Primera División
· Apertura - 12
April 18, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Racing Montevideo, result Draw
Tomas Habib
39'
76'
Brian Montenegro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Racing Montevideo a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Defensor Sporting 19%). The final result was Racing Montevideo 1–1 Defensor Sporting. In 1 previous meetings, Racing Montevideo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Defensor Sporting.
Match statistics
Match Events
Tomas Habib
20'
29'
Lucas Paul De los Santos
⚽Tomas Habib
39'
Tomas Habib
/ Esteban Da Silva
46'
Sebastián da Silva
/ Nicolás Sosa
65'
Facundo Machado
67'
73'
Alan Torterolo
/
Nicolás Wunsch
76'
Brian Montenegro⚽
Erik De Los Santos
/ Bautista Tomatis
78'
Martín Ferreira
/ Yury Oyarzo
78'
80'
Brian Montenegro
84'
Lucas Paul De los Santos
84'
Lucas Paul De los Santos
86'
Daniel Martinez
/
Facundo Castro
89'
Erico Cuello Gutiérrez
/
Alexander Machado
Pre-match prediction
55.83%
Racing
24.77%
X ←
19.4%
Defensor
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.79
—
—
0.54
—
—
Lineups
12
G
3
D
13
Felipe Alvarez
D
17
Martín Ferreira
D
4
Guillermo Cotugno
D
14
Erik de Los Santos
M
21
Agustín Álvarez
M
39
Álex Vázquez
M
8
Felipe Cairus
M
18
Tomas Habib
1 ⚽
F
33
Sebastián da Silva
F
Bench
29
Facundo González
D
1
Facundo Machado
G
5
Juan Bosca Fraquelli
M
23
Nicolás Sosa
M
37
Yury Oyarzo
M
12
G
11
D
15
Axel Frugone
D
14
Juan Sorondo
D
6
M. Amaro
M
77
Facundo Castro
M
8
Nicolás Wunsch
M
24
Lucas De los Santos
M
5
G. Barrios
M
26
B. Montenegro
1 ⚽
F
9
A. Machado
F
Bench
22
Alan Torterolo
M
30
E. Cuello
M
97
Juan Pablo Goicochea
F
28
Lautaro Navarro
F
17
Valentín Rodríguez
D
Racing Montevideo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Felipe Alvarez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Cotugno | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik de Los Santos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustín Álvarez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Vázquez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Cairus | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomas Habib | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián da Silva | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Defensor Sporting — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Axel Frugone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Sorondo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Castro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Wunsch | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas De los Santos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Barrios | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Montenegro | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Machado | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?
The final score was Racing Montevideo 1–1 Defensor Sporting.
What did the model predict before Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Racing Montevideo win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Defensor Sporting win.