✗Model wrong — prediction Rangers, result Motherwell wins
Chermiti
(ast. M. Diomande)
52'
N. Raskin
(ast. Chermiti)
70'
16'
(ast. S. O'Donnell)
L. Fadinger
25'
(ast. T. Sparrow)
E. Longelo
90'
(ast. S. O'Donnell)
E. Longelo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rangers a 69% win probability (draw 15%, Motherwell 14%). The final result was Rangers 2–3 Motherwell. In 4 previous meetings, Rangers have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Motherwell.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
2.21
Actual xG
0.57
2
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
5
22
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
16'
ast. S. O'Donnell ·
L. Fadinger⚽
25'
ast. T. Sparrow ·
E. Longelo⚽
33'
E. Longelo
B. Miovski
/ M. Moore
46'
T. Chukwuani
/ M. Diomande
46'
J. Meghoma
/ J. Tavernier
46'
⚽Chermiti
· ast. M. Diomande
52'
55'
J. McGhee
/
S. Welsh
⚽N. Raskin
· ast. Chermiti
70'
D. Sterling
71'
71'
C. Slattery
72'
I. Said
/
E. Just
72'
R. Charles-Cook
/
T. Maswanhise
D. Sterling
/ M. Aarons
77'
T. Aasgaard
/ C. Barron
86'
90'+1
L. Gordon
/
T. Sparrow
90'+1
C. Hendry
/
C. Slattery
90'
ast. S. O'Donnell ·
E. Longelo⚽
Pre-match prediction
69.85%
Rangers
15.88%
X
14.27%
Motherwell ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Motherwell)
14.27%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.03
2.21
-0.82
1.18
0.57
-0.61
Rangers dominated by xG (2.21 vs 0.57).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
30
J. Meghoma
45'
D
J. Meghoma
45'
D
37
E. Fernandez
D
E. Fernandez
D
24
D
21
D. Sterling
77'
D
D. Sterling
77'
D
42
T. Chukwuani
45'
M
T. Chukwuani
45'
M
43
N. Raskin
1 ⚽
M
N. Raskin
1 ⚽
M
23
D. Gassama
M
D. Gassama
M
11
T. Aasgaard
86'
M
T. Aasgaard
86'
M
9
Youssef Chermiti
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Youssef Chermiti
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
28
B. Miovski
45'
F
B. Miovski
45'
F
Bench
7
Andreas Skov Olsen
F
Andreas Skov Olsen
F
2
J. Tavernier
53'
D
J. Tavernier
53'
D
31
L. Kelly
G
L. Kelly
G
3
M. Aarons
21'
D
M. Aarons
21'
D
47
M. Moore
53'
F
M. Moore
53'
F
10
Mohammed Diomande
1 👟
53'
M
Mohammed Diomande
1 👟
53'
M
13
G
2
S. O'Donnell
2 👟
D
S. O'Donnell
2 👟
D
57
S. Welsh
56'
D
S. Welsh
56'
D
16
P. McGinn
D
7
T. Sparrow
1 👟
D
T. Sparrow
1 👟
D
20
Elliot Watt
M
Elliot Watt
M
12
L. Fadinger
1 ⚽
M
L. Fadinger
1 ⚽
M
45
M. Emmanuel
2 ⚽
M
M. Emmanuel
2 ⚽
M
8
C. Slattery
M
C. Slattery
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
72'
M
21
Elijah Just
72'
F
Elijah Just
72'
F
Bench
66
Callum Hendry
6'
F
Callum Hendry
6'
F
90
I. Said
26'
F
I. Said
26'
F
Best on the pitch
Youssef Chermiti
F · Rangers
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 25 pass
M. Emmanuel
M · Motherwell
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
T. Aasgaard
M · Rangers
7.70
2 shots
· 34 pass
L. Fadinger
M · Motherwell
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 37 pass
M. Moore
F · Rangers
7.20
1 shots
· 19 pass
N. Raskin
M · Rangers
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 47 pass
Rangers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| J. Meghoma | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Fernandez | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 65% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Sterling | D | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Chukwuani | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Raskin | M | 98 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 47 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Gassama | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Aasgaard | M | 86 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Youssef Chermiti | F | 98 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Miovski | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Tavernier | D | 53 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Aarons | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Moore | F | 53 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Diomande | M | 53 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| S. O'Donnell | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | 2 | — | 34 | 29% | — | — | — |
| S. Welsh | D | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| P. McGinn | D | 98 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Sparrow | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Elliot Watt | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Fadinger | M | 98 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | M | 98 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 14 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Slattery | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Elijah Just | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Callum Hendry | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| I. Said | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rangers vs Motherwell?
The final score was Rangers 2–3 Motherwell.
What did the model predict before Rangers vs Motherwell?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Rangers win, 15% to a draw, and 14% to an Motherwell win.