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La Liga · Regular Season - 8 October 11, 2026 21:00 El Sardinero, Santander
Racing Santander
#13 · 11 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Valencia
#19 · 6 pts
Yassir Zabiri (ast. Iñigo Vicente) 32'
Iván Martín 47'
2' (ast. Justin De Haas) Daniel Raba Antolín
65' (ast. Javi Guerra) David Otorbi Ejededawe
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Racing Santander a 44% win probability (draw 26%, Valencia 29%). The final result was Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
10
11
Shots on target
2
1.35
Actual xG
1.71
0
Saves
9
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
3
15
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
2'
ast. Justin De Haas · Daniel Raba Antolín⚽
Pablo Ramon Parra
22'
⚽Yassir Zabiri · ast. Iñigo Vicente
32'
45'+2
Guido Rodríguez
Jorge Salinas Viadero
45'+2
45'+4
Daniel Raba Antolín
45'
Arnaut Danjuma / Mouctar Diakhaby ↕
47'
⚽Iván Martín
47'
58'
David Otorbi Ejededawe / Filip Ugrinic ↕
58'
Harvey Elliott / Daniel Raba Antolín ↕
↕ André Almeida / Andrés Martín
61'
↕ Pablo Ramon Parra / Aarón Martin Caricol
61'
65'
ast. Javi Guerra · David Otorbi Ejededawe⚽
72'
Pablo Maffeo
↕ Sergio Canales / Pablo García
75'
85'
Aliou Dieng / Javi Guerra ↕
86'
Arnau Martínez López / Pablo Maffeo ↕
↕ Matteo Prati / Maguette Gueye
87'
↕ Yassir Zabiri / Asier Villalibre
87'
Iván Martín
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
44.18%
Racing
26.01%
X ←
29.81%
Valencia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.01% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Racing
2.73
1.35
-1.38
Valencia
1.83
1.71
-0.12
Valencia dominated by xG (1.71 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 10 27
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 10 25
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid 10 24
4 Real Betis Real Betis 10 20
5 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 10 19
6 Sevilla Sevilla 10 17
7 Alaves Alaves 10 12
8 Athletic Club Athletic Club 9 12
9 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 10 12
10 Villarreal Villarreal 10 12
11 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 10 11
12 Osasuna Osasuna 10 11
13 Racing Santander Racing Santander 10 11
14 Levante Levante 10 10
15 Elche Elche 10 10
16 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 9 9
17 Getafe Getafe 10 9
18 Espanyol Espanyol 10 8
19 Valencia Valencia 10 6
20 Malaga Malaga 10 5
Lineups
Racing Santander Racing Santander 4-1-4-1
13 Julen Agirrezabala Julen Agirrezabala G 5.92
17 Jorge Salinas Jorge Salinas D 5.80
24 J. Belocian J. Belocian D 6.58
5 Pablo Ramón Pablo Ramón 61' D 6.01
2 Álvaro Mantilla Álvaro Mantilla D 6.02
18 M. Prati M. Prati 87' M 6.87
10 Iñigo Vicente Iñigo Vicente 1 👟 M 7.70
8 André Almeida André Almeida 61' M 6.29
23 Iván Martín Iván Martín 1 ⚽ M 7.96
20 Sergio Canales Sergio Canales 75' M 6.21
21 M. Zabiri M. Zabiri 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.95
Bench
3 Aarón Martín Aarón Martín 29' D 6.18
11 Andrés Martín Andrés Martín 29' F 6.73
12 Asier Villalibre Asier Villalibre 3' F 6.56
16 Facundo González Facundo González D 0.00
7 G. Guliashvili G. Guliashvili F 0.00
19 Iker Luque Iker Luque F 0.00
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza Íñigo Sainz-Maza M 0.00
9 Juan Carlos Arana Juan Carlos Arana F 0.00
31 Laro Gómez Laro Gómez G 0.00
4 Manu Hernando Manu Hernando D 0.00
14 M. Gueye M. Gueye 3' M 5.59
15 Pablo García Pablo García 15' F 6.79
Valencia Valencia 5-4-1
1 S. Dimitrievski S. Dimitrievski G 7.51
14 José Gayà José Gayà D 6.40
12 J. de Haas J. de Haas 1 👟 D 7.11
18 Pepelu Pepelu D 6.85
4 M. Diakhaby M. Diakhaby 45' D 6.31
24 Pablo Maffeo Pablo Maffeo 86' D 5.70
8 Javi Guerra Javi Guerra 1 👟 85' M 7.10
2 G. Rodríguez G. Rodríguez M 6.04
23 F. Ugrinic F. Ugrinic 58' M 6.36
19 Dani Raba Dani Raba 1 ⚽ 58' M 7.42
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro F 6.34
Bench
33 Aaron Mayol Aaron Mayol M 0.00
7 A. Danjuma A. Danjuma 45' F 6.87
15 A. Dieng A. Dieng 5' M 5.92
37 Aimar Blázquez Aimar Blázquez F 0.00
22 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez 4' D 6.12
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 0.00
27 David Otorbi David Otorbi 1 ⚽ 32' F 8.20
10 H. Elliott H. Elliott 32' M 6.08
36 Iker Córdoba Iker Córdoba D 0.00
21 Jesús Vázquez Jesús Vázquez D 0.00
25 K. van Oevelen K. van Oevelen G 0.00
39 R. Sato R. Sato M 0.00
Best on the pitch
David Otorbi
David Otorbi
F · Valencia
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
Iván Martín
Iván Martín
M · Racing
7.96
1 ⚽
1 shots · 72 pass
M. Zabiri
M. Zabiri
F · Racing
7.95
1 ⚽
3 shots · 6 pass
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente
M · Racing
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 95 pass
S. Dimitrievski
S. Dimitrievski
G · Valencia
7.51
· 31 pass
Dani Raba
Dani Raba
M · Valencia
7.42
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
Racing Santander Racing Santander — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Julen Agirrezabala G 90 5.92 — — 0 18 16% 0 — —
Jorge Salinas D 90 5.80 — — 2 51 39% 3 1 —
J. Belocian D 90 6.58 — — 1 53 53% 0 — —
Pablo Ramón D 61 6.01 — — 0 35 32% 0 1 —
Álvaro Mantilla D 90 6.02 — — 0 27 19% 1 — —
M. Prati M 87 6.87 — — 2 62 56% 4 — —
Iñigo Vicente M 90 7.70 — 1 1 95 69% 1 — —
André Almeida M 61 6.29 — — 2 33 30% 2 — —
Iván Martín M 90 7.96 1 — 1 72 67% 0 1 —
Sergio Canales M 75 6.21 — — 4 33 28% 1 — —
M. Zabiri F 87 7.95 1 — 3 6 4% 1 — —
Aarón Martín D 29 6.18 — — 0 14 10% 1 — —
Andrés Martín F 29 6.73 — — 2 15 12% 0 — —
Asier Villalibre F 3 6.56 — — 0 0 0% 1 — —
M. Gueye M 3 5.59 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Pablo García F 15 6.79 — — 2 8 7% 0 — —
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Dimitrievski G 90 7.51 — — 0 31 12% 0 — —
José Gayà D 90 6.40 — — 1 38 35% 0 — —
J. de Haas D 90 7.11 — 1 0 46 40% 0 — —
Pepelu D 90 6.85 — — 0 60 53% 1 — —
M. Diakhaby D 45 6.31 — — 0 30 25% 1 — —
Pablo Maffeo D 86 5.70 — — 0 41 27% 1 1 —
Javi Guerra M 85 7.10 — 1 3 35 26% 1 — —
G. Rodríguez M 90 6.04 — — 0 40 32% 6 1 —
F. Ugrinic M 58 6.36 — — 0 29 24% 5 — —
Dani Raba M 58 7.42 1 — 2 18 15% 0 1 —
Hugo Duro F 90 6.34 — — 1 20 14% 0 — —
A. Danjuma F 45 6.87 — — 0 16 12% 0 — —
A. Dieng M 5 5.92 — — 0 10 8% 0 — —
Arnau Martínez D 4 6.12 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
David Otorbi F 32 8.20 1 — 2 13 10% 1 — —
H. Elliott M 32 6.08 — — 1 19 15% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Valencia?
The final score was Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia.
What did the model predict before Racing Santander vs Valencia?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Racing Santander win, 26% to a draw, and 29% to an Valencia win.