Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 31
May 13, 2026 20:30
34'
(ast. S. Lozano)
Y. Kobayashi
83'
(ast. M. Nahuel)
K. Szmyt
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Raków Częstochowa a 50% win probability (draw 22%, Jagiellonia 26%). The final result was Raków Częstochowa 0–2 Jagiellonia. In 2 previous meetings, Raków Częstochowa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Jagiellonia.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
7
3.34
Actual xG
1.19
5
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
6
Corners
4
16
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
L. Diaby-Fadiga
/ T. Pienko
10'
30'
N. Wojtuszek
34'
ast. S. Lozano ·
Y. Kobayashi⚽
O. Repka
50'
52'
B. Vital
55'
A. Konstantopoulos
/
B. Vital
55'
B. Mazurek
/
S. Lozano
65'
A. Konstantopoulos
P. Makuch
/ L. Rocha
67'
M. Ameyaw
/ I. Lopez
67'
74'
T. Romanczuk
M. Bulat
/ V. Kochergin
79'
80'
M. Nahuel
/
J. Imaz
80'
E. Kozlowski
/
A. Pozo
83'
ast. M. Nahuel ·
K. Szmyt⚽
89'
B. Wdowik
/
K. Szmyt
Pre-match prediction
50.9%
Raków
22.83%
X
26.27%
Jagiellonia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia)
26.27%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
3.34
+1.59
1.15
1.19
+0.04
Raków Częstochowa dominated by xG (3.34 vs 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
K. Trelowski
G
K. Trelowski
G
4
S. Svarnas
D
S. Svarnas
D
25
B. Racovițan
D
B. Racovițan
D
7
F. Tudor
D
F. Tudor
D
11
Adriano Amorim
M
Adriano Amorim
M
5
M. Bulat
79'
M
M. Bulat
79'
M
6
O. Repka
M
O. Repka
M
19
M. Ameyaw
67'
M
M. Ameyaw
67'
M
9
P. Makuch
67'
F
P. Makuch
67'
F
18
Jonatan Braut Brunes
F
Jonatan Braut Brunes
F
80
L. Diaby-Fadiga
11'
F
L. Diaby-Fadiga
11'
F
Bench
2
A. Mosór
D
A. Mosór
D
44
B. Mirčetić
M
B. Mirčetić
M
10
Ivi López
29'
M
Ivi López
29'
M
20
Jean Carlos
M
Jean Carlos
M
17
Leonardo Rocha
29'
F
Leonardo Rocha
29'
F
35
Mitja Ilenič
D
Mitja Ilenič
D
48
O. Zych
G
O. Zych
G
27
P. Dawidowicz
D
P. Dawidowicz
D
8
T. Pieńko
85'
M
T. Pieńko
85'
M
30
V. Kochergin
17'
M
V. Kochergin
17'
M
29
Wiktor Żołneczko
G
Wiktor Żołneczko
G
24
Z. Arsenić
D
Z. Arsenić
D
50
S. Abramowicz
G
S. Abramowicz
G
23
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D
4
Yuki Kobayashi
1 ⚽
D
Yuki Kobayashi
1 ⚽
D
13
Bernardo Vital
56'
D
Bernardo Vital
56'
D
15
N. Wojtuszek
D
N. Wojtuszek
D
21
Sergio Lozano
1 👟
56'
M
Sergio Lozano
1 👟
56'
M
6
Taras Romanczuk
M
Taras Romanczuk
M
77
K. Szmyt
1 ⚽
89'
M
K. Szmyt
1 ⚽
89'
M
11
Jesús Imaz
79'
M
Jesús Imaz
79'
M
7
Pozo
80'
M
Pozo
80'
M
10
Afimico Pululu
F
Bench
66
Adrian Damasiewicz
G
44
A. Konstantopoulos
40'
D
A. Konstantopoulos
40'
D
86
B. Mazurek
40'
M
B. Mazurek
40'
M
27
B. Wdowik
7'
D
B. Wdowik
7'
D
8
D. Drachal
M
D. Drachal
M
9
Dimitris Rallis
F
Dimitris Rallis
F
85
Eryk Kozlowski
16'
M
Eryk Kozlowski
16'
M
31
Leon Flach
M
Leon Flach
M
19
Matías Nahuel
1 👟
17'
M
14
S. Baždar
F
S. Baždar
F
91
Szymon Pankiewicz
D
Szymon Pankiewicz
D
Best on the pitch
Yuki Kobayashi
D · Jagiellonia
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
K. Szmyt
M · Jagiellonia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Taras Romanczuk
M · Jagiellonia
7.90
3 shots
· 56 pass
Adriano Amorim
M · Raków
7.70
2 shots
· 40 pass
K. Trelowski
G · Raków
7.50
· 22 pass
S. Svarnas
D · Raków
7.50
1 shots
· 64 pass
Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Trelowski | G | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| S. Svarnas | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Racovițan | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Tudor | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 80 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Adriano Amorim | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Bulat | M | 79 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| O. Repka | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Ameyaw | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Makuch | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jonatan Braut Brunes | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Diaby-Fadiga | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ivi López | M | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonardo Rocha | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Pieńko | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| V. Kochergin | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Jagiellonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Abramowicz | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Yuki Kobayashi | D | 96 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Wojtuszek | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 56 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Taras Romanczuk | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 56 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Szmyt | M | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Imaz | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Pozo | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Konstantopoulos | D | 40 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Mazurek | M | 40 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Wdowik | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Eryk Kozlowski | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Nahuel | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
The final score was Raków Częstochowa 0–2 Jagiellonia.
What did the model predict before Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Raków Częstochowa win, 22% to a draw, and 26% to an Jagiellonia win.