Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Club
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
21.7°C
💨 1 km/h
· Madrid
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.34%
Win
Rayo Vallecano
27.65%
Draw
33.02%
Win
Athletic Club
2.48
2.0
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.77%)
1X2 Result
1
39%
X
28%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
61%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rayo Vallecano a 39% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Athletic Club. Expected goals are 2.5 for Rayo Vallecano and 2.0 for Athletic Club (total 4.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.77% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Athletic Club.
Season Stats
6W
5D
4L
4W
3D
8L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
1.7
Conceded
1.5
5.1
Shots OT
3.8
4.9
Corners
5.9
51%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
80%
53%
O 2.5
40%
73%
BTTS
47%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in La Liga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
6W
4D
0L
· at home
3W
1D
6L
· away
1.8
gls/g
1.3
0.9
Conceded
2.0
60%
Win %
30%
100%
Win or Draw
40%
80%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean Sht
10%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Rayo Vallecano
Attack
47
Defence
49
Form
41
Athletic Club
Attack
43
Defence
74
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 30 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
11 | 28 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
11 | 27 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
11 | 23 |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad
|
11 | 19 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 18 |
| 7 |
Athletic Club
|
10 | 15 |
| 8 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
11 | 14 |
| 9 |
Alaves
|
12 | 13 |
| 10 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 12 |
| 11 |
Celta Vigo
|
11 | 12 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
10 | 12 |
| 13 |
Getafe
|
11 | 12 |
| 14 |
Espanyol
|
11 | 11 |
| 15 |
Osasuna
|
11 | 11 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
11 | 11 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
11 | 10 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 10 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
11 | 9 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
11 | 5 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?
The model gives Rayo Vallecano a 39% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 33% for an Athletic Club win.
How many goals are expected in Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?
Expected goals: Rayo Vallecano 2.5, Athletic Club 2.0 (total 4.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.77%.