Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Racing Club
D. Vergara
(ast. I. Rodriguez)
18'
M. Miljevic
(ast. A. Fernandez)
59'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Racing Club a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Independiente Petrolero 14%). The final result was Racing Club 2–0 Independiente Petrolero. In 1 previous meetings, Racing Club have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Independiente Petrolero.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
0.83
Actual xG
0.91
2
Saves
5
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
2
23
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
E. Cannavo
13'
⚽D. Vergara
· ast. I. Rodriguez
18'
27'
A. Mercado
35'
R. Rivas
E. Cannavo
/ T. Rubio
46'
59'
Wagner Pinote
/
G. Cristaldo
59'
Willie
/
Adelan
⚽M. Miljevic
· ast. A. Fernandez
59'
67'
(missed pen.)
Willie⚽
A. Fernandez
/ B. Zuculini
67'
T. Perez
/ D. Pizarro
68'
68'
R. Lutkowski
/
A. Mercado
D. Vergara
/ T. Conechny
74'
A. Tello
/ F. Schaare
74'
78'
J. Vera
/
J. Gutierrez
78'
J. Villavicencio
/
H. Leanos
Pre-match prediction
67.52%
Racing ←
17.63%
X
14.85%
Independiente
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Racing Club)
67.52%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.46
0.83
-1.63
0.88
0.91
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (0.83 – 0.91).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
F. Cambeses
G
F. Cambeses
G
19
Ignacio Rodríguez
1 👟
D
Ignacio Rodríguez
1 👟
D
43
Gonzalo Escudero
D
Gonzalo Escudero
D
18
Franco Pardo
D
Franco Pardo
D
4
Ezequiel Cannavo
45'
D
Ezequiel Cannavo
45'
D
10
Matko Miljevic
1 ⚽
M
Matko Miljevic
1 ⚽
M
46
Alejandro Tello
74'
M
Alejandro Tello
74'
M
24
A. Fernández
1 👟
67'
M
A. Fernández
1 👟
67'
M
7
Duván Vergara
1 ⚽
74'
F
Duván Vergara
1 ⚽
74'
F
58
Tomás Pérez
68'
F
Tomás Pérez
68'
F
44
Gonzalo Sosa
F
Gonzalo Sosa
F
Bench
36
Bruno Zuculini
23'
M
Bruno Zuculini
23'
M
14
Damián Pizarro
22'
F
Damián Pizarro
22'
F
45
Ezequiel Pérez
M
Ezequiel Pérez
M
59
Felipe Schaare
16'
M
Felipe Schaare
16'
M
40
Francisco Fraga
F
Francisco Fraga
F
42
Galo Volpe
D
Galo Volpe
D
48
Gonzalo Leiva
M
Gonzalo Leiva
M
30
Matías Tagliamonte
G
Matías Tagliamonte
G
23
Nazareno Colombo
D
Nazareno Colombo
D
13
Santiago Sosa
M
Santiago Sosa
M
34
Tobías Rubio
45'
D
Tobías Rubio
45'
D
17
Tomás Conechny
16'
F
Tomás Conechny
16'
F
1
Johan Gutiérrez
78'
G
Johan Gutiérrez
78'
G
32
Heber Leanos
78'
D
Heber Leanos
78'
D
3
Eduardo Porto
D
Eduardo Porto
D
5
Luis Palma
D
Luis Palma
D
2
S. Torres
D
S. Torres
D
88
Adelan Santos Da Silva
59'
M
Adelan Santos Da Silva
59'
M
20
A. Mercado
68'
M
A. Mercado
68'
M
19
Gustavo Cristaldo
59'
M
Gustavo Cristaldo
59'
M
6
Daniel Rojas
M
Daniel Rojas
M
7
Rudy Cardozo
M
Rudy Cardozo
M
23
R. Rivas
F
R. Rivas
F
Bench
14
Cristian Jhamil Urdininea
M
Cristian Jhamil Urdininea
M
27
Diego Navarro
F
Diego Navarro
F
50
Diego Vargas
D
Diego Vargas
D
12
Jhunior Vera
12'
G
Jhunior Vera
12'
G
39
Pablo Grass
D
Pablo Grass
D
11
Rafael Lutkowski
22'
F
Rafael Lutkowski
22'
F
59
Roberto Villavicencio
12'
D
Roberto Villavicencio
12'
D
77
Rodrigo Zamora
D
Rodrigo Zamora
D
16
Ronny Montero
D
Ronny Montero
D
99
Wagner
31'
F
Wagner
31'
F
93
Willie
31'
M
Willie
31'
M
Best on the pitch
Matko Miljevic
M · Racing
10.00
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 88 pass
F. Cambeses
G · Racing
7.90
· 31 pass
Duván Vergara
F · Racing
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
Gonzalo Sosa
F · Racing
7.50
1 shots
· 35 pass
Franco Pardo
D · Racing
7.30
· 73 pass
A. Fernández
M · Racing
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 50 pass
Racing Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cambeses | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Rodríguez | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Escudero | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 82 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Pardo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 73 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Ezequiel Cannavo | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matko Miljevic | M | 90 | 10.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 88 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejandro Tello | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Fernández | M | 67 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Duván Vergara | F | 74 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Tomás Pérez | F | 68 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Sosa | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 6 | — | — |
| Bruno Zuculini | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Damián Pizarro | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Schaare | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Tobías Rubio | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Tomás Conechny | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Independiente Petrolero — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johan Gutiérrez | G | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Heber Leanos | D | 78 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Eduardo Porto | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Palma | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Torres | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Adelan Santos Da Silva | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mercado | M | 68 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Cristaldo | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Rojas | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Rudy Cardozo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Rivas | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jhunior Vera | G | 12 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Lutkowski | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Villavicencio | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Wagner | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Willie | M | 31 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Racing Club vs Independiente Petrolero?
The final score was Racing Club 2–0 Independiente Petrolero.
What did the model predict before Racing Club vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Racing Club win, 17% to a draw, and 14% to an Independiente Petrolero win.