Bundesliga
· Championship Group - 25
April 05, 2026 17:00
13'
A. Vallci
52'
S. Jatta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Rapid Vienna 34%). The final result was Rapid Vienna 0–2 Sturm Graz. In 3 previous meetings, Rapid Vienna have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sturm Graz.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
10
0
Shots on target
7
0.42
Actual xG
1.93
5
Saves
0
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
8
20
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
13'
A. Vallci⚽
Bendegúz Bolla
34'
34'
Gizo Mamageishvili
36'
Jacob Hödl
52'
S. Jatta⚽
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
56'
T. Gulliksen
/ P. Dahl
57'
59'
A. Malic
/
J. Gazibegovic
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
68'
68'
Jeyland Mitchell
N. Wurmbrand
/ Y. Demir
71'
A. Ahoussou
/ E. Kara
71'
J. Antiste
/ M. Tilio
71'
73'
O. Kiteishvili
/
G. Mamageishvili
73'
M. Malone
/
S. Jatta
73'
R. Fosso
/
J. Hodl
80'
Filip Rózga
81'
S. Hierlander
/
F. Rozga
Marco Tilio
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
34.29%
Rapid
28.6%
X
37.11%
Sturm ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sturm Graz)
37.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.04
0.42
-0.62
1.30
1.93
+0.63
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
20
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
71'
D
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
71'
D
6
D
55
Nenad Cvetković
D
Nenad Cvetković
D
17
T. Gulliksen
57'
M
T. Gulliksen
57'
M
29
R. Amané
M
R. Amané
M
18
M. Seidl
M
M. Seidl
M
77
B. Bolla
M
B. Bolla
M
90
Janis Antiste
71'
F
Janis Antiste
71'
F
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
71'
F
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
71'
F
26
Andreas Weimann
F
Andreas Weimann
F
Bench
9
E. Kara
19'
F
E. Kara
19'
F
7
Marco Tilio
19'
F
Marco Tilio
19'
F
10
P. Dahl
33'
F
P. Dahl
33'
F
53
Daniil Khudyakov
G
Daniil Khudyakov
G
30
Paul Koller
D
Paul Koller
D
2
J. Mitchell
D
J. Mitchell
D
5
Albert Vallci
1 ⚽
D
Albert Vallci
1 ⚽
D
43
Jacob Hödl
73'
M
Jacob Hödl
73'
M
39
Luca Weinhandl
M
Luca Weinhandl
M
4
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
22
Jusuf Gazibegović
59'
M
Jusuf Gazibegović
59'
M
15
Gizo Mamageishvili
73'
F
8
F. Rozga
20
Seedy Jatta
1 ⚽
73'
F
Seedy Jatta
1 ⚽
73'
F
Bench
23
Arjan Malić
31'
D
Arjan Malić
31'
D
47
E. Aiwu
D
17
Emir Karić
D
Emir Karić
D
77
Maurice Malone
17'
F
Maurice Malone
17'
F
10
O. Kiteishvili
17'
M
O. Kiteishvili
17'
M
80
Ryan Fosso
17'
M
Ryan Fosso
17'
M
Best on the pitch
Albert Vallci
D · Sturm
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
R. Amané
M · Rapid
7.60
· 53 pass
Nenad Cvetković
D · Rapid
7.50
· 77 pass
J. Mitchell
D · Sturm
7.50
· 15 pass
Arjan Malić
D · Sturm
7.20
· 6 pass
Janis Antiste
F · Rapid
7.20
· 18 pass
Rapid Vienna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| Kouadio Ange Ahoussou | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 69 | 60% | 3 | — | — | |
| Nenad Cvetković | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 77 | 71% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Gulliksen | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Amané | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Seidl | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Bolla | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 53% | — | 1 | — |
| Janis Antiste | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Nikolaus Wurmbrand | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Andreas Weimann | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Kara | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Tilio | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Dahl | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Khudyakov | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Paul Koller | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Mitchell | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Albert Vallci | D | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Hödl | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jusuf Gazibegović | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Gizo Mamageishvili | F | 73 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Rozga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Seedy Jatta | F | 73 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Arjan Malić | D | 31 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Maurice Malone | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| O. Kiteishvili | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Fosso | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
The final score was Rapid Vienna 0–2 Sturm Graz.
What did the model predict before Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Rapid Vienna win, 28% to a draw, and 37% to an Sturm Graz win.