 2 1 —
T. Conechny F 72 6.49 — — 0 29 19% 2 — —
A. Martínez F 90 6.19 — — 1 23 13% 0 — —
L. Díaz F 81 6.36 — — 0 9 5% 3 — —
D. Ortegoza M 18 6.98 — — 1 14 12% 0 — —
D. Vergara F 18 6.66 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
E. Cannavo D 14 6.63 — — 0 7 4% 3 — —
E. Torres F 9 6.86 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
L. Pérez M 17 6.35 — — 0 11 7% 2 1 —
Independiente Independiente — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Rey G 90 6.30 — — 0 34 23% 0 — —
N. Banegas D 86 6.69 — — 0 32 21% 3 — —
J. Arrayago D 90 6.43 — — 1 33 23% 2 — —
S. Valdez D 90 6.58 — — 0 50 37% 2 — —
S. Arias D 78 6.55 — — 0 26 19% 0 — —
M. Meza M 89 6.89 1 — 3 26 17% 1 — —
I. Marcone M 90 6.24 — — 0 47 36% 2 — —
M. Perez M 90 5.99 — — 1 34 29% 3 — —
L. Cabral F 45 6.57 — — 0 25 21% 0 — —
E. Ávila F 78 6.84 — — 3 19 13% 0 — —
S. Montiel F 90 6.11 — — 2 23 13% 1 — —
F. Zabala D 4 6.38 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
I. Morales F 12 6.19 — — 0 5 3% 0 1 —
Lautaro Millán M 1 6.27 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
L. Godoy D 12 5.89 — — 0 4 1% 0 1 —
M. Abaldo F 45 6.54 — — 0 10 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Racing Club vs Independiente?
The final score was Racing Club 1–1 Independiente.
What did the model predict before Racing Club vs Independiente?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Racing Club win, 20% to a draw, and 23% to an Independiente win.