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Rathfriland - Warrenpoint Town

Championship September 25, 2026 20:45
Rathfriland
#16 · 3 pts
vs
Warrenpoint Town
#10 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.27%
Win
Rathfriland
25.68%
Draw
51.05%
Win
Warrenpoint Town
0.73
Expected xG
2.02

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.11%)
1X2 Result
1 23%
X 26%
2 51%
Double Chance
1X 49%
X2 77%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Warrenpoint Town a 51% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Rathfriland. Expected goals are 0.7 for Rathfriland and 2.0 for Warrenpoint Town (total 2.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.11% probability.

Season Stats

Rathfriland
1W 0D 7L
Warrenpoint Town
4W 3D 8L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.1
2.4
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
60%
63%
O 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
20%
13%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
18%
O 3.5
30%
BTTS
Rathfriland
1W 0D 3L · at home
Warrenpoint Town
2W 2D 6L · away
0.8
gls/g
0.7
1.8
Conceded
1.5
25%
Win %
20%
25%
Win or Draw
40%
75%
O 1.5
60%
50%
O 2.5
40%
25%
O 3.5
10%
50%
BTTS
10%
25%
Clean Sht
30%
25%
Failed to Score
70%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Rathfriland Warrenpoint Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4% 12.9% 13.0% 8.8% 4.4% 1.8%
1 4.7% 9.4% 9.5% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 1.7% 3.4% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Rathfriland Rathfriland
W Queen's University 1–0
L Ards 1–0
L Institute 0–2
L Glenavon FC 3–1
L Newington Youth 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town
L Institute 2–0
W Moyola Park 6–2
L Newington Youth 0–1
D Loughgall 3–3
W Newry City AFC 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Rathfriland Rathfriland
Attack
18
Defence
43
Form
27
Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town
Attack
41
Defence
56
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Newington Youth Newington Youth 8 17
2 Annagh United Annagh United 8 17
3 Queen's University Queen's University 8 16
4 H&W Welders H&W Welders 8 15
5 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 8 14
6 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 8 13
7 Institute Institute 8 13
8 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 8 12
9 Ards Ards 8 11
10 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 8 10
11 Loughgall Loughgall 8 10
12 Dundela Dundela 8 8
13 Moyola Park Moyola Park 8 8
14 Strabane Athletic Strabane Athletic 8 5
15 Armagh City Armagh City 8 4
16 Rathfriland Rathfriland 8 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rathfriland vs Warrenpoint Town?
The model gives Rathfriland a 23% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 51% for an Warrenpoint Town win.
How many goals are expected in Rathfriland vs Warrenpoint Town?
Expected goals: Rathfriland 0.7, Warrenpoint Town 2.0 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Rathfriland vs Warrenpoint Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.11%.