Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 31
May 13, 2026 20:30
34'
(ast. S. Lozano)
Y. Kobayashi
83'
(ast. M. Nahuel)
K. Szmyt
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Raków Częstochowa a 50% win probability (draw 22%, Jagiellonia 26%). The final result was Raków Częstochowa 0–2 Jagiellonia. In 1 previous meetings, Raków Częstochowa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Jagiellonia.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
7
3.34
Actual xG
1.19
5
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
6
Corners
4
16
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
L. Diaby-Fadiga
/ T. Pienko
10'
30'
N. Wojtuszek
34'
ast. S. Lozano ·
Y. Kobayashi⚽
O. Repka
50'
52'
B. Vital
55'
A. Konstantopoulos
/
B. Vital
55'
B. Mazurek
/
S. Lozano
65'
A. Konstantopoulos
P. Makuch
/ L. Rocha
67'
M. Ameyaw
/ I. Lopez
67'
74'
T. Romanczuk
M. Bulat
/ V. Kochergin
79'
80'
M. Nahuel
/
J. Imaz
80'
E. Kozlowski
/
A. Pozo
83'
ast. M. Nahuel ·
K. Szmyt⚽
89'
B. Wdowik
/
K. Szmyt
Pre-match prediction
50.9%
Raków
22.83%
X
26.27%
Jagiellonia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia)
26.27%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
3.34
+1.59
1.15
1.19
+0.04
Raków Częstochowa dominated by xG (3.34 vs 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Kacper Trelowski
G
Kacper Trelowski
G
4
Stratos Svarnas
D
Stratos Svarnas
D
25
Bogdan Racovițan
D
Bogdan Racovițan
D
7
Fran Tudor
D
Fran Tudor
D
11
Adriano Amorim
M
Adriano Amorim
M
5
Marko Bulat
79'
M
Marko Bulat
79'
M
6
Oskar Repka
M
Oskar Repka
M
19
M. Ameyaw
67'
M
M. Ameyaw
67'
M
9
Patryk Makuch
67'
F
Patryk Makuch
67'
F
18
J. Braut Brunes
F
J. Braut Brunes
F
80
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
11'
F
Mohamed Lamine Diaby
11'
F
Bench
2
Ariel Mosór
D
Ariel Mosór
D
44
Bogdan Mirčetić
M
Bogdan Mirčetić
M
10
Ivi López
29'
M
Ivi López
29'
M
20
Jean Carlos Silva
M
Jean Carlos Silva
M
17
Leonardo Rocha
29'
F
Leonardo Rocha
29'
F
35
Mitja Ilenič
D
Mitja Ilenič
D
48
Oliwier Zych
G
Oliwier Zych
G
27
Paweł Dawidowicz
D
Paweł Dawidowicz
D
8
Tomasz Pieńko
85'
M
Tomasz Pieńko
85'
M
29
Wiktor Zolneczko
G
Wiktor Zolneczko
G
30
Wladyslaw Kocherhin
17'
M
Wladyslaw Kocherhin
17'
M
24
Zoran Arsenić
D
Zoran Arsenić
D
50
Sławomir Abramowicz
G
Sławomir Abramowicz
G
23
Guilherme Montóia
D
Guilherme Montóia
D
4
Yuki Kobayashi
1 ⚽
D
Yuki Kobayashi
1 ⚽
D
13
Bernardo Vital
56'
D
Bernardo Vital
56'
D
15
Norbert Wojtuszek
D
21
Sergio Lozano
1 👟
56'
M
Sergio Lozano
1 👟
56'
M
6
T. Romanczuk
M
T. Romanczuk
M
77
Kajetan Szmyt
1 ⚽
89'
M
Kajetan Szmyt
1 ⚽
89'
M
11
Jesús Imaz
79'
M
Jesús Imaz
79'
M
7
Pozo
80'
M
Pozo
80'
M
10
Afimico Pululu
F
Afimico Pululu
F
Bench
66
Adrian Damasiewicz
G
Adrian Damasiewicz
G
44
Apostolos Konstantopoulos
40'
D
Apostolos Konstantopoulos
40'
D
27
Bartłomiej Wdowik
7'
D
Bartłomiej Wdowik
7'
D
86
Bartosz Mazurek
40'
M
Bartosz Mazurek
40'
M
8
Dawid Drachal
M
Dawid Drachal
M
9
Dimitris Rallis
F
Dimitris Rallis
F
85
Eryk Kozłowski
16'
M
Eryk Kozłowski
16'
M
31
Leon Flach
M
Leon Flach
M
19
Matías Nahuel
1 👟
17'
M
Matías Nahuel
1 👟
17'
M
14
Samed Baždar
F
Samed Baždar
F
91
Szymon Pankiewicz
D
Szymon Pankiewicz
D
Best on the pitch
Yuki Kobayashi
D · Jagiellonia
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Kajetan Szmyt
M · Jagiellonia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
T. Romanczuk
M · Jagiellonia
7.90
3 shots
· 56 pass
Adriano Amorim
M · Raków
7.70
2 shots
· 40 pass
Kacper Trelowski
G · Raków
7.50
· 22 pass
Stratos Svarnas
D · Raków
7.50
1 shots
· 64 pass
Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Trelowski | G | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Stratos Svarnas | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Bogdan Racovițan | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| Fran Tudor | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 80 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Adriano Amorim | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Marko Bulat | M | 79 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Oskar Repka | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Ameyaw | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Patryk Makuch | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Braut Brunes | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Lamine Diaby | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ivi López | M | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonardo Rocha | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tomasz Pieńko | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Wladyslaw Kocherhin | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Jagiellonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sławomir Abramowicz | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Montóia | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Yuki Kobayashi | D | 96 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Norbert Wojtuszek | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 56 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Romanczuk | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 56 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kajetan Szmyt | M | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Imaz | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Pozo | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Apostolos Konstantopoulos | D | 40 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bartłomiej Wdowik | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Bartosz Mazurek | M | 40 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Eryk Kozłowski | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Nahuel | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
The final score was Raków Częstochowa 0–2 Jagiellonia.
What did the model predict before Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Raków Częstochowa win, 22% to a draw, and 26% to an Jagiellonia win.