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Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 8 October 10, 2026 16:00 Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow
Rangers
#2 · 23 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Kilmarnock
#11 · 8 pts
Ryan Naderi (ast. James Penrice) 15'
Kevin Kelsy 24'
Ryan Naderi (ast. Djeidi Gassama) 44'
90' (ast. Joe Hugill) Nicky Clescenco
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rangers a 49% win probability (draw 29%, Kilmarnock 21%). The final result was Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock. In 3 previous meetings, Rangers have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Kilmarnock.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
5
1.50
Actual xG
1.28
4
Saves
1
60%
Possession
40%
8
Corners
3
12
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Ryan Naderi · ast. James Penrice
15'
⚽Kevin Kelsy
24'
⚽Ryan Naderi · ast. Djeidi Gassama
44'
↕ Dujon Sterling / Kosta Nedeljkovic
45'
49'
Michael Schjonning-Larsen
Kosta Nedeljkovic
64'
↕ Kevin Kelsy / Findlay Curtis
73'
75'
Nicky Clescenco / Erik Ring ↕
79'
Jamie Brandon / Michael-John Kamson-Kamara ↕
79'
Djenairo Daniels / Greg Kiltie ↕
↕ Dan Neil / Tochi Chukwuani
87'
↕ Min-su Kim / Bojan Miovski
88'
↕ Djeidi Gassama / Badredine Bouanani
88'
90'
ast. Joe Hugill · Nicky Clescenco⚽
Pre-match prediction
49.4%
Rangers ←
29.51%
X
21.09%
Kilmarnock
we assigned to the actual result (Rangers) 49.4% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rangers
1.00
1.50
+0.5
Kilmarnock
0.43
1.28
+0.85
xG dominance was balanced (1.50 – 1.28). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Lineups
Rangers Rangers 4-2-3-1
1 I. Pandur I. Pandur G 7.83
29 J. Penrice J. Penrice 1 👟 D 7.04
24 O. Makhanya O. Makhanya D 6.38
37 E. Fernandez E. Fernandez D 7.32
21 D. Sterling D. Sterling 45' D 6.64
43 N. Raskin N. Raskin M 6.35
6 D. Neil D. Neil 87' M 7.20
23 D. Gassama D. Gassama 1 👟 88' M 7.70
20 R. Naderi R. Naderi 2 ⚽ M 8.67
10 Minsu Kim Minsu Kim 88' M 6.94
19 K. Kelsy K. Kelsy 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.68
Bench
26 B. Bouanani B. Bouanani 2' F 6.55
4 B. Godfrey B. Godfrey D 0.00
28 B. Miovski B. Miovski 2' F 6.54
52 Findlay Curtis Findlay Curtis 17' F 6.65
18 K. Nedeljković K. Nedeljković 45' D 6.38
31 L. Kelly L. Kelly G 0.00
42 T. Chukwuani T. Chukwuani 3' M 6.24
25 T. Rommens T. Rommens D 0.00
22 V. Dragojević V. Dragojević M 0.00
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4-2-3-1
12 C. Ferrie C. Ferrie G 5.79
21 M. Schjønning-Larsen M. Schjønning-Larsen D 5.35
14 G. Stanger G. Stanger D 6.36
4 C. McCarthy C. McCarthy D 6.63
3 Michael-John Kamson-Kamara Michael-John Kamson-Kamara 79' D 5.94
18 T. Lowery T. Lowery M 6.59
36 A. Tshibola A. Tshibola M 6.49
11 G. Kiltie G. Kiltie 79' M 5.65
10 T. John-Jules T. John-Jules M 6.46
8 E. Ring E. Ring 75' M 6.00
9 J. Hugill J. Hugill 1 👟 F 7.22
Bench
40 C. Armour C. Armour G 0.00
29 D. Daniels D. Daniels 11' F 6.37
27 I. Owen I. Owen F 0.00
2 J. Brandon J. Brandon 11' D 5.95
19 J. Meier J. Meier D 0.00
5 M. O'Hara M. O'Hara M 0.00
20 N. Cleșcenco N. Cleșcenco 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.31
6 R. Deas R. Deas D 0.00
7 R. McKenzie R. McKenzie M 0.00
Best on the pitch
R. Naderi
R. Naderi
M · Rangers
8.67
2 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
I. Pandur
I. Pandur
G · Rangers
7.83
· 47 pass
D. Gassama
D. Gassama
M · Rangers
7.70
1 👟
7 shots · 24 pass
K. Kelsy
K. Kelsy
F · Rangers
7.68
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
E. Fernandez
E. Fernandez
D · Rangers
7.32
1 shots · 61 pass
N. Cleșcenco
N. Cleșcenco
F · Kilmarnock
7.31
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
Rangers Rangers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Pandur G 90 7.83 — — 0 47 38% 0 — —
J. Penrice D 90 7.04 — 1 1 31 25% 3 — —
O. Makhanya D 90 6.38 — — 0 69 58% 0 — —
E. Fernandez D 90 7.32 — — 1 61 58% 2 — —
D. Sterling D 45 6.64 — — 0 24 21% 0 — —
N. Raskin M 90 6.35 — — 0 78 69% 1 — —
D. Neil M 87 7.20 — — 1 58 53% 2 — —
D. Gassama M 88 7.70 — 1 7 24 20% 0 — —
R. Naderi M 90 8.67 2 — 2 23 18% 0 — —
Minsu Kim M 88 6.94 — — 3 31 26% 1 — —
K. Kelsy F 73 7.68 1 — 2 19 15% 0 — —
B. Bouanani F 2 6.55 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
B. Miovski F 2 6.54 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Findlay Curtis F 17 6.65 — — 1 10 6% 0 — —
K. Nedeljković D 45 6.38 — — 0 20 19% 3 1 —
T. Chukwuani M 3 6.24 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Ferrie G 90 5.79 — — 0 27 16% 1 — —
M. Schjønning-Larsen D 90 5.35 — — 0 34 24% 2 1 —
G. Stanger D 90 6.36 — — 0 38 31% 5 — —
C. McCarthy D 90 6.63 — — 0 36 33% 2 — —
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara D 79 5.94 — — 0 14 10% 1 — —
T. Lowery M 90 6.59 — — 1 55 51% 1 — —
A. Tshibola M 90 6.49 — — 2 44 38% 2 — —
G. Kiltie M 79 5.65 — — 1 26 21% 1 — —
T. John-Jules M 90 6.46 — — 2 28 22% 1 — —
E. Ring M 75 6.00 — — 2 11 8% 0 — —
J. Hugill F 90 7.22 — 1 4 13 8% 1 — —
D. Daniels F 11 6.37 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
J. Brandon D 11 5.95 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
N. Cleșcenco F 15 7.31 1 — 1 2 1% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
The final score was Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock.
What did the model predict before Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Rangers win, 29% to a draw, and 21% to an Kilmarnock win.