Bundesliga
· Championship Group - 25
April 05, 2026 17:00
13'
A. Vallci
52'
S. Jatta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Rapid Vienna 34%). The final result was Rapid Vienna 0–2 Sturm Graz. In 4 previous meetings, Rapid Vienna have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sturm Graz.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
10
0
Shots on target
7
0.42
Actual xG
1.93
5
Saves
0
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
8
20
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
13'
A. Vallci⚽
Bendegúz Bolla
34'
34'
Gizo Mamageishvili
36'
Jacob Hödl
52'
S. Jatta⚽
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
56'
T. Gulliksen
/ P. Dahl
57'
59'
A. Malic
/
J. Gazibegovic
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
68'
68'
Jeyland Mitchell
N. Wurmbrand
/ Y. Demir
71'
A. Ahoussou
/ E. Kara
71'
J. Antiste
/ M. Tilio
71'
73'
O. Kiteishvili
/
G. Mamageishvili
73'
M. Malone
/
S. Jatta
73'
R. Fosso
/
J. Hodl
80'
Filip Rózga
81'
S. Hierlander
/
F. Rozga
Marco Tilio
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
34.29%
Rapid
28.6%
X
37.11%
Sturm ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sturm Graz)
37.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.04
0.42
-0.62
1.30
1.93
+0.63
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
20
K. Ahoussou
71'
D
K. Ahoussou
71'
D
6
D
55
N. Cvetković
D
N. Cvetković
D
17
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
57'
M
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
57'
M
29
R. Amané
M
R. Amané
M
18
M. Seidl
M
M. Seidl
M
77
B. Bolla
M
B. Bolla
M
90
J. Antiste
71'
F
J. Antiste
71'
F
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
71'
F
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
71'
F
26
A. Weimann
F
A. Weimann
F
Bench
9
E. Kara
19'
F
E. Kara
19'
F
7
M. Tilio
19'
F
M. Tilio
19'
F
10
P. Dahl
33'
F
P. Dahl
33'
F
53
D. Khudyakov
G
D. Khudyakov
G
30
P. Koller
D
P. Koller
D
2
J. Mitchell
D
J. Mitchell
D
5
A. Vallci
1 ⚽
D
A. Vallci
1 ⚽
D
43
Jacob Peter Hödl
73'
M
Jacob Peter Hödl
73'
M
39
Luca Weinhandl
M
Luca Weinhandl
M
4
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
22
J. Gazibegović
59'
M
J. Gazibegović
59'
M
15
G. Mamageishvili
73'
F
G. Mamageishvili
73'
F
8
F. Rózga
F. Rózga
20
S. Jatta
1 ⚽
73'
F
S. Jatta
1 ⚽
73'
F
Bench
23
A. Malic
31'
D
A. Malic
31'
D
47
E. Aiwu
D
17
E. Karić
D
E. Karić
D
77
M. Malone
17'
F
M. Malone
17'
F
10
O. Kiteishvili
17'
M
O. Kiteishvili
17'
M
80
Ryan Fosso
17'
M
Ryan Fosso
17'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Vallci
D · Sturm
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
R. Amané
M · Rapid
7.60
· 53 pass
N. Cvetković
D · Rapid
7.50
· 77 pass
J. Mitchell
D · Sturm
7.50
· 15 pass
A. Malic
D · Sturm
7.20
· 6 pass
J. Antiste
F · Rapid
7.20
· 18 pass
Rapid Vienna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| K. Ahoussou | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | 3 | — | — | |
| N. Cvetković | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 77 | 71% | 4 | — | — |
| Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Amané | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Seidl | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Bolla | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 53% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Antiste | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Nikolaus Wurmbrand | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Weimann | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Kara | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Tilio | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Dahl | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Khudyakov | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 14% | — | — | — |
| P. Koller | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Mitchell | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Vallci | D | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Peter Hödl | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gazibegović | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| G. Mamageishvili | F | 73 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Rózga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S. Jatta | F | 73 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Malic | D | 31 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Malone | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| O. Kiteishvili | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Fosso | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
The final score was Rapid Vienna 0–2 Sturm Graz.
What did the model predict before Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Rapid Vienna win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an Sturm Graz win.