Primera División
· Regular Season - 8
March 26, 2026 17:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Racing Montevideo a 54% win probability (draw 23%, Progreso 22%). The final result was Racing Montevideo 1–1 Progreso.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
54.51%
Racing
23.48%
X ←
22.01%
Progreso
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.75
—
—
0.60
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Racing Montevideo vs Progreso?
The final score was Racing Montevideo 1–1 Progreso.
What did the model predict before Racing Montevideo vs Progreso?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Racing Montevideo win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an Progreso win.