Raków Częstochowa 1–4 GKS Katowice — pre-match prediction — Ekstraklasa — October 09, 2026

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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10 October 09, 2026 20:30 Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie, Czestochowa

Raków Częstochowa

#18 · 6 pts

1 – 4

Final score

GKS Katowice

#8 · 18 pts

Patryk Makuch 37'

34' (ast. Bartosz Nowak) Ilia Shkurin

(pen.) 48' Bartosz Nowak

57' Mateusz·Kowalczyk

90'+1 (ast. Bartosz Nowak) Borja Galan

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave GKS Katowice a 37% win probability (draw 27%, Raków Częstochowa 34%). The final result was Raków Częstochowa 1–4 GKS Katowice. In 3 previous meetings, Raków Częstochowa have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for GKS Katowice.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.20

Actual xG

2.57

Saves

60%

Possession

40%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

34'

ast. Bartosz Nowak · Ilia Shkurin⚽

⚽Patryk Makuch

37'

48'

(pen.) Bartosz Nowak⚽

57'

Mateusz·Kowalczyk⚽

60'

Lukas Klemenz

↕ Marko Bulat / Adin molnar

61'

↕ Mahir Emreli / Adam Basse

61'

↕ Jean Carlos / Isak Brusberg

61'

Karol Struski

68'

70'

Arkadiusz Jedrych / Alan Czerwiński ↕

70'

Borja Galan / Marcel Wedrychowski ↕

↕ Karol Struski / Bogdan·Mircetic

72'

↕ Patryk Makuch / Lamine Diaby Fadiga

76'

78'

Sebastian Milewski / Mateusz·Kowalczyk ↕

78'

Eman Marković / Mateusz Wdowiak ↕

82'

Borja Galan

85'

Gabriel Kobylak

87'

Adam Zreľák / Ilia Shkurin ↕

90'+1

ast. Bartosz Nowak · Borja Galan⚽

Jerzy Napieraj

90'

Pre-match prediction

34.47%

Raków

27.57%

37.96%

GKS ←

we assigned to the actual result (GKS Katowice) 37.96% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Raków

1.45

1.20

-0.25

GKS

1.78

2.57

+0.8

GKS Katowice dominated by xG (2.57 vs 1.20). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	11	28
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	27
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	24
4	Legia Warszawa	12	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	18
10	Jagiellonia	11	15
11	Wisla Plock	11	14
12	Motor Lublin	12	13
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	12
14	Widzew Łódź	12	11
15	Slask Wroclaw	12	9
16	Wieczysta Kraków	12	8
17	Radomiak Radom	12	8
18	Raków Częstochowa	12	6

Lineups

Raków Częstochowa 4-2-3-1

K. Trelowski G 6.31

J. Napieraj D 5.68

S. Svarnas D 6.30

A. Brorsson D 6.07

F. Tudor D 6.39

M. Bulat 61' M 5.97

O. Repka M 5.92

Jean Carlos 61' M 5.78

K. Struski 72' M 5.52

P. Makuch 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.50

M. Emreli 61' F 6.24

Bench

Adam Basse 29' F 6.39

A. Molnar 29' M 5.60

B. Mirčetić 18' M 5.70

B. Racovițan D 0.00

I. Brusberg 29' F 6.95

L. Diaby-Fadiga 14' M 5.86

M. Perović M 0.00

N. Zätterström D 0.00

O. Kwiatkowski M 0.00

T. Karić G 0.00

T. Pieńko M 0.00

V. Kochergin M 0.00

GKS Katowice 3-4-3

G. Kobylak G 6.26

Pau Resta D 6.38

L. Klemenz D 6.12

A. Czerwiński 70' D 6.74

M. Wdowiak 78' M 6.75

M. Kowalczyk 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.62

K. Łukasiak M 6.85

M. Wasielewski M 6.22

B. Nowak 1 ⚽ 2 👟 F 8.60

I. Shkurin 1 ⚽ 87' F 8.20

M. Wędrychowski 70' F 6.33

Bench

A. Jędrych 20' D 6.38

A. Zreľák 3' F 6.50

Borja Galán 1 ⚽ 20' M 6.91

B. Wolski M 0.00

E. Jirka M 0.00

E. Marković 12' M 5.99

M. Kikolski G 0.00

M. Olsen D 0.00

S. Bartlewicz M 0.00

S. Milewski 12' M 6.59

Best on the pitch

B. Nowak

F · GKS

8.60

1 ⚽ 2 👟

4 shots · 31 pass

I. Shkurin

F · GKS

8.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 17 pass

M. Kowalczyk

M · GKS

7.62

1 ⚽

1 shots · 29 pass

P. Makuch

M · Raków

7.50

1 ⚽

4 shots · 13 pass

I. Brusberg

F · Raków

6.95

1 shots · 8 pass

Borja Galán

M · GKS

6.91

1 ⚽

1 shots · 5 pass

Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Trelowski	G	90	6.31	—	—	0	38	28%	0	—	—
J. Napieraj	D	90	5.68	—	—	0	68	55%	1	1	—
S. Svarnas	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	106	101%	1	—	—
A. Brorsson	D	90	6.07	—	—	0	72	64%	0	—	—
F. Tudor	D	90	6.39	—	—	1	69	61%	0	—	—
M. Bulat	M	61	5.97	—	—	1	27	20%	2	—	—
O. Repka	M	90	5.92	—	—	2	51	40%	0	—	—
Jean Carlos	M	61	5.78	—	—	2	18	11%	0	—	—
K. Struski	M	72	5.52	—	—	1	22	18%	0	1	—
P. Makuch	M	76	7.50	1	—	4	13	11%	0	—	—
M. Emreli	F	61	6.24	—	—	1	17	15%	0	—	—
Adam Basse	F	29	6.39	—	—	1	6	4%	2	—	—
A. Molnar	M	29	5.60	—	—	1	12	11%	0	—	—
B. Mirčetić	M	18	5.70	—	—	1	10	10%	0	—	—
I. Brusberg	F	29	6.95	—	—	1	8	4%	2	—	—
L. Diaby-Fadiga	M	14	5.86	—	—	1	4	2%	1	—	—

GKS Katowice — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Kobylak	G	90	6.26	—	—	0	31	12%	0	1	—
Pau Resta	D	90	6.38	—	—	2	38	30%	4	—	—
L. Klemenz	D	90	6.12	—	—	0	38	29%	1	1	—
A. Czerwiński	D	70	6.74	—	—	0	26	20%	0	—	—
M. Wdowiak	M	78	6.75	—	—	1	20	17%	0	—	—
M. Kowalczyk	M	78	7.62	1	—	1	29	23%	2	—	—
K. Łukasiak	M	90	6.85	—	—	2	32	28%	4	—	—
M. Wasielewski	M	90	6.22	—	—	1	39	31%	2	—	—
B. Nowak	F	90	8.60	1	2	4	31	23%	0	—	—
I. Shkurin	F	87	8.20	1	—	3	17	15%	0	—	—
M. Wędrychowski	F	70	6.33	—	—	1	25	20%	2	—	—
A. Jędrych	D	20	6.38	—	—	0	2	2%	0	—	—
A. Zreľák	F	3	6.50	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—
Borja Galán	M	20	6.91	1	—	1	5	5%	0	1	—
E. Marković	M	12	5.99	—	—	2	3	2%	1	—	—
S. Milewski	M	12	6.59	—	—	0	6	6%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice?

The final score was Raków Częstochowa 1–4 GKS Katowice.

What did the model predict before Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice?

The model assigned 34% probability to a Raków Częstochowa win, 27% to a draw, and 37% to an GKS Katowice win.