Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 1
July 26, 2026 14:45
P. Makuch
68'
(pen.)
37'
M. Flis
49'
Z. Rogelj
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Raków Częstochowa a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Wisla Plock 32%). The final result was Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Wisla Plock. In 2 previous meetings, Raków Częstochowa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Wisla Plock.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
3
1.22
Actual xG
0.86
1
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
2
8
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
O. Kobacki
S. Svarnas
/ J. Napieraj
24'
37'
M. Flis⚽
46'
J. Prsir
/
O. Kobacki
49'
Z. Rogelj⚽
V. Kochergin
/ M. Bulat
56'
E. Otieno
/ M. Ameyaw
56'
M. Emreli
/ A. Molnar
56'
F. Tudor
62'
63'
L. Sekulski
/
S. Hamulic
⚽P. Makuch
(pen.)
68'
70'
K. Pomorski
/
J. Jimenez
74'
J. Prsir
T. Pienko
/ A. Basse
82'
85'
D. Pacheco
87'
F. Hiszpanski
/
A. Radwanski
Pre-match prediction
35.22%
Raków
32.65%
X
32.13%
Wisla ←
we assigned to the actual result (Wisla Plock)
32.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.82
1.22
-1.6
1.47
0.86
-0.61
Raków Częstochowa dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.86).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
Wiktor Zolneczko
G
Wiktor Zolneczko
G
4
Stratos Svarnas
24'
D
Stratos Svarnas
24'
D
25
Bogdan Racovițan
D
Bogdan Racovițan
D
7
Fran Tudor
D
Fran Tudor
D
26
Erick Otieno
56'
M
Erick Otieno
56'
M
10
Wladyslaw Kocherhin
56'
M
Wladyslaw Kocherhin
56'
M
6
Oskar Repka
M
Oskar Repka
M
20
Jean Carlos Silva
M
Jean Carlos Silva
M
21
Tomasz Pieńko
82'
F
Tomasz Pieńko
82'
F
11
Mahir Emreli
56'
F
Mahir Emreli
56'
F
9
Patryk Makuch
1 ⚽
F
Patryk Makuch
1 ⚽
F
Bench
22
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo
M
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo
M
99
Adam Basse
12'
F
Adam Basse
12'
F
88
Ádin Molnár
38'
M
Ádin Molnár
38'
M
39
Isak Brusberg
F
Isak Brusberg
F
17
Jakub Jendryka
M
Jakub Jendryka
M
2
Jerzy Napieraj
70'
D
Jerzy Napieraj
70'
D
1
Kacper Trelowski
G
Kacper Trelowski
G
5
Marko Bulat
38'
M
Marko Bulat
38'
M
19
Michael Ameyaw
38'
M
Michael Ameyaw
38'
M
24
Nikodem Calko
D
Nikodem Calko
D
15
Oliwier Kwiatkowski
M
Oliwier Kwiatkowski
M
71
Tarik Karić
G
Tarik Karić
G
12
Rafał Leszczyński
G
Rafał Leszczyński
G
3
Marcin Flis
1 ⚽
D
Marcin Flis
1 ⚽
D
35
Marcin Kamiński
D
Marcin Kamiński
D
4
Marcus Haglind Sangre
D
Marcus Haglind Sangre
D
23
Patryk Kun
M
Patryk Kun
M
8
Dani Pacheco
M
Dani Pacheco
M
17
Adam Radwański
87'
M
Adam Radwański
87'
M
21
Žan Rogelj
1 ⚽
M
Žan Rogelj
1 ⚽
M
7
Olaf Kobacki
45'
F
Olaf Kobacki
45'
F
11
Jime
70'
F
Jime
70'
F
10
Said Hamulić
63'
F
Said Hamulić
63'
F
Bench
19
Dion Gallapeni
D
Dion Gallapeni
D
16
Fabian Hiszpański
7'
M
Fabian Hiszpański
7'
M
91
Gleb Kuchko
M
Gleb Kuchko
M
26
Jakub Burek
G
Jakub Burek
G
18
Jurica Pršir
49'
M
Jurica Pršir
49'
M
6
Krystian Pomorski
24'
M
Krystian Pomorski
24'
M
88
Kyriakos Savvidis
M
Kyriakos Savvidis
M
20
Łukasz Sekulski
31'
F
Łukasz Sekulski
31'
F
41
Marcin Więckowski
D
Marcin Więckowski
D
5
Marin Karamarko
D
Marin Karamarko
D
Best on the pitch
Jean Carlos Silva
M · Raków
8.00
1 shots
· 19 pass
Žan Rogelj
M · Wisla
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Marcin Flis
D · Wisla
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
Dani Pacheco
M · Wisla
7.30
· 42 pass
Patryk Makuch
F · Raków
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
Bogdan Racovițan
D · Raków
6.90
· 55 pass
Raków Częstochowa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Zolneczko | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Stratos Svarnas | D | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Bogdan Racovițan | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Fran Tudor | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| Erick Otieno | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Wladyslaw Kocherhin | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Oskar Repka | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Silva | M | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Tomasz Pieńko | F | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Mahir Emreli | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Patryk Makuch | F | 94 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Adam Basse | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ádin Molnár | M | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jerzy Napieraj | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Marko Bulat | M | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Michael Ameyaw | M | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Wisla Plock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Leszczyński | G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Marcin Flis | D | 94 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcin Kamiński | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcus Haglind Sangre | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Patryk Kun | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Dani Pacheco | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Adam Radwański | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Žan Rogelj | M | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Olaf Kobacki | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jime | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Said Hamulić | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Fabian Hiszpański | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jurica Pršir | M | 49 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Krystian Pomorski | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Łukasz Sekulski | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?
The final score was Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Wisla Plock.
What did the model predict before Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Raków Częstochowa win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Wisla Plock win.