Rapid Vienna 5–1 Austria Lustenau — pre-match prediction — Bundesliga — October 24, 2026

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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10 October 24, 2026 19:30 Allianz Stadion, Vienna

Rapid Vienna

#1 · 27 pts

5 – 1

Final score

Austria Lustenau

#10 · 8 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Rapid Vienna

Ercan Kara (ast. Petter Nosakhare Dahl) 6'

Nenad Cvetković (ast. Tonni Adamsen) 8'

Yusuf Demir 41' (pen.)

Yusuf Demir (ast. Jannes Horn) 67'

Marco Tilio (ast. Tonni Adamsen) 85'

60' (ast. Fabian Gmeiner) Haris Ismailcebioglu

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rapid Vienna a 68% win probability (draw 16%, Austria Lustenau 15%). The final result was Rapid Vienna 5–1 Austria Lustenau.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

4.19

Actual xG

1.18

Saves

62%

Possession

38%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Ercan Kara · ast. Petter Nosakhare Dahl

⚽Nenad Cvetković · ast. Tonni Adamsen

19'

34'

Robin Voisine

40'

Danilo Soares

⚽Yusuf Demir (pen.)

41'

45'

Albin Gashi

55'

Lenn Jastremski / Antonio Verinac ↕

56'

Haris Ismailcebioglu / Lord Afrifa ↕

60'

ast. Fabian Gmeiner · Haris Ismailcebioglu⚽

⚽Yusuf Demir · ast. Jannes Horn

67'

↕ Ercan Kara / Marco Tilio

75'

↕ Petter Nosakhare Dahl / Moulaye Haïdara

75'

76'

Lukas Ibertsberger / Pius Grabher ↕

76'

Alieu Conateh / Dominik Weixelbraun ↕

76'

Matthias Maak / Seydou Diarra ↕

↕ Jannes Horn / Eaden roka

84'

↕ Nicolas Bajlicz / Louis Schaub

84'

⚽Marco Tilio · ast. Tonni Adamsen

85'

↕ Yusuf Demir / Nikolaus Wurmbrand

89'

Pre-match prediction

68.06%

Rapid ←

16.45%

15.49%

Austria

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rapid Vienna) 68.06% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Rapid

4.44

4.19

-0.25

Austria

0.89

1.18

+0.29

Rapid Vienna dominated by xG (4.19 vs 1.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	10	27
2	Red Bull Salzburg	10	24
3	Lask Linz	10	19
4	Sturm Graz	10	18
5	Ried	10	15
6	TSV Hartberg	10	14
7	WSG Wattens	10	12
8	Grazer AK	10	10
9	SCR Altach	10	9
10	Austria Lustenau	10	8
11	Austria Vienna	10	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	10	5

Lineups

Rapid Vienna 4-2-3-1

N. Hedl G 7.53

J. Horn 1 👟 84' D 7.10

S. Raux-Yao D 6.62

N. Cvetković 1 ⚽ D 7.79

B. Bolla D 7.43

M. Seidl M 7.20

N. Bajlicz 84' M 7.20

P. Dahl 1 👟 75' M 7.10

T. Adamsen 2 👟 M 8.18

Y. Demir 2 ⚽ 89' M 8.20

E. Kara 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.59

Bench

C. M'Buyi F 0.00

Eaden Roka 6' D 6.49

F. Demir D 0.00

K. Ahoussou D 0.00

L. Schaub 6' M 6.45

M. Haïdara 15' F 6.75

M. Tilio 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.38

Nikolaus Wurmbrand 1' F 6.39

P. Gartler G 0.00

Austria Lustenau 4-1-4-1

D. Schierl G 5.51

Danilo Soares D 5.40

N. Pertlwieser D 6.14

R. Voisine D 5.90

F. Gmeiner 1 👟 D 6.11

P. Grabher 76' M 6.46

A. Gashi M 5.79

S. Diarra 76' M 6.26

L. Afrifa 56' M 5.95

D. Weixelbraun 76' M 6.19

A. Verinac 55' F 6.59

Bench

Alieu Conateh 14' F 6.22

Frederic Flatz G 0.00

H. Ismailcebioglu 1 ⚽ 34' M 6.75

L. Ibertsberger 14' D 5.70

L. Jastremski 35' F 6.52

Melih Akubulut F 0.00

M. Maak 14' D 5.51

P. Benjamin F 0.00

P. Böhm G 0.00

Best on the pitch

Y. Demir

M · Rapid

8.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 51 pass

T. Adamsen

M · Rapid

8.18

2 👟

1 shots · 35 pass

N. Cvetković

D · Rapid

7.79

1 ⚽

2 shots · 73 pass

E. Kara

F · Rapid

7.59

1 ⚽

4 shots · 7 pass

N. Hedl

G · Rapid

7.53

· 37 pass

B. Bolla

D · Rapid

7.43

· 67 pass

Rapid Vienna — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Hedl	G	90	7.53	—	—	0	37	32%	0	—	—
J. Horn	D	84	7.10	—	1	1	61	51%	0	—	—
S. Raux-Yao	D	90	6.62	—	—	0	72	68%	0	—	—
N. Cvetković	D	90	7.79	1	—	2	73	69%	1	—	—
B. Bolla	D	90	7.43	—	—	0	67	58%	0	—	—
M. Seidl	M	90	7.20	—	—	2	80	75%	3	—	—
N. Bajlicz	M	84	7.20	—	—	2	80	76%	2	—	—
P. Dahl	M	75	7.10	—	1	3	26	20%	0	—	—
T. Adamsen	M	90	8.18	—	2	1	35	28%	0	—	—
Y. Demir	M	89	8.20	2	—	3	51	45%	2	—	—
E. Kara	F	75	7.59	1	—	4	7	5%	0	—	—
Eaden Roka	D	6	6.49	—	—	0	3	3%	0	—	—
L. Schaub	M	6	6.45	—	—	0	4	4%	0	—	—
M. Haïdara	F	15	6.75	—	—	0	1	1%	1	—	—
M. Tilio	F	15	7.38	1	—	1	4	3%	0	—	—
Nikolaus Wurmbrand	F	1	6.39	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—

Austria Lustenau — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Schierl	G	90	5.51	—	—	0	39	34%	0	—	—
Danilo Soares	D	90	5.40	—	—	2	30	24%	3	1	—
N. Pertlwieser	D	90	6.14	—	—	0	38	34%	4	—	—
R. Voisine	D	90	5.90	—	—	0	55	50%	5	1	—
F. Gmeiner	D	90	6.11	—	1	1	23	17%	1	—	—
P. Grabher	M	76	6.46	—	—	0	36	33%	1	—	—
A. Gashi	M	90	5.79	—	—	0	28	24%	2	1	—
S. Diarra	M	76	6.26	—	—	0	37	34%	3	—	—
L. Afrifa	M	56	5.95	—	—	0	25	20%	3	—	—
D. Weixelbraun	M	76	6.19	—	—	1	11	8%	1	—	—
A. Verinac	F	55	6.59	—	—	1	13	8%	0	—	—
Alieu Conateh	F	14	6.22	—	—	0	2	2%	0	—	—
H. Ismailcebioglu	M	34	6.75	1	—	1	10	8%	0	—	—
L. Ibertsberger	D	14	5.70	—	—	2	5	5%	0	—	—
L. Jastremski	F	35	6.52	—	—	0	12	10%	0	—	—
M. Maak	D	14	5.51	—	—	0	9	8%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?

The final score was Rapid Vienna 5–1 Austria Lustenau.

What did the model predict before Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?

The model assigned 68% probability to a Rapid Vienna win, 16% to a draw, and 15% to an Austria Lustenau win.