La Liga
· Regular Season - 3
August 28, 2026 19:00
Y. Zabiri
15'
Y. Zabiri
21'
Y. Zabiri
(ast. I. Vicente)
36'
78'
(ast. L. Cepeda)
Buba Sangare
79'
(ast. Tete Morente)
F. Nino
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Racing Santander a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Elche 29%). The final result was Racing Santander 3–2 Elche.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
6
1.50
Actual xG
0.99
4
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
5
Corners
10
18
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Y. Zabiri
15'
⚽Y. Zabiri
21'
⚽Y. Zabiri
· ast. I. Vicente
36'
F. Gonzalez
43'
A. Mantilla
45'
46'
E. Ponce
/
A. Houary
46'
Tete Morente
/
M. Aguado
A. Martin
/ M. Prati
59'
62'
J. Morcillo
/
P. Bigas
63'
F. Buonanotte
I. Vicente
/ G. Guliashvili
69'
Y. Zabiri
/ A. Villalibre
69'
69'
L. Cepeda
/
F. Buonanotte
78'
ast. L. Cepeda ·
Buba Sangare⚽
79'
ast. Tete Morente ·
F. Nino⚽
84'
Josan
/
Buba Sangare
S. Canales
/ M. Gueye
85'
Pre-match prediction
39.67%
Racing ←
30.6%
X
29.73%
Elche
we assigned to the actual result (Racing Santander)
39.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.05
1.50
-0.55
0.49
0.99
+0.5
Racing Santander dominated by xG (1.50 vs 0.99).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Julen Agirrezabala
G
Julen Agirrezabala
G
17
Jorge Salinas
D
Jorge Salinas
D
16
Facundo González
D
Facundo González
D
4
Manu Hernando
D
Manu Hernando
D
2
Álvaro Mantilla
D
Álvaro Mantilla
D
8
G. Puerta
M
G. Puerta
M
23
Iván Martín
M
Iván Martín
M
10
Iñigo Vicente
1 👟
69'
M
Iñigo Vicente
1 👟
69'
M
20
Sergio Canales
85'
M
Sergio Canales
85'
M
11
Andrés Martín
59'
M
Andrés Martín
59'
M
21
M. Zabiri
3 ⚽
69'
F
M. Zabiri
3 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
12
Asier Villalibre
25'
F
Asier Villalibre
25'
F
30
Carlos Sánchez
D
Carlos Sánchez
D
34
Diego Díaz
M
Diego Díaz
M
7
G. Guliashvili
25'
F
G. Guliashvili
25'
F
38
H. Perez
F
H. Perez
F
6
Íñigo Sainz-Maza
M
Íñigo Sainz-Maza
M
9
Juan Carlos Arana
F
Juan Carlos Arana
F
14
M. Gueye
9'
M
M. Gueye
9'
M
18
M. Prati
35'
M
M. Prati
35'
M
5
Pablo Ramón
D
Pablo Ramón
D
36
Sergio Martinez
M
Sergio Martinez
M
1
S. Eriksson
G
S. Eriksson
G
1
M. Dituro
G
M. Dituro
G
11
Germán Valera
D
Germán Valera
D
6
Bigas
62'
D
Bigas
62'
D
23
Víctor Chust
D
Víctor Chust
D
22
D. Affengruber
D
D. Affengruber
D
2
Buba Sangaré
1 ⚽
84'
D
Buba Sangaré
1 ⚽
84'
D
29
Ali Houary
45'
M
Ali Houary
45'
M
8
Marc Aguado
45'
M
Marc Aguado
45'
M
12
Gonzalo Villar
M
Gonzalo Villar
M
10
F. Buonanotte
69'
M
F. Buonanotte
69'
M
14
Fer Niño
1 ⚽
F
Fer Niño
1 ⚽
F
Bench
43
Alejandro Iturbe
G
Alejandro Iturbe
G
30
Alvaro Padilla
F
Alvaro Padilla
F
24
A. Osorio
F
A. Osorio
F
9
E. Ponce
49'
F
E. Ponce
49'
F
5
F. Redondo
M
F. Redondo
M
19
G. Diangana
F
G. Diangana
F
47
J. Morcillo
32'
M
J. Morcillo
32'
M
17
Josan
10'
M
Josan
10'
M
21
L. Cepeda
1 👟
25'
F
L. Cepeda
1 👟
25'
F
16
Martim Neto
M
Martim Neto
M
26
Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
D
Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
D
20
Tete Morente
1 👟
49'
F
Tete Morente
1 👟
49'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Zabiri
F · Racing
10.00
3 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
G. Puerta
M · Racing
7.70
· 62 pass
Iñigo Vicente
M · Racing
7.60
1 👟
· 52 pass
Fer Niño
F · Elche
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
Andrés Martín
M · Racing
7.50
· 17 pass
Iván Martín
M · Racing
7.20
1 shots
· 42 pass
Racing Santander — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julen Agirrezabala | G | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Salinas | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Facundo González | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| Manu Hernando | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Álvaro Mantilla | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Puerta | M | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| Iván Martín | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Iñigo Vicente | M | 69 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Canales | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Martín | M | 59 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Zabiri | F | 69 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 3 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Asier Villalibre | F | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| G. Guliashvili | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Gueye | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Prati | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
Elche — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dituro | G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Germán Valera | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Bigas | D | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Víctor Chust | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 92 | 86% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Affengruber | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| Buba Sangaré | D | 84 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Ali Houary | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Marc Aguado | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Buonanotte | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Fer Niño | F | 94 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ponce | F | 49 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Morcillo | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Josan | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Cepeda | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Tete Morente | F | 49 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Elche?
The final score was Racing Santander 3–2 Elche.
What did the model predict before Racing Santander vs Elche?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Racing Santander win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an Elche win.