Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Wisla Plock — pre-match prediction — Ekstraklasa — July 26, 2026

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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 1 July 26, 2026 14:45

Raków Częstochowa

#18 · 6 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Wisla Plock

#11 · 14 pts

P. Makuch 68' (pen.)

37' M. Flis

49' Z. Rogelj

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Raków Częstochowa a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Wisla Plock 32%). The final result was Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Wisla Plock. In 2 previous meetings, Raków Częstochowa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Wisla Plock.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.22

Actual xG

0.86

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

14'

O. Kobacki

↕ S. Svarnas / J. Napieraj

24'

37'

M. Flis⚽

46'

J. Prsir / O. Kobacki ↕

49'

Z. Rogelj⚽

↕ V. Kochergin / M. Bulat

56'

↕ E. Otieno / M. Ameyaw

56'

↕ M. Emreli / A. Molnar

56'

F. Tudor

62'

63'

L. Sekulski / S. Hamulic ↕

⚽P. Makuch (pen.)

68'

70'

K. Pomorski / J. Jimenez ↕

74'

J. Prsir

↕ T. Pienko / A. Basse

82'

85'

D. Pacheco

87'

F. Hiszpanski / A. Radwanski ↕

Pre-match prediction

35.22%

Raków

32.65%

32.13%

Wisla ←

we assigned to the actual result (Wisla Plock) 32.13% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Raków

2.82

1.22

-1.6

Wisla

1.47

0.86

-0.61

Raków Częstochowa dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	11	28
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	27
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	24
4	Legia Warszawa	12	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	18
10	Jagiellonia	11	15
11	Wisla Plock	11	14
12	Motor Lublin	12	13
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	12
14	Widzew Łódź	12	11
15	Slask Wroclaw	12	9
16	Wieczysta Kraków	12	8
17	Radomiak Radom	12	8
18	Raków Częstochowa	12	6

Lineups

Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3

Wiktor Żołneczko G 6.30

S. Svarnas 24' D 6.60

B. Racovițan D 6.90

F. Tudor D 6.30

E. Otieno 56' M 6.20

V. Kochergin 56' M 6.20

O. Repka M 6.90

Jean Carlos M 8.00

T. Pieńko 82' F 6.60

M. Emreli 56' F 6.30

P. Makuch 1 ⚽ F 7.00

Bench

Adam Basse 12' F 6.20

Ádin Molnár 38' M 6.50

A. Ojo M

I. Brusberg F

J. Jendryka M

J. Napieraj 70' D 6.30

K. Trelowski G

M. Ameyaw 38' M 6.70

M. Bulat 38' M 6.30

Nikodem Calko D

Oliwier Kwiatkowski M

T. Karić G

Wisla Plock 3-4-2-1

R. Leszczyński G 6.60

M. Flis 1 ⚽ D 7.50

M. Kamiński D 6.70

M. Haglind-Sangré D 6.90

P. Kun M 6.70

Dani Pacheco M 7.30

A. Radwański 87' M 6.60

Ž. Rogelj 1 ⚽ M 7.90

O. Kobacki 45' F 6.00

Jime 70' F 6.30

S. Hamulić 63' F 6.20

Bench

D. Gallapeni D

F. Hiszpański 7' M

G. Kuchko M

J. Burek G

J. Pršir 49' M 5.60

K. Pomorski 24' M 6.30

K. Savvidīs M

Ł. Sekulski 31' F 6.50

Marin Karamarko D

M. Więckowski D

Best on the pitch

Jean Carlos

M · Raków

8.00

1 shots · 19 pass

Ž. Rogelj

M · Wisla

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 29 pass

M. Flis

D · Wisla

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 32 pass

Dani Pacheco

M · Wisla

7.30

· 42 pass

P. Makuch

F · Raków

7.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 13 pass

B. Racovițan

D · Raków

6.90

· 55 pass

Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Wiktor Żołneczko	G	94	6.30	—	—	—	12	9%	—	—	—
S. Svarnas	D	24	6.60	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
B. Racovițan	D	94	6.90	—	—	—	55	50%	1	—	—
F. Tudor	D	94	6.30	—	—	—	49	41%	—	1	—
E. Otieno	M	56	6.20	—	—	1	21	19%	1	—	—
V. Kochergin	M	56	6.20	—	—	1	45	33%	—	—	—
O. Repka	M	94	6.90	—	—	1	48	43%	3	—	—
Jean Carlos	M	94	8.00	—	—	1	19	14%	3	—	—
T. Pieńko	F	82	6.60	—	—	1	26	22%	—	—	—
M. Emreli	F	56	6.30	—	—	1	15	12%	—	—	—
P. Makuch	F	94	7.00	1	—	2	13	9%	—	—	—
Adam Basse	F	12	6.20	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—
Ádin Molnár	M	38	6.50	—	—	—	5	3%	—	—	—
J. Napieraj	D	70	6.30	—	—	—	50	48%	—	—	—
M. Ameyaw	M	38	6.70	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
M. Bulat	M	38	6.30	—	—	—	5	3%	—	—	—

Wisla Plock — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Leszczyński	G	94	6.60	—	—	—	36	19%	—	—	—
M. Flis	D	94	7.50	1	—	1	32	26%	1	—	—
M. Kamiński	D	94	6.70	—	—	—	39	36%	2	—	—
M. Haglind-Sangré	D	94	6.90	—	—	1	45	42%	3	—	—
P. Kun	M	94	6.70	—	—	—	19	16%	3	—	—
Dani Pacheco	M	94	7.30	—	—	—	42	34%	—	1	—
A. Radwański	M	87	6.60	—	—	—	37	30%	1	—	—
Ž. Rogelj	M	94	7.90	1	—	1	29	24%	2	—	—
O. Kobacki	F	45	6.00	—	—	—	12	6%	1	1	—
Jime	F	70	6.30	—	—	—	22	19%	—	—	—
S. Hamulić	F	63	6.20	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
F. Hiszpański	M	7	—	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
J. Pršir	M	49	5.60	—	—	—	5	4%	—	1	—
K. Pomorski	M	24	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	1	—	—
Ł. Sekulski	F	31	6.50	—	—	—	2	1%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?

The final score was Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Wisla Plock.

What did the model predict before Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?

The model assigned 35% probability to a Raków Częstochowa win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Wisla Plock win.