Raków Częstochowa - Zaglebie Lubin
Ekstraklasa
September 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.64%
Win
Raków Częstochowa
29.65%
Draw
28.72%
Win
Zaglebie Lubin
2.28
1.09
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.78%)
1X2 Result
1
42%
X
30%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
58%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Raków Częstochowa a 41% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Zaglebie Lubin. Expected goals are 2.3 for Raków Częstochowa and 1.1 for Zaglebie Lubin (total 3.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.78% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Raków Częstochowa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Zaglebie Lubin.
Season Stats
6W
2D
7L
4W
4D
7L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
0.7
1.5
Conceded
0.9
4.1
Shots OT
3.0
3.9
Corners
3.4
52%
Poss.
42%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
47%
67%
O 2.5
27%
73%
BTTS
33%
13%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Ekstraklasa. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
5W
1D
4L
· at home
3W
2D
5L
· away
1.8
gls/g
1.0
1.4
Conceded
1.1
50%
Win %
30%
60%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
30%
20%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Raków Częstochowa
Zaglebie Lubin →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 7.8% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Raków Częstochowa
Attack
30
Defence
40
Form
31
Zaglebie Lubin
Attack
23
Defence
61
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
7 | 18 |
| 2 |
Lech Poznan
|
7 | 16 |
| 3 |
Legia Warszawa
|
7 | 15 |
| 4 |
Wisla Krakow
|
8 | 14 |
| 5 |
Korona Kielce
|
7 | 12 |
| 6 |
Jagiellonia
|
7 | 12 |
| 7 |
Piast Gliwice
|
7 | 10 |
| 8 |
GKS Katowice
|
6 | 9 |
| 9 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
6 | 9 |
| 10 |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
6 | 9 |
| 11 |
Cracovia Krakow
|
7 | 8 |
| 12 |
Radomiak Radom
|
7 | 8 |
| 13 |
Widzew Łódź
|
7 | 7 |
| 14 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
8 | 6 |
| 15 |
Motor Lublin
|
8 | 5 |
| 16 |
Wisla Plock
|
6 | 5 |
| 17 |
Wieczysta Kraków
|
6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Raków Częstochowa
|
7 | 3 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model gives Raków Częstochowa a 41% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 28% for an Zaglebie Lubin win.
How many goals are expected in Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Expected goals: Raków Częstochowa 2.3, Zaglebie Lubin 1.1 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.78%.