Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Racing Club
D. Vergara
(ast. I. Rodriguez)
18'
M. Miljevic
(ast. A. Fernandez)
59'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Racing Club a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Independiente Petrolero 14%). The final result was Racing Club 2–0 Independiente Petrolero. In 1 previous meetings, Racing Club have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Independiente Petrolero.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
0.83
Actual xG
0.91
2
Saves
5
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
2
23
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
E. Cannavo
13'
⚽D. Vergara
· ast. I. Rodriguez
18'
27'
A. Mercado
35'
R. Rivas
E. Cannavo
/ T. Rubio
46'
59'
Wagner Pinote
/
G. Cristaldo
59'
Willie
/
Adelan
⚽M. Miljevic
· ast. A. Fernandez
59'
67'
(missed pen.)
Willie⚽
A. Fernandez
/ B. Zuculini
67'
T. Perez
/ D. Pizarro
68'
68'
R. Lutkowski
/
A. Mercado
D. Vergara
/ T. Conechny
74'
A. Tello
/ F. Schaare
74'
78'
J. Vera
/
J. Gutierrez
78'
J. Villavicencio
/
H. Leanos
Pre-match prediction
67.52%
Racing ←
17.63%
X
14.85%
Independiente
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Racing Club)
67.52%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.46
0.83
-1.63
0.88
0.91
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (0.83 – 0.91).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
F. Cambeses
G
F. Cambeses
G
19
I. Rodríguez
1 👟
D
I. Rodríguez
1 👟
D
43
G. Escudero
D
G. Escudero
D
18
F. Pardo
D
F. Pardo
D
4
E. Cannavo
45'
D
E. Cannavo
45'
D
10
M. Miljevic
1 ⚽
M
M. Miljevic
1 ⚽
M
46
A. Tello
74'
M
A. Tello
74'
M
24
A. Fernández
1 👟
67'
M
A. Fernández
1 👟
67'
M
7
D. Vergara
1 ⚽
74'
F
D. Vergara
1 ⚽
74'
F
58
T. Pérez
68'
F
T. Pérez
68'
F
44
G. Sosa
F
Bench
45
Bautista Pérez
M
Bautista Pérez
M
36
B. Zuculini
23'
M
14
D. Pizarro
22'
F
D. Pizarro
22'
F
59
Felipe Schaare
16'
M
Felipe Schaare
16'
M
40
F. Fraga
F
F. Fraga
F
42
Galo Volpe
D
Galo Volpe
D
48
Gonzalo Leiva
M
Gonzalo Leiva
M
30
M. Tagliamonte
G
M. Tagliamonte
G
23
N. Colombo
D
N. Colombo
D
13
S. Sosa
M
S. Sosa
M
17
T. Conechny
16'
F
T. Conechny
16'
F
34
T. Rubio
45'
D
T. Rubio
45'
D
1
J. Gutiérrez
78'
G
J. Gutiérrez
78'
G
32
Heber Leanos
78'
D
Heber Leanos
78'
D
3
Eduardo Porto
D
Eduardo Porto
D
5
Luis Braihan Palma Escobar
D
Luis Braihan Palma Escobar
D
2
S. Torres
D
S. Torres
D
88
Adelan Santos Da Silva
59'
M
Adelan Santos Da Silva
59'
M
20
A. Mercado
68'
M
A. Mercado
68'
M
19
G. Cristaldo
59'
M
G. Cristaldo
59'
M
6
D. Rojas
M
D. Rojas
M
7
R. Cardozo
M
R. Cardozo
M
23
R. Rivas
F
R. Rivas
F
Bench
14
Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana
M
Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana
M
50
Diego Vargas
D
Diego Vargas
D
27
D. Navarro
F
D. Navarro
F
12
Jhunior Vera
12'
G
Jhunior Vera
12'
G
39
Pablo Grass
D
Pablo Grass
D
11
Rafael Lutkowski
22'
F
Rafael Lutkowski
22'
F
59
Roberto Villavicencio
12'
D
Roberto Villavicencio
12'
D
16
Ronny Montero
D
Ronny Montero
D
77
R. Zamora
D
R. Zamora
D
99
Wagner
31'
F
Wagner
31'
F
93
Willie
31'
M
Willie
31'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Miljevic
M · Racing
10.00
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 88 pass
F. Cambeses
G · Racing
7.90
· 31 pass
D. Vergara
F · Racing
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
G. Sosa
F · Racing
7.50
1 shots
· 35 pass
F. Pardo
D · Racing
7.30
· 73 pass
A. Fernández
M · Racing
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 50 pass
Racing Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cambeses | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| I. Rodríguez | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Escudero | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 82 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pardo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 73 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Cannavo | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Miljevic | M | 90 | 10.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 88 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Tello | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Fernández | M | 67 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vergara | F | 74 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Pérez | F | 68 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| G. Sosa | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 6 | — | — |
| B. Zuculini | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Pizarro | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Schaare | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| T. Conechny | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Rubio | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
Independiente Petrolero — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gutiérrez | G | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Heber Leanos | D | 78 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Eduardo Porto | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Braihan Palma Escobar | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Torres | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Adelan Santos Da Silva | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mercado | M | 68 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Cristaldo | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rojas | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Cardozo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Rivas | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jhunior Vera | G | 12 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Lutkowski | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Villavicencio | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Wagner | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Willie | M | 31 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Racing Club vs Independiente Petrolero?
The final score was Racing Club 2–0 Independiente Petrolero.
What did the model predict before Racing Club vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Racing Club win, 17% to a draw, and 14% to an Independiente Petrolero win.