Racing Club 3–1 Sarmiento Junin — pre-match prediction — Liga Profesional — September 19, 2026

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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 10 September 19, 2026 02:15

Racing Club

#8 · 21 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Sarmiento Junin

#7 · 16 pts

G. Escudero (ast. U. Ortegoza) 23'

Adrian Martinez (ast. U. Ortegoza) 52'

I. Rodriguez 80'

26' (ast. J. Contrera) J. Marabel

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Racing Club a 49% win probability (draw 22%, Sarmiento Junin 28%). The final result was Racing Club 3–1 Sarmiento Junin. In 1 previous meetings, Racing Club have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sarmiento Junin.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.62

Actual xG

0.58

Saves

62%

Possession

38%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽G. Escudero · ast. U. Ortegoza

23'

26'

ast. J. Contrera · J. Marabel⚽

39'

J. Insaurralde

⚽Adrian Martinez · ast. U. Ortegoza

52'

58'

Diego Churin / J. Herrera ↕

58'

J. Renteria / J. Contrera ↕

62'

C. Zabala

Adrian Martinez

63'

71'

M. Martinez

↕ G. Escudero / N. Colombo

78'

⚽I. Rodriguez

80'

81'

E. Gimenez / M. Martinez ↕

81'

G. Diaz / N. Pasquini ↕

82'

G. Gonzalez / J. Mavilla ↕

83'

S. Salle

↕ U. Ortegoza / M. Kranevitter

85'

↕ G. A. Lodico / M. Miljevic

85'

↕ Adrian Martinez / E. Torres

90'+1

↕ L. Diaz / D. Vergara

90'+1

Pre-match prediction

49.61%

Racing ←

22.08%

28.31%

Sarmiento

we assigned to the actual result (Racing Club) 49.61% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Racing

1.94

1.62

-0.31

Sarmiento

1.55

0.58

-0.97

Racing Club dominated by xG (1.62 vs 0.58). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	34
2	River Plate	16	29
3	Argentinos JRS	16	29
4	Rosario Central	16	28
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	26
7	Huracan	16	22
8	Racing Club	16	21
9	Barracas Central	16	21
10	Tigre	16	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	19
12	Banfield	16	18
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	14
14	Aldosivi	16	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	5

Lineups

Racing Club 5-3-2

F. Cambeses G 6.20

Ignacio Rodríguez 1 ⚽ D 8.00

Gonzalo Escudero 1 ⚽ 78' D 7.50

M. Rojo D 7.90

Mateo Martinez D 6.60

Matías Zaracho D 6.60

Gastón Lodico 85' M 6.30

Leonel Pérez M 7.00

Ulises Ortegoza 2 👟 85' M 7.50

A. Martínez 1 ⚽ F 7.20

Lautaro Díaz F 6.30

Bench

Adrián Fernández M

Alberto Campo Deusa F

Alejandro Tello M

Duván Vergara 1' F

Elías Torres F

Gonzalo Leiva M

Matías Kranevitter 7' M

Matías Tagliamonte G

Matko Miljevic 7' M

Nazareno Colombo 14' D 6.50

Pacha D

Tomás Conechny F

Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2

Thyago Ayala G 5.30

Nicolás Pasquini 81' D 7.30

J. Insaurralde D 6.50

Renzo Orihuela D 6.60

S. Salle D 6.50

Julián Mavilla 82' M 6.30

Mauricio Martínez 81' M 6.30

Cristian Zabala M 6.30

Julian Contrera 1 👟 58' M 6.90

Jonathan Herrera 58' F 6.50

J. Marabel 1 ⚽ F 6.90

Bench

Diego Churin 34' F 6.70

Elián Giménez 11' M 6.50

Facundo Alaggia M

Gabriel Díaz 11' D 6.30

Gastón Arturia D

Gastón González 10' F 6.30

Iván Arboleda G

Jhon Renteria 34' M 6.30

Manuel Garcia M

Pablo Magnin F

Thiago Santamaría D

Ulises Giménez D

Best on the pitch

Ignacio Rodríguez

D · Racing

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 30 pass

M. Rojo

D · Racing

7.90

1 shots · 71 pass

Gonzalo Escudero

D · Racing

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 51 pass

Ulises Ortegoza

M · Racing

7.50

2 👟

· 39 pass

Nicolás Pasquini

D · Sarmiento

7.30

· 19 pass

A. Martínez

F · Racing

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 19 pass

Racing Club — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
F. Cambeses	G	92	6.20	—	—	—	15	9%	—	—	—
Ignacio Rodríguez	D	92	8.00	1	—	2	30	22%	1	—	—
Gonzalo Escudero	D	78	7.50	1	—	2	51	39%	—	—	—
M. Rojo	D	92	7.90	—	—	1	71	65%	2	—	—
Mateo Martinez	D	92	6.60	—	—	—	62	54%	1	—	—
Matías Zaracho	D	92	6.60	—	—	1	36	32%	1	—	—
Gastón Lodico	M	85	6.30	—	—	—	39	30%	1	—	—
Leonel Pérez	M	92	7.00	—	—	1	36	30%	1	—	—
Ulises Ortegoza	M	85	7.50	—	2	—	39	30%	1	—	—
A. Martínez	F	91	7.20	1	—	2	19	16%	—	1	—
Lautaro Díaz	F	91	6.30	—	—	1	15	7%	3	—	—
Duván Vergara	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Matías Kranevitter	M	7	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Matko Miljevic	M	7	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Nazareno Colombo	D	14	6.50	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Sarmiento Junin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Thyago Ayala	G	92	5.30	—	—	—	23	10%	—	—	—
Nicolás Pasquini	D	81	7.30	—	—	—	19	12%	3	—	—
J. Insaurralde	D	92	6.50	—	—	—	36	23%	1	1	—
Renzo Orihuela	D	92	6.60	—	—	—	25	17%	2	—	—
S. Salle	D	92	6.50	—	—	1	24	15%	—	1	—
Julián Mavilla	M	82	6.30	—	—	1	18	15%	2	—	—
Mauricio Martínez	M	81	6.30	—	—	1	20	13%	2	1	—
Cristian Zabala	M	92	6.30	—	—	1	36	25%	2	1	—
Julian Contrera	M	58	6.90	—	1	—	6	1%	—	—	—
Jonathan Herrera	F	58	6.50	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
J. Marabel	F	92	6.90	1	—	1	13	3%	—	—	—
Diego Churin	F	34	6.70	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
Elián Giménez	M	11	6.50	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
Gabriel Díaz	D	11	6.30	—	—	—	7	7%	—	—	—
Gastón González	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
Jhon Renteria	M	34	6.30	—	—	1	6	6%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin?

The final score was Racing Club 3–1 Sarmiento Junin.

What did the model predict before Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin?

The model assigned 49% probability to a Racing Club win, 22% to a draw, and 28% to an Sarmiento Junin win.