Rangers 2–3 Motherwell — pre-match prediction — Scottish Premiership — April 26, 2026

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Scottish Premiership · Championship Group - 34 April 26, 2026 16:00 Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow

Rangers

#2 · 27 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Motherwell

#9 · 13 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Rangers, result Motherwell wins

Chermiti (ast. M. Diomande) 52'

N. Raskin (ast. Chermiti) 70'

16' (ast. S. O'Donnell) L. Fadinger

25' (ast. T. Sparrow) E. Longelo

90' (ast. S. O'Donnell) E. Longelo

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rangers a 69% win probability (draw 15%, Motherwell 14%). The final result was Rangers 2–3 Motherwell. In 4 previous meetings, Rangers have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Motherwell.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.21

Actual xG

0.57

Saves

51%

Possession

49%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

16'

ast. S. O'Donnell · L. Fadinger⚽

25'

ast. T. Sparrow · E. Longelo⚽

33'

E. Longelo

↕ B. Miovski / M. Moore

46'

↕ T. Chukwuani / M. Diomande

46'

↕ J. Meghoma / J. Tavernier

46'

⚽Chermiti · ast. M. Diomande

52'

55'

J. McGhee / S. Welsh ↕

⚽N. Raskin · ast. Chermiti

70'

D. Sterling

71'

C. Slattery

72'

I. Said / E. Just ↕

72'

R. Charles-Cook / T. Maswanhise ↕

↕ D. Sterling / M. Aarons

77'

↕ T. Aasgaard / C. Barron

86'

90'+1

L. Gordon / T. Sparrow ↕

90'+1

C. Hendry / C. Slattery ↕

90'

ast. S. O'Donnell · E. Longelo⚽

Pre-match prediction

69.85%

Rangers

15.88%

14.27%

Motherwell ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Motherwell) 14.27% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Rangers

3.03

2.21

-0.82

Motherwell

1.18

0.57

-0.61

Rangers dominated by xG (2.21 vs 0.57). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Celtic	13	31
2	Rangers	12	27
3	Falkirk	13	21
4	Heart Of Midlothian	12	20
5	Dundee	12	17
6	Dundee Utd	12	17
7	ST Johnstone	13	17
8	ST Mirren	13	14
9	Motherwell	13	13
10	Hibernian	12	11
11	Aberdeen	12	11
12	Kilmarnock	13	9

Lineups

Rangers 4-2-2-2

G 5.30

J. Meghoma 45' D 6.30

E. Fernandez D 6.60

D 6.50

D. Sterling 77' D 6.70

T. Chukwuani 45' M 6.70

N. Raskin 1 ⚽ M 7.20

D. Gassama M 6.60

Thelo Aasgaard 86' M 7.70

Youssef Chermiti 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.30

B. Miovski 45' F 7.20

Bench

A. Skov Olsen F

J. Tavernier 53' D 6.70

L. Kelly G

M. Aarons 21' D 6.30

M. Moore 53' F 7.20

Mohammed Diomande 1 👟 53' M 7.00

Motherwell 4-2-3-1

G 7.00

S. O'Donnell 2 👟 D 6.60

S. Welsh 56' D 6.90

P. McGinn D 5.90

T. Sparrow 1 👟 D 6.20

Elliot Watt M 6.60

L. Fadinger 1 ⚽ M 7.30

M. Emmanuel 2 ⚽ M 8.20

C. Slattery M 6.60

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 72' M 6.20

E. Just 72' F 6.20

Bench

C. Hendry 6' F

I. Said 26' F 6.70

Best on the pitch

Youssef Chermiti

F · Rangers

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 25 pass

M. Emmanuel

M · Motherwell

8.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 14 pass

Thelo Aasgaard

M · Rangers

7.70

2 shots · 34 pass

L. Fadinger

M · Motherwell

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 37 pass

M. Moore

F · Rangers

7.20

1 shots · 19 pass

N. Raskin

M · Rangers

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 47 pass

Rangers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	98	5.30	—	—	—	36	23%	—	—	—
J. Meghoma	D	45	6.30	—	—	1	16	15%	—	—	—
E. Fernandez	D	98	6.60	—	—	—	55	51%	2	—	—
	D	98	6.50	—	—	—	65	65%	1	—	—
D. Sterling	D	77	6.70	—	—	—	20	18%	3	1	—
T. Chukwuani	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	14	12%	2	—	—
N. Raskin	M	98	7.20	1	—	2	47	38%	5	—	—
D. Gassama	M	98	6.60	—	—	—	16	11%	1	—	—
Thelo Aasgaard	M	86	7.70	—	—	2	34	28%	2	—	—
Youssef Chermiti	F	98	8.30	1	1	5	25	8%	1	—	—
B. Miovski	F	45	7.20	—	—	1	8	6%	2	—	—
J. Tavernier	D	53	6.70	—	—	—	22	17%	1	—	—
M. Aarons	D	21	6.30	—	—	—	10	10%	—	—	—
M. Moore	F	53	7.20	—	—	1	19	15%	—	—	—
Mohammed Diomande	M	53	7.00	—	1	1	27	23%	2	—	—

Motherwell — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	98	7.00	—	—	—	49	36%	—	—	—
S. O'Donnell	D	98	6.60	—	2	—	34	29%	—	—	—
S. Welsh	D	56	6.90	—	—	—	41	36%	1	—	—
P. McGinn	D	98	5.90	—	—	—	46	41%	2	—	—
T. Sparrow	D	92	6.20	—	1	—	39	30%	1	—	—
Elliot Watt	M	98	6.60	—	—	—	62	51%	3	—	—
L. Fadinger	M	98	7.30	1	—	3	37	32%	2	—	—
M. Emmanuel	M	98	8.20	2	—	3	14	11%	2	1	—
C. Slattery	M	92	6.60	—	—	—	32	27%	3	1	—
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise	M	72	6.20	—	—	1	10	5%	2	—	—
E. Just	F	72	6.20	—	—	—	22	18%	—	—	—
C. Hendry	F	6	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
I. Said	F	26	6.70	—	—	—	5	3%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Rangers vs Motherwell?

The final score was Rangers 2–3 Motherwell.

What did the model predict before Rangers vs Motherwell?

The model assigned 69% probability to a Rangers win, 15% to a draw, and 14% to an Motherwell win.