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Raith Rovers - Livingston

Scottish Championship September 25, 2026 20:45
Raith Rovers
#2 · 14 pts
vs
Livingston
#5 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.06%
Win
Raith Rovers
28.18%
Draw
28.77%
Win
Livingston
1.77
Expected xG
1.05

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.14%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 28%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 57%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 45%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Raith Rovers a 43% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Livingston. Expected goals are 1.8 for Raith Rovers and 1.1 for Livingston (total 2.8), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.14% probability.

Season Stats

Raith Rovers
9W 2D 4L
Livingston
3W 1D 3L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.4
0.9
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
71%
47%
O 2.5
29%
40%
BTTS
29%
40%
Clean Sht
29%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Scottish Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Raith Rovers
7W 2D 1L · at home
Livingston
1W 0D 2L · away
2.3
gls/g
1.3
0.9
Conceded
1.3
70%
Win %
33%
90%
Win or Draw
33%
90%
O 1.5
67%
60%
O 2.5
33%
50%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
33%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
67%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Raith Rovers Livingston →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.5% 11.1% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Raith Rovers Raith Rovers
D Partick 0–0
W Arbroath 4–0
W Inverness CT 0–2
L Dunfermline 1–0
W Ayr Utd 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
Livingston Livingston
D Inverness CT 2–2
W Morton 1–4
L Stenhousemuir 0–1
L Arbroath 1–0
W Dunfermline 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Raith Rovers Raith Rovers
Attack
39
Defence
81
Form
62
Livingston Livingston
Attack
37
Defence
74
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 7 19
2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 7 14
3 Partick Partick 7 12
4 Dunfermline Dunfermline 7 12
5 Livingston Livingston 7 10
6 Ayr Utd Ayr Utd 7 8
7 Arbroath Arbroath 7 8
8 Inverness CT Inverness CT 7 7
9 Queen's Park Queen's Park 7 4
10 Morton Morton 7 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Livingston?
The model gives Raith Rovers a 43% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 28% for an Livingston win.
How many goals are expected in Raith Rovers vs Livingston?
Expected goals: Raith Rovers 1.8, Livingston 1.1 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Raith Rovers vs Livingston?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.14%.