Primera División
· Apertura - 10
April 04, 2026 15:00
✓Model correct — prediction Racing Montevideo
F. Alvarez
22'
F. Mimbacas
38'
(og)
45'
F. Mimbacas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Racing Montevideo a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Juventud 20%). The final result was Racing Montevideo 2–1 Juventud.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽F. Alvarez
22'
Felipe Cairus
27'
Agustín Álvarez
37'
⚽F. Mimbacas
(og)
38'
44'
Leonel Roldán
45'
F. Mimbacas⚽
T. Habib
/ E. Da Silva
46'
49'
Gastón Pereiro
51'
Mateo Izaguirre
F. Cairus
/ M. Ferreira
60'
Y. Oyarzo
/ R. Dudok
60'
63'
Franco Risso
66'
G. Gomez
/
G. Pereiro
74'
I. Mujica
/
M. Izaguirre
74'
P. Lago
/
A. Alaniz
A. Alvarez Wallace
/ F. Gonzalez
78'
Sebastián da Silva
80'
S. Da Silva
/ I. Manzur
83'
86'
R. Rabino
/
E. Mas
86'
M. Perez
/
R. Peralta
Ivan Manzur
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
59.11%
Racing ←
20.58%
X
20.31%
Juventud
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Racing Montevideo)
59.11%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.89
—
—
0.71
—
—
Lineups
12
G
37
Yury Oyarzo
M
13
Felipe Alvarez
1 ⚽
D
3
D
4
Guillermo Cotugno
D
39
Álex Vázquez
M
21
Agustín Álvarez
M
8
Felipe Cairus
M
14
Erik de Los Santos
M
33
Sebastián da Silva
F
18
Tomas Habib
F
Bench
29
Facundo González
D
1
Facundo Machado
G
81
Ivan Manzur
F
17
Martín Ferreira
D
23
Nicolás Sosa
M
1
G
23
Emmanuel Más
D
28
Franco Risso
D
Franco Risso
D
2
Patricio Pernicone
D
14
Leonel Roldán
M
37
R. Peralta
M
R. Peralta
M
19
Emanuel Cecchini
M
8
Mateo Izaguirre
M
7
A. Alaniz
F
80
Fernando Mimbacas
2 ⚽
F
26
Gastón Pereiro
F
Bench
15
A. Cruz
M
A. Cruz
M
21
Facundo Perez
M
30
Gonzalo Gomez
M
25
I. Mujica
D
27
Juan Boselli
M
9
Marcelo Perez
F
11
P. Lago
M
P. Lago
M
16
Renzo Rabino
D
Racing Montevideo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yury Oyarzo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Alvarez | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Guillermo Cotugno | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Vázquez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustín Álvarez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Cairus | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik de Los Santos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián da Silva | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomas Habib | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Juventud — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Emmanuel Más | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Risso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patricio Pernicone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonel Roldán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Peralta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Cecchini | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Izaguirre | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Alaniz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Mimbacas | F | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gastón Pereiro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Racing Montevideo vs Juventud?
The final score was Racing Montevideo 2–1 Juventud.
What did the model predict before Racing Montevideo vs Juventud?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Racing Montevideo win, 20% to a draw, and 20% to an Juventud win.