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Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznan

Ekstraklasa May 16, 2026 20:15
Radomiak Radom
#8 · 44 pts
vs
Lech Poznan
#1 · 56 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 26.4°C 💨 20 km/h · Novo Mesto
⚡ Pre-match analysis
22.28%
Win
Radomiak Radom
24.83%
Draw
52.9%
Win
Lech Poznan
0.85
Expected xG
1.63

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lech Poznan a 52% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Radomiak Radom. Expected goals are 0.8 for Radomiak Radom and 1.6 for Lech Poznan (total 2.5), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Radomiak Radom have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lech Poznan.

Score Matrix
↕ Radomiak Radom Lech Poznan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4% 13.7% 11.1% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.6% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.0% 4.9% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% —
5 — 0.1% — — — —
Recent form
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
D Cracovia Krakow 0–0
W Lechia Gdansk 3–1
W Wisla Plock 0–1
W Widzew Łódź 2–1
L Zaglebie Lubin 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 12%
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
D Arka Gdynia 1–1
W Motor Lublin 0–1
W Legia Warszawa 4–0
W Pogon Szczecin 1–2
D GKS Katowice 3–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 41%
Playing profile
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
Attack
30
Defence
66
Form
53
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
Attack
59
Defence
79
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Radomiak Radom
0
Draw
1
Lech Poznan
L 23 Nov 2025 Ekstraklasa 1–4
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 32 56
2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 32 52
3 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 32 50
4 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 32 49
5 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 32 48
6 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 32 48
7 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 32 45
8 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 32 44
9 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 32 43
10 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 32 42
11 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 32 41
12 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 32 41
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 32 40
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 32 39
15 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 32 39
16 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 32 38
17 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 32 36
18 Nieciecza Nieciecza 32 28
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan?
The model gives Radomiak Radom a 22% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 52% for an Lech Poznan win.
How many goals are expected in Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan?
Expected goals: Radomiak Radom 0.8, Lech Poznan 1.6 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznan?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.7%.