Radomiak Radom 2–3 Motor Lublin — pre-match prediction — Ekstraklasa — October 12, 2026

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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10 October 12, 2026 18:00

Radomiak Radom

#17 · 8 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Motor Lublin

#12 · 13 pts

Filip Koperski (ast. Jan Grzesik) 24'

Steve Kingue (ast. Ibrahima Camará) 80'

53' (ast. Makan Aiko) Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye

(pen.) 70' Karol Czubak

90'+2 Christopher Simon

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Radomiak Radom a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Motor Lublin 33%). The final result was Radomiak Radom 2–3 Motor Lublin. In 2 previous meetings, Radomiak Radom have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Motor Lublin.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.90

Actual xG

2.60

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Christopher Simon

18'

Kamil Lukoszek

23'

Bartosz Bereszyński

⚽Filip Koperski · ast. Jan Grzesik

24'

Christos Donis

33'

38'

Makan Aiko

↕ Elves Baldé / Lucas Lima Linhares

45'

53'

ast. Makan Aiko · Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye⚽

61'

Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao / Makan Aiko ↕

61'

Marek Kristian Bartos / Bartosz Bereszyński ↕

↕ Bi Irié Fernand Gouré / Guilherme Luiz

61'

↕ Rafał Wolski / Abdoul Tapsoba

62'

70'

(pen.) Karol Czubak⚽

↕ Roberto Oliveira Alves / Ibrahima Camará

73'

77'

Mateusz Legowski / Rony Lopes ↕

⚽Steve Kingue · ast. Ibrahima Camará

80'

↕ Ronaldo Lumungo / Manu

83'

Lucas Lima Linhares

84'

86'

Marek Kristian Bartos

87'

Paskal Konrad Meyer / Yacine Bourhane ↕

90'+2

Christopher Simon⚽

Pre-match prediction

35.34%

Radomiak

30.92%

33.74%

Motor ←

we assigned to the actual result (Motor Lublin) 33.74% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Radomiak

0.98

0.90

-0.08

Motor

0.97

2.60

+1.63

Motor Lublin dominated by xG (2.60 vs 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	11	28
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	27
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	24
4	Legia Warszawa	12	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	18
10	Jagiellonia	11	15
11	Wisla Plock	11	14
12	Motor Lublin	12	13
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	12
14	Widzew Łódź	12	11
15	Slask Wroclaw	12	9
16	Wieczysta Kraków	12	8
17	Radomiak Radom	12	8
18	Raków Częstochowa	12	6

Lineups

Radomiak Radom 4-2-3-1

F. Majchrowicz G 6.13

J. Grzesik 1 👟 D 6.13

F. Koperski 1 ⚽ D 6.93

S. Kingue 1 ⚽ D 7.29

K. Szcześniak D 6.34

C. Donis M 5.86

R. Alves 73' M 6.25

Elves 45' M 5.84

R. Wolski 62' M 6.24

Ronaldo Afonso 83' M 5.90

F. Gouré 61' F 6.38

Bench

Adrián Diéguez D 0.00

A. Tapsoba 28' F 6.01

B. Gradecki G 0.00

C. Nunnely F 0.00

Conrado D 0.00

Guilherme Luiz 29' F 6.55

I. Camará 1 👟 17' M 6.58

K. Karasek M 0.00

Luquinhas 45' M 5.78

Manu 7' F 6.31

Romário Baró M 0.00

Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1

G. Tratnik G 6.15

F. Luberecki D 6.71

T. Plavotić D 6.39

B. Bereszyński 61' D 6.17

K. Lukoszek D 6.40

Y. Bourhane 87' M 6.58

M. Aïko 1 👟 61' M 6.29

C. Simon 1 ⚽ M 8.20

Rony Lopes 77' M 6.61

M. Ndiaye 1 ⚽ M 8.20

K. Czubak 1 ⚽ F 7.22

Bench

A. Akatov D 0.00

Alioune Tall M 0.00

Dominik Gregorski F 0.00

Fábio Ronaldo 29' M 5.90

F. Haxha M 0.00

M. Bartoš 29' D 6.54

M. Łęgowski 13' M 5.99

M. Popa G 0.00

M. Zlomanczuk M 0.00

Paskal Konrad Meyer 3' D 6.07

T. Santos D 0.00

Best on the pitch

M. Ndiaye

M · Motor

8.20

1 ⚽

6 shots · 32 pass

C. Simon

M · Motor

8.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 43 pass

S. Kingue

D · Radomiak

7.29

1 ⚽

1 shots · 46 pass

K. Czubak

F · Motor

7.22

1 ⚽

3 shots · 11 pass

F. Koperski

D · Radomiak

6.93

1 ⚽

1 shots · 46 pass

F. Luberecki

D · Motor

6.71

2 shots · 36 pass

Radomiak Radom — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
F. Majchrowicz	G	90	6.13	—	—	0	34	21%	0	—	—
J. Grzesik	D	90	6.13	—	1	1	27	18%	1	—	—
F. Koperski	D	90	6.93	1	—	1	46	39%	1	—	—
S. Kingue	D	90	7.29	1	—	1	46	39%	3	—	—
K. Szcześniak	D	90	6.34	—	—	0	41	34%	2	—	—
C. Donis	M	90	5.86	—	—	0	53	45%	2	1	—
R. Alves	M	73	6.25	—	—	0	24	23%	0	—	—
Elves	M	45	5.84	—	—	1	7	6%	0	—	—
R. Wolski	M	62	6.24	—	—	0	20	15%	1	—	—
Ronaldo Afonso	M	83	5.90	—	—	2	4	1%	0	—	—
F. Gouré	F	61	6.38	—	—	0	8	7%	0	—	—
A. Tapsoba	F	28	6.01	—	—	0	8	7%	0	—	—
Guilherme Luiz	F	29	6.55	—	—	0	8	6%	0	—	—
I. Camará	M	17	6.58	—	1	0	23	19%	2	—	—
Luquinhas	M	45	5.78	—	—	0	12	9%	0	1	—
Manu	F	7	6.31	—	—	0	1	1%	1	—	—

Motor Lublin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Tratnik	G	90	6.15	—	—	0	21	16%	0	—	—
F. Luberecki	D	90	6.71	—	—	2	36	33%	3	—	—
T. Plavotić	D	90	6.39	—	—	1	51	43%	5	—	—
B. Bereszyński	D	61	6.17	—	—	0	46	42%	1	1	—
K. Lukoszek	D	90	6.40	—	—	1	55	54%	1	1	—
Y. Bourhane	M	87	6.58	—	—	0	52	48%	4	—	—
M. Aïko	M	61	6.29	—	1	0	17	16%	0	1	—
C. Simon	M	90	8.20	1	—	3	43	38%	0	1	—
Rony Lopes	M	77	6.61	—	—	4	35	31%	1	—	—
M. Ndiaye	M	90	8.20	1	—	6	32	25%	1	—	—
K. Czubak	F	90	7.22	1	—	3	11	4%	2	—	—
Fábio Ronaldo	M	29	5.90	—	—	1	8	6%	1	—	—
M. Bartoš	D	29	6.54	—	—	1	11	8%	0	1	—
M. Łęgowski	M	13	5.99	—	—	0	7	6%	0	—	—
Paskal Konrad Meyer	D	3	6.07	—	—	0	1	0%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

The final score was Radomiak Radom 2–3 Motor Lublin.

What did the model predict before Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?

The model assigned 35% probability to a Radomiak Radom win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Motor Lublin win.