89'
Matías Arezo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 53% win probability (draw 19%, Racing Montevideo 27%). The final result was Racing Montevideo 0–1 Penarol. In 2 previous meetings, Racing Montevideo have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Penarol.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
5
43%
Possession
57%
4
Corners
3
Match Events
Alex Vázquez
23'
28'
Jesús Trindade
29'
Lucas Agustin Ferreira Zagas
Sebastian Da Silva
29'
Martín Ferreira
46'
53'
nahuel herrera
Alex Vázquez
/ franco suarez
63'
E. Da Silva
/ Rodri Gadea
63'
69'
Mauricio Lemos
/
nahuel herrera
69'
Jonathan Rodriguez
/
Jesús Trindade
74'
Germán Pezzella
ramiro brazionis
/ Facundo Gonzalez
77'
81'
Eric Remedi
Facundo Gonzalez
85'
88'
Lucas Hernández
/
Thiago Espinosa
88'
Franco González
/
Cristian Jaime
89'
Matías Arezo⚽
90'+2
Tomás Olase Curutchet
/
Matías Arezo
yuri oyarzo
/ Juan Guarino
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
27.1%
Racing
19.9%
X
53.0%
Penarol ←
we assigned to the actual result (Penarol)
53.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.45
—
—
2.30
—
—
Lineups
12
F. Varese
G
17
R. Ferreira
D
13
Abdulkadir Ceri
D
4
G. Cotugno
D
3
R. Brazionis
D
39
Á. Vázquez
M
37
Y. Oyarzo
D
34
A. De la Cuesta Airoldi
M
5
Juan Bosca
M
10
E. da Silva
M
9
E. da Silva
F
Bench
20
E. Bentancor
D
29
F. González
D
F. González
D
1
F. Machado
G
11
F. Suárez
M
8
L. Loprete
M
27
Matias Unyicio
D
21
N. Sosa
F
30
R. Gadea
F
22
Thiago Fernandez
F
29
W. Aguerre
G
34
N. Herrera
D
6
L. Ferreira
D
2
G. Pezzella
D
7
J. Cabrera
F
21
J. Trindade
M
5
E. Remedi
D
26
Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat
D
32
L. Umpiérrez
F
11
C. Jaime
F
19
M. Arezo
1 ⚽
F
Bench
36
B. Barboza
D
9
F. Batista
F
80
F. González
M
28
I. Alegre
D
33
J. Rodríguez
F
27
L. Hernández
D
3
M. Lemos
D
8
N. Fernández
M
1
S. Britos
G
16
T. Olase
M
Racing Montevideo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Varese | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulkadir Ceri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Cotugno | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Brazionis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Á. Vázquez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Oyarzo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. De la Cuesta Airoldi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Bosca | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. da Silva | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. da Silva | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Herrera | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ferreira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Pezzella | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cabrera | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Trindade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Remedi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Nahuel Espinosa Dovat | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Umpiérrez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Jaime | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Arezo | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?
The final score was Racing Montevideo 0–1 Penarol.
What did the model predict before Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Racing Montevideo win, 19% to a draw, and 53% to an Penarol win.