Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 37
May 13, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Rangers, result Hibernian vince
T. Aasgaard
41'
5'
(ast. J. Obita)
M. Boyle
89'
(ast. F. Passlack)
D. Scarlett
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rangers a 69% win probability (draw 15%, Hibernian 15%). The final result was Rangers 1–2 Hibernian. In 3 previous meetings, Rangers have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Hibernian.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
1.45
Actual xG
1.48
2
Saves
7
72%
Possession
28%
8
Corners
3
10
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
ast. J. Obita ·
M. Boyle⚽
39'
W. O'Hora
⚽T. Aasgaard
41'
46'
J. Newell
/
D. Barlaser
C. Barron
52'
O. Antman
/ B. Miovski
63'
69'
A. Suto
/
O. Elding
69'
J. Mulligan
/
J. Campbell
T. Rommens
/ M. Aarons
72'
M. Diomande
/ D. Gassama
72'
74'
J. Obita
78'
N. Cadden
/
J. Obita
78'
D. Scarlett
/
M. Boyle
D. Sterling
/ J. Meghoma
80'
T. Aasgaard
/ T. Chukwuani
80'
N. Djiga
86'
89'
ast. F. Passlack ·
D. Scarlett⚽
Pre-match prediction
69.36%
Rangers
15.43%
X
15.21%
Hibernian ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Hibernian)
15.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.70
1.45
-1.25
1.07
1.48
+0.41
xG dominance was balanced (1.45 – 1.48).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jack Butland
G
Jack Butland
G
25
Tuur Rommens
72'
D
Tuur Rommens
72'
D
37
Emmanuel Fernandez
D
Emmanuel Fernandez
D
24
Nasser Djiga
D
Nasser Djiga
D
21
Dujon Sterling
80'
D
Dujon Sterling
80'
D
10
Mohammed Diomande
72'
M
Mohammed Diomande
72'
M
8
Connor Barron
M
Connor Barron
M
47
Mikey Moore
M
Mikey Moore
M
11
Thelo Aasgaard
1 ⚽
80'
M
Thelo Aasgaard
1 ⚽
80'
M
18
Oliver Antman
63'
M
Oliver Antman
63'
M
9
Youssef Chermiti
F
Youssef Chermiti
F
Bench
7
Andreas Skov Olsen
F
Andreas Skov Olsen
F
28
Bojan Miovski
29'
F
Bojan Miovski
29'
F
23
Djeidi Gassama
20'
F
Djeidi Gassama
20'
F
30
Jayden Meghoma
12'
D
Jayden Meghoma
12'
D
5
John Souttar
D
John Souttar
D
31
Liam Kelly
G
Liam Kelly
G
3
Max Aarons
20'
D
Max Aarons
20'
D
67
Rydnn Mcguire
G
Rydnn Mcguire
G
42
Tochi Chukwuani
12'
M
Tochi Chukwuani
12'
M
1
Raphael Sallinger
G
Raphael Sallinger
G
15
Jack Iredale
D
Jack Iredale
D
4
Grant Hanley
D
Grant Hanley
D
5
Warren O'Hora
D
Warren O'Hora
D
21
Jordan Obita
1 👟
78'
M
Jordan Obita
1 👟
78'
M
22
Daniel Barlaser
45'
M
Daniel Barlaser
45'
M
14
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
M
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
M
25
Felix Passlack
1 👟
M
Felix Passlack
1 👟
M
32
Josh Campbell
69'
F
Josh Campbell
69'
F
10
Martin Boyle
1 ⚽
78'
F
Martin Boyle
1 ⚽
78'
F
47
Owen Elding
69'
F
Owen Elding
69'
F
Bench
77
Ante Šuto
23'
F
Ante Šuto
23'
F
12
Chris Cadden
D
Chris Cadden
D
44
Dane Scarlett
1 ⚽
14'
F
Dane Scarlett
1 ⚽
14'
F
11
Joe Newell
47'
M
Joe Newell
47'
M
13
Jordan Smith
G
Jordan Smith
G
20
Josh Mulligan
23'
M
Josh Mulligan
23'
M
28
Kai Andrews
M
Kai Andrews
M
19
Nicky Cadden
14'
M
Nicky Cadden
14'
M
33
Rocky Bushiri
D
Rocky Bushiri
D
Best on the pitch
Connor Barron
M · Rangers
8.20
2 shots
· 85 pass
Raphael Sallinger
G · Hibernian
8.20
· 34 pass
Felix Passlack
M · Hibernian
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
Thelo Aasgaard
M · Rangers
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 38 pass
Grant Hanley
D · Hibernian
7.30
· 15 pass
Youssef Chermiti
F · Rangers
7.30
3 shots
· 37 pass
Rangers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Butland | G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Tuur Rommens | D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Fernandez | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 83 | 76% | — | — | — |
| Nasser Djiga | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dujon Sterling | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Diomande | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Connor Barron | M | 92 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 85 | 81% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Mikey Moore | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Thelo Aasgaard | M | 80 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Oliver Antman | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Youssef Chermiti | F | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Bojan Miovski | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Djeidi Gassama | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jayden Meghoma | D | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Max Aarons | D | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Tochi Chukwuani | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Sallinger | G | 92 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Jack Iredale | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Grant Hanley | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| Warren O'Hora | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jordan Obita | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Barlaser | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Felix Passlack | M | 92 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Josh Campbell | F | 69 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Martin Boyle | F | 78 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Owen Elding | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ante Šuto | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Dane Scarlett | F | 14 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Joe Newell | M | 47 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Josh Mulligan | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Nicky Cadden | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rangers vs Hibernian?
The final score was Rangers 1–2 Hibernian.
What did the model predict before Rangers vs Hibernian?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Rangers win, 15% to a draw, and 15% to an Hibernian win.