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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9 October 16, 2026 19:30 Allianz Stadion, Vienna
Rapid Vienna
#1 · 27 pts
3 – 1
Final score
TSV Hartberg
#6 · 14 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Rapid Vienna
Petter Nosakhare Dahl 5'
Petter Nosakhare Dahl (ast. Ercan Kara) 45'+1
Jannes Horn 81'
49' (ast. Oliver Lukic) Magnus Dalpiaz
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rapid Vienna a 63% win probability (draw 19%, TSV Hartberg 17%). The final result was Rapid Vienna 3–1 TSV Hartberg. In 4 previous meetings, Rapid Vienna have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for TSV Hartberg.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
4
1.48
Actual xG
0.99
3
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
1
Corners
5
12
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Petter Nosakhare Dahl
5'
15'
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
26'
⚽Petter Nosakhare Dahl · ast. Ercan Kara
45'+1
45'
Tobias Kainz / Nikolaus Feldhofer ↕
45'
Oliver Lukic / Youba Diarra ↕
49'
ast. Oliver Lukic · Magnus Dalpiaz⚽
50'
Luka·Maric
57'
Konstantin Schopp
↕ Tonni Adamsen / Moulaye Haïdara
61'
66'
Jed Drew / Manuel Pfeifer ↕
↕ Ercan Kara / Claudy M'Buyi
71'
↕ Petter Nosakhare Dahl / Marco Tilio
71'
75'
Andrija Radulovic / Angelo Gattermayer ↕
⚽Jannes Horn
81'
↕ Nicolas Bajlicz / Louis Schaub
85'
↕ Yusuf Demir / Nikolaus Wurmbrand
85'
89'
Jonas Karner / Marco Hoffmann ↕
90'+2
Jonas Karner
Pre-match prediction
63.3%
Rapid ←
19.14%
X
17.56%
TSV
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rapid Vienna) 63.3% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rapid
4.40
1.48
-2.93
TSV
1.31
0.99
-0.32
Rapid Vienna dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.99). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 10 27
2 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 10 24
3 Lask Linz Lask Linz 10 19
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 10 18
5 Ried Ried 10 15
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 10 14
7 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 10 12
8 Grazer AK Grazer AK 10 10
9 SCR Altach SCR Altach 10 9
10 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 10 8
11 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 10 7
12 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 10 5
Lineups
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 4-2-3-1
1 N. Hedl N. Hedl G 6.63
38 J. Horn J. Horn 1 ⚽ D 7.93
6 S. Raux-Yao S. Raux-Yao D 6.59
55 N. Cvetković N. Cvetković D 7.00
77 B. Bolla B. Bolla D 7.17
18 M. Seidl M. Seidl M 7.20
30 N. Bajlicz N. Bajlicz 85' M 6.35
10 P. Dahl P. Dahl 2 ⚽ 71' M 8.63
8 T. Adamsen T. Adamsen 61' M 6.47
22 Y. Demir Y. Demir 85' M 6.67
9 E. Kara E. Kara 1 👟 71' F 7.38
Bench
71 C. M'Buyi C. M'Buyi 19' F 6.17
2 Eaden Roka Eaden Roka D 0.00
61 F. Demir F. Demir D 0.00
20 K. Ahoussou K. Ahoussou D 0.00
21 L. Schaub L. Schaub 5' M 6.36
43 M. Haïdara M. Haïdara 29' F 6.52
7 M. Tilio M. Tilio 19' F 6.81
15 Nikolaus Wurmbrand Nikolaus Wurmbrand 5' F 6.92
25 P. Gartler P. Gartler G 0.00
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 4-4-2
91 Á. Pécsi Á. Pécsi G 5.54
12 M. Pfeifer M. Pfeifer 66' D 6.56
6 Habib Coulibaly Habib Coulibaly D 6.15
27 K. Schopp K. Schopp D 6.18
14 P. Komposch P. Komposch D 6.80
95 Nikolaus Feldhofer Nikolaus Feldhofer 45' M 5.84
5 Y. Diarra Y. Diarra 45' M 5.94
4 B. Markuš B. Markuš M 6.34
16 M. Dalpiaz M. Dalpiaz 1 ⚽ M 7.54
22 M. Hoffman M. Hoffman 89' F 6.09
7 A. Gattermayer A. Gattermayer 75' F 6.26
Bench
49 A. Radulović A. Radulović 15' F 6.63
11 J. Drew J. Drew 24' F 5.96
17 J. Karner J. Karner 1' M 5.58
21 L. Marić L. Marić G 0.00
2 L. Pazourek L. Pazourek M 0.00
19 L. Spendlhofer L. Spendlhofer D 0.00
8 M. Postl M. Postl F 0.00
10 O. Lukic O. Lukic 1 👟 45' M 6.51
23 T. Kainz T. Kainz 45' M 5.84
Best on the pitch
P. Dahl
P. Dahl
M · Rapid
8.63
2 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
J. Horn
J. Horn
D · Rapid
7.93
1 ⚽
2 shots · 55 pass
M. Dalpiaz
M. Dalpiaz
M · TSV
7.54
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
E. Kara
E. Kara
F · Rapid
7.38
1 👟
1 shots · 7 pass
M. Seidl
M. Seidl
M · Rapid
7.20
· 81 pass
B. Bolla
B. Bolla
D · Rapid
7.17
· 80 pass
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Hedl G 90 6.63 — — 0 56 39% 0 — —
J. Horn D 90 7.93 1 — 2 55 52% 1 — —
S. Raux-Yao D 90 6.59 — — 0 71 67% 3 1 —
N. Cvetković D 90 7.00 — — 0 59 58% 0 — —
B. Bolla D 90 7.17 — — 0 80 71% 0 — —
M. Seidl M 90 7.20 — — 0 81 73% 3 — —
N. Bajlicz M 85 6.35 — — 0 53 47% 3 — —
P. Dahl M 71 8.63 2 — 3 25 20% 0 — —
T. Adamsen M 61 6.47 — — 0 25 22% 0 — —
Y. Demir M 85 6.67 — — 1 50 43% 2 — —
E. Kara F 71 7.38 — 1 1 7 5% 0 — —
C. M'Buyi F 19 6.17 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
L. Schaub M 5 6.36 — — 0 10 10% 0 — —
M. Haïdara F 29 6.52 — — 1 11 10% 0 — —
M. Tilio F 19 6.81 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
Nikolaus Wurmbrand F 5 6.92 — — 0 4 0% 0 — —
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Á. Pécsi G 90 5.54 — — 0 48 45% 0 — —
M. Pfeifer D 66 6.56 — — 1 30 26% 2 — —
Habib Coulibaly D 90 6.15 — — 1 73 67% 0 — —
K. Schopp D 90 6.18 — — 1 61 58% 0 1 —
P. Komposch D 90 6.80 — — 1 73 64% 0 — —
Nikolaus Feldhofer M 45 5.84 — — 1 9 7% 2 — —
Y. Diarra M 45 5.94 — — 2 25 18% 2 — —
B. Markuš M 90 6.34 — — 1 55 49% 1 — —
M. Dalpiaz M 90 7.54 1 — 2 28 25% 0 — —
M. Hoffman F 89 6.09 — — 0 26 18% 1 — —
A. Gattermayer F 75 6.26 — — 2 15 12% 0 — —
A. Radulović F 15 6.63 — — 2 9 8% 0 — —
J. Drew F 24 5.96 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
J. Karner M 1 5.58 — — 0 0 0% 0 1 —
O. Lukic M 45 6.51 — 1 0 30 24% 0 — —
T. Kainz M 45 5.84 — — 0 18 15% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg?
The final score was Rapid Vienna 3–1 TSV Hartberg.
What did the model predict before Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Rapid Vienna win, 19% to a draw, and 17% to an TSV Hartberg win.