Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 34
May 23, 2026 17:30
✓Model correct — prediction Raków Częstochowa
M. Bulat
(ast. Adriano)
37'
J. Brunes
(ast. J. C. Silva)
71'
J. C. Silva
(ast. M. Bulat)
75'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Raków Częstochowa a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Arka Gdynia 13%). The final result was Raków Częstochowa 3–0 Arka Gdynia. In 1 previous meetings, Raków Częstochowa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Arka Gdynia.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
2
0.52
Actual xG
0.60
2
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
1
Corners
4
10
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
14'
D. Gojny
32'
A. Sidibe
⚽M. Bulat
· ast. Adriano
37'
B. Racovitan
/ P. Dawidowicz
46'
Adriano
60'
T. Pienko
/ I. Lopez
60'
63'
N. Gozdecki
/
D. Kocyla
63'
E. D. Espiau Hernandez
/
V. Gutkovskis
Adriano
/ M. Ameyaw
68'
⚽J. Brunes
· ast. J. C. Silva
71'
72'
M. Navarro
/
P. Szysz
⚽J. C. Silva
· ast. M. Bulat
75'
J. C. Silva
/ M. Ilenic
80'
P. Makuch
/ L. Rocha
80'
90'+1
O. Gohlike
/
A. Sidibe
90'+2
W. Zacharewicz
/
D. Zator
Pre-match prediction
66.75%
Raków ←
19.82%
X
13.43%
Arka
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Raków Częstochowa)
66.75%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.92
0.52
-1.4
0.72
0.60
-0.12
xG dominance was balanced (0.52 – 0.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Kacper Trelowski
G
Kacper Trelowski
G
2
A. Mosór
D
A. Mosór
D
25
Bogdan Racovițan
45'
D
Bogdan Racovițan
45'
D
7
Fran Tudor
D
Fran Tudor
D
11
Adriano Amorim
1 👟
68'
M
Adriano Amorim
1 👟
68'
M
5
Marko Bulat
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Marko Bulat
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
6
Oskar Repka
M
Oskar Repka
M
20
Jean Carlos Silva
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
Jean Carlos Silva
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
M
8
Tomasz Pieńko
61'
F
Tomasz Pieńko
61'
F
18
J. Braut Brunes
1 ⚽
F
J. Braut Brunes
1 ⚽
F
9
Patryk Makuch
81'
F
Patryk Makuch
81'
F
Bench
22
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo
M
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo
M
44
Bogdan Mirčetić
M
Bogdan Mirčetić
M
10
Ivi López
29'
M
Ivi López
29'
M
17
Leonardo Rocha
9'
F
Leonardo Rocha
9'
F
19
Michael Ameyaw
22'
M
Michael Ameyaw
22'
M
35
Mitja Ilenič
10'
D
Mitja Ilenič
10'
D
48
Oliwier Zych
G
Oliwier Zych
G
27
Paweł Dawidowicz
45'
D
Paweł Dawidowicz
45'
D
4
Stratos Svarnas
D
Stratos Svarnas
D
29
Wiktor Zolneczko
G
Wiktor Zolneczko
G
30
Wladyslaw Kocherhin
M
Wladyslaw Kocherhin
M
1
Jędrzej Grobelny
G
Jędrzej Grobelny
G
94
Dawid Gojny
D
Dawid Gojny
D
29
Michał Marcjanik
D
Michał Marcjanik
D
3
Serafin Szota
D
Serafin Szota
D
33
Dawid Abramowicz
M
Dawid Abramowicz
M
22
Michał Rzuchowski
M
Michał Rzuchowski
M
8
Alassane Sidibe
89'
M
Alassane Sidibe
89'
M
4
Dominick Zator
89'
M
Dominick Zator
89'
M
11
Dawid Kocyła
64'
F
Dawid Kocyła
64'
F
21
Patryk Szysz
72'
F
Patryk Szysz
72'
F
19
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
64'
F
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
64'
F
Bench
99
Eduardo Espiau
26'
F
Eduardo Espiau
26'
F
30
Kacper Krzepisz
G
Kacper Krzepisz
G
2
Marc Navarro
18'
D
Marc Navarro
18'
D
42
Nikodem Gozdecki
26'
M
Nikodem Gozdecki
26'
M
41
Olaf Gohlike
1'
D
Olaf Gohlike
1'
D
43
Wojciech Zacharewicz
1'
D
Wojciech Zacharewicz
1'
D
Best on the pitch
Jean Carlos Silva
M · Raków
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
J. Braut Brunes
F · Raków
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
Marko Bulat
M · Raków
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 46 pass
Oskar Repka
M · Raków
7.30
· 60 pass
Kacper Trelowski
G · Raków
7.30
· 38 pass
Adriano Amorim
M · Raków
7.20
1 👟
· 30 pass
Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Trelowski | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Mosór | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 64 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Bogdan Racovițan | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Fran Tudor | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Adriano Amorim | M | 68 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Marko Bulat | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 46 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Oskar Repka | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Silva | M | 80 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomasz Pieńko | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Braut Brunes | F | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Patryk Makuch | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ivi López | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonardo Rocha | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Michael Ameyaw | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mitja Ilenič | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Paweł Dawidowicz | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | — | — | — |
Arka Gdynia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jędrzej Grobelny | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Dawid Gojny | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Michał Marcjanik | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Serafin Szota | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Dawid Abramowicz | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Michał Rzuchowski | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Alassane Sidibe | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Dominick Zator | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Dawid Kocyła | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Patryk Szysz | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Vladislavs Gutkovskis | F | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Espiau | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Marc Navarro | D | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Nikodem Gozdecki | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Olaf Gohlike | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Wojciech Zacharewicz | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia?
The final score was Raków Częstochowa 3–0 Arka Gdynia.
What did the model predict before Raków Częstochowa vs Arka Gdynia?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Raków Częstochowa win, 19% to a draw, and 13% to an Arka Gdynia win.