Conference League
· 3rd Qualifying Round
August 12, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction Rapid Vienna
M. Tilio
(ast. N. Wurmbrand)
38'
L. Schaub
82'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rapid Vienna a 76% win probability (draw 11%, Paide 11%). The final result was Rapid Vienna 2–0 Paide. In 1 previous meetings, Rapid Vienna have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Paide.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
1
7
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
5
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
1
13
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. M. Scholler
37'
⚽M. Tilio
· ast. N. Wurmbrand
38'
46'
R. Smirnov
/
M. Miller
M. Tilio
/ T. Adamsen
62'
R. Amane
/ N. Bajlicz
62'
M. Haidara
/ P. Dahl
62'
68'
H. Ojamaa
/
M. P. Sohna
68'
E. Tur
/
H. Ojamaa
J. M. Scholler
/ S. Raux-Yao
74'
L. Schaub
74'
81'
H. Anier
⚽L. Schaub
(pen.)
82'
84'
P. A. Cham
/
D. Luts
84'
K. Piht
/
H. Anier
L. Schaub
/ M. Seidl
84'
Pre-match prediction
76.92%
Rapid ←
11.48%
X
11.6%
Paide
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rapid Vienna)
76.92%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.63
—
—
1.40
—
—
Lineups
1
N. Hedl
G
N. Hedl
G
23
Jonas Auer
D
Jonas Auer
D
4
Jakob Schöller
74'
D
Jakob Schöller
74'
D
55
N. Cvetković
D
N. Cvetković
D
2
Eaden Roka
D
Eaden Roka
D
43
Moulaye Haïdara
63'
M
Moulaye Haïdara
63'
M
21
L. Schaub
1 ⚽
84'
M
L. Schaub
1 ⚽
84'
M
29
Romeo Amane
63'
M
Romeo Amane
63'
M
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
1 👟
M
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
1 👟
M
17
T. Gulliksen
F
T. Gulliksen
F
7
M. Tilio
1 ⚽
63'
F
M. Tilio
1 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
77
B. Bolla
D
B. Bolla
D
9
E. Kara
F
E. Kara
F
61
F. Demir
D
F. Demir
D
38
J. Horn
D
J. Horn
D
50
Laurenz Orgler
G
Laurenz Orgler
G
18
M. Seidl
7'
M
M. Seidl
7'
M
30
N. Bajlicz
28'
M
N. Bajlicz
28'
M
10
P. Dahl
28'
F
P. Dahl
28'
F
25
P. Gartler
G
P. Gartler
G
6
S. Raux-Yao
17'
D
S. Raux-Yao
17'
D
8
T. Adamsen
28'
F
T. Adamsen
28'
F
22
Y. Demir
F
Y. Demir
F
99
Ebrima Jarju
G
Ebrima Jarju
G
2
Michael Lilander
D
Michael Lilander
D
3
Victor Hugo
D
Victor Hugo
D
27
Nikita Baranov
D
Nikita Baranov
D
15
Hindrek Ojamaa
68'
D
Hindrek Ojamaa
68'
D
10
Martin Miller
45'
M
Martin Miller
45'
M
28
O. Hõim
M
O. Hõim
M
11
Pa Modou Sohna
68'
M
Pa Modou Sohna
68'
M
6
Daniel Cabral
F
Daniel Cabral
F
9
Henri Anier
84'
F
Henri Anier
84'
F
77
Daniel Luts
84'
F
Daniel Luts
84'
F
Bench
30
A. Badamosi
F
A. Badamosi
F
16
Aleksandr Šurõgin
M
Aleksandr Šurõgin
M
7
Edgar Tur
23'
D
Edgar Tur
23'
D
8
Henrik Ojamaa
23'
M
Henrik Ojamaa
23'
M
44
Kristofer Kait
D
Kristofer Kait
D
20
Kristofer Piht
7'
F
Kristofer Piht
7'
F
12
Marko Meerits
G
Marko Meerits
G
14
Momodou Jobarteh
M
Momodou Jobarteh
M
17
Pa Abdou Cham
7'
M
Pa Abdou Cham
7'
M
4
Pedro Andrade Drozina
D
Pedro Andrade Drozina
D
21
Ramon Smirnov
46'
M
Ramon Smirnov
46'
M
19
Siim Luts
F
Siim Luts
F
Best on the pitch
Ebrima Jarju
G · Paide
7.90
· 43 pass
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
M · Rapid
7.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 29 pass
L. Schaub
M · Rapid
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 81 pass
N. Hedl
G · Rapid
7.50
· 31 pass
M. Tilio
F · Rapid
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 29 pass
Jakob Schöller
D · Rapid
7.30
1 shots
· 101 pass
Rapid Vienna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hedl | G | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonas Auer | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakob Schöller | D | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 101 | 95% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Cvetković | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 87 | 79% | — | — | — |
| Eaden Roka | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Moulaye Haïdara | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Schaub | M | 84 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 81 | 71% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Romeo Amane | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 78 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| Nikolaus Wurmbrand | M | 91 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gulliksen | F | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Tilio | F | 63 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Seidl | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Bajlicz | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| P. Dahl | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Raux-Yao | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| T. Adamsen | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
Paide — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebrima Jarju | G | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Michael Lilander | D | 91 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| Nikita Baranov | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Hindrek Ojamaa | D | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Martin Miller | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Hõim | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| Pa Modou Sohna | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Cabral | F | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Henri Anier | F | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Luts | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Edgar Tur | D | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Henrik Ojamaa | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kristofer Piht | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Pa Abdou Cham | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ramon Smirnov | M | 46 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rapid Vienna vs Paide?
The final score was Rapid Vienna 2–0 Paide.
What did the model predict before Rapid Vienna vs Paide?
The model assigned 76% probability to a Rapid Vienna win, 11% to a draw, and 11% to an Paide win.