Randers FC 2–1 Aarhus — pre-match prediction — Superliga — August 30, 2026

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Superliga · Regular Season - 6 August 30, 2026 16:00 Cepheus Park Randers, Landers

Randers FC

#11 · 11 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Aarhus

#8 · 15 pts

E. Mahmoud (ast. M. Themsen) 21'

M. Themsen (ast. K. Junker) 28'

63' (ast. S. Jorgensen) J. Serra

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aarhus a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Randers FC 31%). The final result was Randers FC 2–1 Aarhus. In 2 previous meetings, Randers FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Aarhus.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.76

Actual xG

1.68

Saves

41%

Possession

59%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽E. Mahmoud · ast. M. Themsen

21'

⚽M. Themsen · ast. K. Junker

28'

46'

J. Serra / M. Solbakken ↕

55'

K. Arnstad

61'

T. Bech / J. Bogere ↕

61'

J. Andersen / R. Carstensen ↕

↕ K. Junker / M. Sankoh

63'

ast. S. Jorgensen · J. Serra⚽

S. Hansen

70'

↕ M. Sjolstad / A. Henriksson

71'

↕ J. Bjorkengren / O. Jones

71'

A. Henriksson

79'

↕ E. Mahmoud / H. Lux

83'

S. Tchamche / C. Rosler ↕

87'

S. Tchamche

M. Themsen

88'

90'+2

M. Camara / E. Kahl ↕

M. Sankoh

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

31.51%

Randers ←

32.51%

35.98%

Aarhus

we assigned to the actual result (Randers FC) 31.51% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Randers

0.72

0.76

+0.04

Aarhus

0.88

1.68

+0.8

Aarhus dominated by xG (1.68 vs 0.76). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	14	32
2	FC Midtjylland	14	32
3	Viborg	14	26
4	FC Nordsjaelland	14	23
5	Brondby	14	22
6	Odense	14	17
7	AC Horsens	14	16
8	Aarhus	14	15
9	Silkeborg	14	15
10	Lyngby	14	11
11	Randers FC	14	11
12	Sonderjyske	14	9

Lineups

Randers FC 4-2-3-1

P. Izzo G 6.60

N. Dyhr D 6.90

J. Björkengren 71' D 6.20

D. Høegh D 7.20

S. Hansen D 6.30

M. Greve M 7.20

L. Pedersen M 7.20

M. Sjølstad 71' M 6.70

E. Mahmoud 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.90

M. Themsen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.70

K. Junker 1 👟 63' F 7.20

Bench

A. Henriksson 8' M 5.60

Amin Al-Hamawi F

C. Edudzi F

H. Hoyrup 12' M 6.30

Mert Demirci G

M. Sankoh 32' F 6.60

Musa Touré F

O. Jones 24' D 6.70

S. Stuker D

Aarhus 3-4-2-1

M. Hedenstad Christiansen G 6.70

E. Kahl D 7.30

Luka Callø D 6.70

C. Rösler 83' D 7.00

Frederik Emmery M 7.00

M. Solbakken 45' M 6.30

M. Knudsen M 7.20

R. Carstensen 61' M 6.70

Kristian Arnstad F 6.20

S. Jørgensen 1 👟 F 6.90

J. Bogere 61' F 6.20

Bench

J. Andersen 34' D 6.30

J. Hansen G

J. Jønsson M

J. Serra 1 ⚽ 50' F 7.70

Mouhammade Camara 3' D

S. Tchamche 12' F 6.50

T. Bech 34' F 6.20

T. Mølgaard D

Zander Grantzau D

Best on the pitch

M. Themsen

M · Randers

8.70

1 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 33 pass

E. Mahmoud

M · Randers

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 38 pass

J. Serra

F · Aarhus

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 6 pass

E. Kahl

D · Aarhus

7.30

· 74 pass

D. Høegh

D · Randers

7.20

· 58 pass

M. Knudsen

M · Aarhus

7.20

· 57 pass

Randers FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Izzo	G	95	6.60	—	—	—	29	12%	—	—	—
N. Dyhr	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	27	20%	—	—	—
J. Björkengren	D	71	6.20	—	—	1	35	31%	—	—	—
D. Høegh	D	95	7.20	—	—	—	58	47%	2	—	—
S. Hansen	D	95	6.30	—	—	—	22	19%	2	1	—
M. Greve	M	95	7.20	—	—	—	32	27%	2	—	—
L. Pedersen	M	95	7.20	—	—	—	39	34%	5	—	—
M. Sjølstad	M	71	6.70	—	—	—	14	9%	1	—	—
E. Mahmoud	M	83	7.90	1	—	2	38	29%	8	—	—
M. Themsen	M	95	8.70	1	1	4	33	25%	2	1	—
K. Junker	F	63	7.20	—	1	—	12	7%	2	—	—
A. Henriksson	M	8	5.60	—	—	—	5	5%	1	—	1
H. Hoyrup	M	12	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
M. Sankoh	F	32	6.60	—	—	—	11	10%	—	1	—
O. Jones	D	24	6.70	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—

Aarhus — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Hedenstad Christiansen	G	95	6.70	—	—	—	27	23%	—	—	—
E. Kahl	D	92	7.30	—	—	—	74	68%	2	—	—
Luka Callø	D	95	6.70	—	—	—	63	61%	2	—	—
C. Rösler	D	83	7.00	—	—	1	82	75%	2	—	—
Frederik Emmery	M	95	7.00	—	—	2	27	17%	—	—	—
M. Solbakken	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	40	37%	—	—	—
M. Knudsen	M	95	7.20	—	—	—	57	48%	4	—	—
R. Carstensen	M	61	6.70	—	—	1	26	24%	—	—	—
Kristian Arnstad	F	95	6.20	—	—	1	40	29%	1	1	—
S. Jørgensen	F	95	6.90	—	1	3	35	28%	1	—	—
J. Bogere	F	61	6.20	—	—	3	11	8%	—	—	—
J. Andersen	D	34	6.30	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—
J. Serra	F	50	7.70	1	—	2	6	6%	—	—	—
Mouhammade Camara	D	3	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
S. Tchamche	F	12	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	1	1	—
T. Bech	F	34	6.20	—	—	1	8	4%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Randers FC vs Aarhus?

The final score was Randers FC 2–1 Aarhus.

What did the model predict before Randers FC vs Aarhus?

The model assigned 31% probability to a Randers FC win, 32% to a draw, and 35% to an Aarhus win.