Primera División
· Torneo Intermedio - 5
July 12, 2026 23:30
A. Vazquez
31'
(pen.)
74'
A. Hernandez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 34% win probability (draw 39%, Racing Montevideo 25%). The final result was Racing Montevideo 1–1 Penarol. In 1 previous meetings, Racing Montevideo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Penarol.
Match statistics
Match Events
19'
M. Olivera
25'
N. Fernandez
⚽A. Vazquez
31'
37'
L. Umpierrez
42'
C. Jaime
/
Jesus Trindade
46'
F. Romero
/
M. Olivera
E. Bentancor
58'
R. Dudok
59'
E. Bentancor
/ J. Varela
59'
R. Dudok
/ D. Cheuquepal
59'
67'
L. Angulo
/
B. Barboza
67'
F. Batista
/
E. Darias
D. Cheuquepal
73'
74'
(pen.)
A. Hernandez⚽
77'
G. Togni
/
A. Hernandez
T. Habib
/ I. Manzur
79'
J. Bosca
/ L. Loprete
87'
M. Ferreira
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
25.91%
Racing
39.52%
X ←
34.58%
Penarol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
39.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.47
—
—
0.73
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?
The final score was Racing Montevideo 1–1 Penarol.
What did the model predict before Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Racing Montevideo win, 39% to a draw, and 34% to an Penarol win.