Raków Częstochowa 2–5 Jagiellonia — pre-match prediction — Ekstraklasa — August 30, 2026

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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 6 August 30, 2026 14:45

Raków Częstochowa

#18 · 3 pts

2 – 5

Final score

Jagiellonia

#10 · 12 pts

M. Emreli 23'

J. Jendryka (ast. V. Kochergin) 56'

(pen.) 31' J. Imaz

37' N. Prelec

(pen.) 76' G. Montoia

78' (ast. N. Prelec) O. Sow

89' Y. Sylla

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Raków Częstochowa a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Jagiellonia 32%). The final result was Raków Częstochowa 2–5 Jagiellonia. In 2 previous meetings, Raków Częstochowa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Jagiellonia.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.15

Actual xG

4.42

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽M. Emreli

23'

31'

(pen.) J. Imaz⚽

37'

N. Prelec⚽

43'

E. Kozlowski

↕ D. G. Debohi / O. Repka

46'

↕ J. C. Silva / M. Perovic

46'

S. Lozano / J. Imaz ↕

K. Struski

50'

⚽J. Jendryka · ast. V. Kochergin

56'

↕ K. Struski / O. Kwiatkowski

62'

↕ A. Molnar / L. Diaby-Fadiga

62'

69'

O. Sow / K. Szmyt ↕

69'

H. Finndell / E. Kozlowski ↕

↕ F. Tudor / A. Brorsson

71'

76'

(pen.) G. Montoia⚽

78'

ast. N. Prelec · O. Sow⚽

87'

Y. Sylla / N. Prelec ↕

89'

Y. Sylla⚽

90'

K. Jozwiak / R. Conceicao ↕

Pre-match prediction

35.71%

Raków

31.73%

32.56%

Jagiellonia ←

we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia) 32.56% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Raków

1.56

1.15

-0.41

Jagiellonia

1.32

4.42

+3.1

Jagiellonia dominated by xG (4.42 vs 1.15). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	22
2	Legia Warszawa	9	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	19
4	Wisla Krakow	9	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	15
7	Zaglebie Lubin	9	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	11
12	Widzew Łódź	9	9
13	Cracovia Krakow	9	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	6
17	Wieczysta Kraków	8	5
18	Raków Częstochowa	9	3

Lineups

Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3

K. Trelowski 89' G 6.30

F. Tudor 71' D 7.20

B. Racovițan 89' D 6.20

Didí Gaucho 45' D 6.50

Jean Carlos 45' M 6.20

V. Kochergin 1 👟 89' M 7.50

K. Struski 62' M 6.30

J. Jendryka 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.50

Ádin Molnár 62' F 6.90

Mahir Emreli 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.30

P. Makuch 89' F 7.30

Bench

A. Brorsson 18' D 5.90

Adam Basse F

A. Ojo M

I. Brusberg F

J. Napieraj D

L. Diaby-Fadiga 27' M 6.30

M. Perović 44' M 6.30

Oliwier Kwiatkowski 27' M 6.20

O. Repka 44' M 7.20

S. Svarnas D

T. Karić G

T. Pieńko M

Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1

S. Abramowicz 89' G 6.60

Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia 1 ⚽ 89' D 7.00

Yuki Kobayashi 89' D 5.90

A. Konstantopoulos 89' D 7.00

N. Wojtuszek 89' D 6.30

Eryk Kozlowski 69' M 6.20

Taras Romanczuk 89' M 7.30

K. Szmyt 69' M 6.20

Jesús Imaz 1 ⚽ 45' M 6.90

Rodrigo Conceição 89' M 6.70

N. Prelec 1 ⚽ 1 👟 87' F 6.60

Bench

A. Klynge M

Bernardo Vital D

C. Polak D

D. Drachal M

Dimitris Rallis F

H. Finndell 20' M 6.30

K. Jóźwiak M

M. Perchel G

O. Sow 1 ⚽ 20' F 7.20

Sergio Lozano 44' M 6.90

Szymon Pankiewicz D

Y. Sylla 1 ⚽ 2' F 7.70

Best on the pitch

Y. Sylla

F · Jagiellonia

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots

J. Jendryka

M · Raków

7.50

1 ⚽

3 shots · 16 pass

V. Kochergin

M · Raków

7.50

1 👟

· 31 pass

Taras Romanczuk

M · Jagiellonia

7.30

· 37 pass

P. Makuch

F · Raków

7.30

2 shots · 17 pass

Mahir Emreli

F · Raków

7.30

1 ⚽

4 shots · 16 pass

Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Trelowski	G	89	6.30	—	—	—	21	14%	—	—	—
F. Tudor	D	71	7.20	—	—	1	34	28%	1	—	—
B. Racovițan	D	89	6.20	—	—	—	40	34%	1	—	—
Didí Gaucho	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	19	17%	2	—	—
Jean Carlos	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	11	7%	—	—	—
V. Kochergin	M	89	7.50	—	1	—	31	24%	2	—	—
K. Struski	M	62	6.30	—	—	—	19	15%	—	1	—
J. Jendryka	M	89	7.50	1	—	3	16	15%	2	—	—
Ádin Molnár	F	62	6.90	—	—	—	14	8%	—	—	—
Mahir Emreli	F	89	7.30	1	—	4	16	15%	—	—	—
P. Makuch	F	89	7.30	—	—	2	17	12%	1	—	—
A. Brorsson	D	18	5.90	—	—	—	12	12%	—	—	—
L. Diaby-Fadiga	M	27	6.30	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
M. Perović	M	44	6.30	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
Oliwier Kwiatkowski	M	27	6.20	—	—	—	10	10%	—	—	—
O. Repka	M	44	7.20	—	—	—	18	16%	1	—	—

Jagiellonia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Abramowicz	G	89	6.60	—	—	—	25	20%	—	—	—
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia	D	89	7.00	1	—	2	35	29%	2	—	—
Yuki Kobayashi	D	89	5.90	—	—	—	47	44%	—	—	—
A. Konstantopoulos	D	89	7.00	—	—	1	59	53%	2	—	—
N. Wojtuszek	D	89	6.30	—	—	—	32	30%	3	—	—
Eryk Kozlowski	M	69	6.20	—	—	1	37	26%	2	1	—
Taras Romanczuk	M	89	7.30	—	—	—	37	36%	2	—	—
K. Szmyt	M	69	6.20	—	—	4	21	18%	2	—	—
Jesús Imaz	M	45	6.90	1	—	3	18	17%	—	—	—
Rodrigo Conceição	M	89	6.70	—	—	1	16	13%	1	—	—
N. Prelec	F	87	6.60	1	1	1	20	13%	—	—	—
H. Finndell	M	20	6.30	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
O. Sow	F	20	7.20	1	—	1	—	—	—	—	—
Sergio Lozano	M	44	6.90	—	—	2	13	11%	—	—	—
Y. Sylla	F	2	7.70	1	—	1	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?

The final score was Raków Częstochowa 2–5 Jagiellonia.

What did the model predict before Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?

The model assigned 35% probability to a Raków Częstochowa win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Jagiellonia win.