Bundesliga
· Championship Group - 29
April 26, 2026 14:30
E. Kara
(ast. Y. Demir)
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Red Bull Salzburg a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Rapid Vienna 30%). The final result was Rapid Vienna 1–0 Red Bull Salzburg. In 4 previous meetings, Rapid Vienna have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Red Bull Salzburg.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
1
1.08
Actual xG
1.39
0
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
6
15
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
N. Cvetkovic
2'
N. Cvetkovic
/ N. Wurmbrand
51'
57'
K. Onisiwo
/
K. Konate
57'
M. K. Yeo
/
K. Alajbegovic
A. Weimann
/ E. Kara
69'
J. Antiste
/ Y. Demir
69'
78'
S. Lainer
P. Dahl
/ L. Grgic
79'
J. M. Scholler
/ T. Borkeeiet
79'
84'
D. Redzic
/
Y. Vertessen
⚽E. Kara
· ast. Y. Demir
88'
E. Kara
89'
90'
E. Aguilar
/
M. Bidstrup
90'
A. Terzic
/
F. Kratzig
Pre-match prediction
30.79%
Rapid ←
27.31%
X
41.89%
Red
we assigned to the actual result (Rapid Vienna)
30.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
1.08
-0.07
1.42
1.39
-0.03
Red Bull Salzburg dominated by xG (1.39 vs 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
6
D
55
N. Cvetković
51'
D
N. Cvetković
51'
D
4
Jakob Schöller
79'
D
Jakob Schöller
79'
D
20
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
M
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
M
18
M. Seidl
M
M. Seidl
M
29
R. Amané
M
R. Amané
M
77
B. Bolla
M
B. Bolla
M
90
J. Antiste
69'
F
J. Antiste
69'
F
10
P. Dahl
79'
F
P. Dahl
79'
F
26
Andreas Weimann
69'
F
Andreas Weimann
69'
F
Bench
9
E. Kara
1 ⚽
21'
F
E. Kara
1 ⚽
21'
F
7
M. Tilio
F
M. Tilio
F
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
39'
F
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
39'
F
16
T. Børkeeiet
11'
M
T. Børkeeiet
11'
M
17
T. Gulliksen
M
T. Gulliksen
M
1
G
13
F. Krätzig
89'
D
F. Krätzig
89'
D
21
T. Drexler
D
T. Drexler
D
44
Jannik Schuster
D
Jannik Schuster
D
22
Stefan Lainer
D
Stefan Lainer
D
27
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
57'
M
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
57'
M
14
M. Kjærgaard
M
M. Kjærgaard
M
18
M. Bidstrup
89'
M
M. Bidstrup
89'
M
11
Y. Vertessen
84'
M
Y. Vertessen
84'
M
8
S. Kitano
F
S. Kitano
F
19
K. Konaté
57'
F
K. Konaté
57'
F
Bench
3
Aleksa Terzić
1'
D
Aleksa Terzić
1'
D
24
D. Redzic
11'
F
D. Redzic
11'
F
9
Karim Onisiwo
33'
F
Karim Onisiwo
33'
F
49
M. Yeo
33'
M
M. Yeo
33'
M
5
Soumaïla Diabaté
M
37
Tim Trummer
M
Tim Trummer
M
Best on the pitch
D · Rapid
8.30
· 102 pass
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
M · Red
7.50
1 shots
· 16 pass
N. Cvetković
D · Rapid
7.30
· 65 pass
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
M · Rapid
7.30
· 50 pass
M. Seidl
M · Rapid
7.30
· 67 pass
Jakob Schöller
D · Rapid
7.20
· 57 pass
Rapid Vienna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 102 | 93% | 2 | — | — | |
| N. Cvetković | D | 51 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 64% | — | 1 | — |
| Jakob Schöller | D | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Kouadio Ange Ahoussou | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Seidl | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Amané | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Bolla | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Antiste | F | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| P. Dahl | F | 79 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Andreas Weimann | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Kara | F | 21 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nikolaus Wurmbrand | F | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Børkeeiet | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Red Bull Salzburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| F. Krätzig | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Drexler | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Jannik Schuster | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Stefan Lainer | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kerim-Sam Alajbegović | M | 57 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kjærgaard | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Bidstrup | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Vertessen | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Kitano | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Konaté | F | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Aleksa Terzić | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Redzic | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Karim Onisiwo | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Yeo | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rapid Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The final score was Rapid Vienna 1–0 Red Bull Salzburg.
What did the model predict before Rapid Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Rapid Vienna win, 27% to a draw, and 41% to an Red Bull Salzburg win.