S. Camello
(ast. J. de Frutos)
48'
84'
M. Diaz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Alaves 32%). The final result was Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves. In 3 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alaves.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
3
0.43
Actual xG
1.92
2
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
9
Corners
7
17
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
I. Palazon
/ R. Nteka
17'
35'
45'+2
N. Tenaglia
⚽S. Camello
· ast. J. de Frutos
48'
P. Fernandez
/ O. Valentin
55'
F. Perez
/ A. Garcia
55'
A. Batalla
/ D. Cardenas
60'
62'
M. Diaz
/
L. Boye
62'
D. Suarez
/
M. Rodriguez
70'
Yusi
/
Jonny Otto
S. Camello
73'
80'
N. Valentini
/
V. Koski
80'
C. Alena
/
A. Perez
84'
M. Diaz⚽
90'+2
N. Valentini
Pre-match prediction
35.17%
Rayo
32.59%
X ←
32.24%
Alaves
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
0.43
-1.2
1.04
1.92
+0.88
Alaves dominated by xG (1.92 vs 0.43).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Augusto Batalla
60'
G
Augusto Batalla
60'
G
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
D
Jozhua Vertrouwd
D
22
Pelayo Fernández
55'
D
Pelayo Fernández
55'
D
24
F. Lejeune
D
F. Lejeune
D
2
A. Rațiu
D
A. Rațiu
D
6
P. Ciss
M
P. Ciss
M
21
Fran Pérez
55'
M
Fran Pérez
55'
M
8
Unai López
M
Unai López
M
7
Isi Palazón
17'
M
Isi Palazón
17'
M
19
Jorge de Frutos
1 👟
M
Jorge de Frutos
1 👟
M
10
Sergio Camello
1 ⚽
F
Sergio Camello
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
Alemão
F
Alemão
F
18
Álvaro García
35'
M
Álvaro García
35'
M
1
Dani Cárdenas
30'
G
Dani Cárdenas
30'
G
14
G. Tsitaishvili
F
G. Tsitaishvili
F
20
I. Balliu
D
I. Balliu
D
34
Ivan Alonso Martin
D
Ivan Alonso Martin
D
26
Marco de las Sías
D
Marco de las Sías
D
23
Óscar Valentín
35'
M
Óscar Valentín
35'
M
4
Pedro Díaz
M
Pedro Díaz
M
11
R. Nteka
73'
M
R. Nteka
73'
M
27
Sergio Lozano
D
Sergio Lozano
D
1
Sivera
G
Sivera
G
21
A. Rebbach
D
A. Rebbach
D
17
Jonny
70'
D
Jonny
70'
D
16
V. Koski
80'
D
V. Koski
80'
D
14
N. Tenaglia
D
N. Tenaglia
D
7
Angel Pérez
80'
D
Angel Pérez
80'
D
18
Mikel Rodriguez
62'
M
Mikel Rodriguez
62'
M
8
Antonio Blanco
M
Antonio Blanco
M
19
Pablo Ibáñez
M
Pablo Ibáñez
M
11
Toni Martínez
F
Toni Martínez
F
15
L. Boyé
62'
F
L. Boyé
62'
F
Bench
13
A. Giménez
G
A. Giménez
G
20
Aitor Mañas
F
Aitor Mañas
F
10
Carles Aleñá
10'
M
Carles Aleñá
10'
M
23
C. Benavídez
M
C. Benavídez
M
4
Denis Suárez
28'
M
Denis Suárez
28'
M
6
Guevara
M
Guevara
M
12
Hugo Novoa
F
Hugo Novoa
F
9
M. Díaz
1 ⚽
28'
F
M. Díaz
1 ⚽
28'
F
22
Miguel Rodríguez
F
Miguel Rodríguez
F
2
N. Valentini
10'
D
N. Valentini
10'
D
27
X. Olaiz
D
X. Olaiz
D
3
Yusi
20'
D
Yusi
20'
D
Best on the pitch
Pablo Ibáñez
M · Alaves
7.70
2 shots
· 37 pass
M. Díaz
F · Alaves
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 3 pass
Denis Suárez
M · Alaves
7.30
· 24 pass
Sergio Camello
F · Rayo
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
Augusto Batalla
G · Rayo
7.20
· 19 pass
Unai López
M · Rayo
7.20
1 shots
· 47 pass
Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Batalla | G | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Jozhua Vertrouwd | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Pelayo Fernández | D | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Lejeune | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rațiu | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Ciss | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Fran Pérez | M | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Unai López | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Isi Palazón | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Sergio Camello | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Álvaro García | M | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Dani Cárdenas | G | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Óscar Valentín | M | 35 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Nteka | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Alaves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivera | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Rebbach | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Jonny | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Koski | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Tenaglia | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Angel Pérez | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Mikel Rodriguez | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Blanco | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 4 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Boyé | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Carles Aleñá | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Denis Suárez | M | 28 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Díaz | F | 28 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Valentini | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Yusi | D | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?
The final score was Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves.
What did the model predict before Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Rayo Vallecano win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Alaves win.