(pen.)
23'
Federico Redondo Solari
(pen.)
36'
Fernando Niño Rodríguez
68'
(ast. Facundo Buonanotte)
Germán Valera
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Elche 28%). The final result was Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche. In 2 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Elche.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
9
1.61
Actual xG
2.63
6
Saves
4
57%
Possession
43%
3
Corners
3
15
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
Javier Morcillo Rodrigálvarez
23'
(pen.)
Federico Redondo Solari⚽
30'
Gonzalo Villar
30'
Federico Redondo Solari
33'
Pathé Ciss
35'
36'
(pen.)
Fernando Niño Rodríguez⚽
⚽Pathé Ciss
(missed pen.)
39'
45'
Facundo Buonanotte
/
Gonzalo Villar
Jorge De Frutos
/ Georgiy Tsitaishvili
45'
Sergio Camello
/ Alexandre Zurawski
45'
Adrià Pedrosa
54'
Adrià Pedrosa
/ Jozhua Vertrouwd
60'
Pedro Díaz
/ Isi Palazón
60'
61'
Abiel Alessio Osorio
/
Fernando Niño Rodríguez
68'
ast. Facundo Buonanotte ·
Germán Valera⚽
72'
Martim Neto
/
Thomas Lemar
72'
Tete Morente
/
Lucas Cepeda
Ivan Balliu
/ Gnangoro Bouare
76'
Álvaro García
81'
83'
Pedro Bigas
/
Federico Redondo Solari
Pre-match prediction
46.64%
Rayo
25.28%
X
28.08%
Elche ←
we assigned to the actual result (Elche)
28.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.48
1.61
-0.87
1.61
2.63
+1.02
Elche dominated by xG (2.63 vs 1.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Emil Audero
G
17
Adrià Pedrosa
60'
D
15
Mujaid Sadick
D
24
Florian Lejeune
D
Florian Lejeune
D
20
Iván Balliu
76'
D
Iván Balliu
76'
D
8
Unai López
M
6
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
M
4
Pedro Díaz
60'
M
18
Álvaro García
F
Álvaro García
F
10
Sergio Camello
45'
F
Sergio Camello
45'
F
19
Jorge de Frutos
45'
F
Jorge de Frutos
45'
F
Bench
30
Adrián Molina
G
Adrián Molina
G
9
Alemão
45'
F
Alemão
45'
F
21
Fran Pérez
F
Fran Pérez
F
14
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
45'
F
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
45'
F
36
Gnangoro Bouaré
14'
M
Gnangoro Bouaré
14'
M
7
Isi Palazón
30'
M
Isi Palazón
30'
M
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
30'
D
Jozhua Vertrouwd
30'
D
3
Marash Kumbulla
D
Marash Kumbulla
D
23
Óscar Valentín
M
Óscar Valentín
M
22
Pelayo Fernández
D
Pelayo Fernández
D
37
Rayane Belaid
F
Rayane Belaid
F
1
M. Dituro
G
M. Dituro
G
3
R. Revivo
D
R. Revivo
D
23
Víctor Chust
D
Víctor Chust
D
5
F. Redondo
1 ⚽
83'
D
F. Redondo
1 ⚽
83'
D
2
Buba Sangaré
D
Buba Sangaré
D
18
T. Lemar
72'
M
T. Lemar
72'
M
47
J. Morcillo
M
J. Morcillo
M
12
Gonzalo Villar
45'
M
Gonzalo Villar
45'
M
11
Germán Valera
1 ⚽
F
Germán Valera
1 ⚽
F
14
Fer Niño
1 ⚽
61'
F
Fer Niño
1 ⚽
61'
F
21
L. Cepeda
72'
F
L. Cepeda
72'
F
Bench
13
Alejandro Iturbe
G
Alejandro Iturbe
G
24
A. Osorio
29'
F
A. Osorio
29'
F
6
Bigas
7'
D
Bigas
7'
D
9
E. Ponce
F
E. Ponce
F
10
F. Buonanotte
1 👟
45'
M
F. Buonanotte
1 👟
45'
M
19
G. Diangana
F
G. Diangana
F
17
Josan
M
Josan
M
15
K. Lomónaco
D
K. Lomónaco
D
16
Martim Neto
18'
M
Martim Neto
18'
M
26
Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
D
Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
D
22
Rubén Sánchez
D
Rubén Sánchez
D
20
Tete Morente
18'
F
Tete Morente
18'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Dituro
G · Elche
7.90
· 39 pass
Germán Valera
F · Elche
7.86
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
R. Revivo
D · Elche
7.70
1 shots
· 20 pass
Buba Sangaré
D · Elche
7.58
· 20 pass
J. Morcillo
M · Elche
7.36
1 shots
· 42 pass
F. Redondo
D · Elche
7.34
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Audero | G | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Adrià Pedrosa | D | 60 | 6.03 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mujaid Sadick | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 57% | 0 | — | — |
| Florian Lejeune | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 3 | 84 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Balliu | D | 76 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Unai López | M | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 2 | 87 | 79% | 3 | — | — |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 60 | 5.65 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Álvaro García | F | 90 | 5.41 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sergio Camello | F | 45 | 6.12 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | F | 45 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Alemão | F | 45 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Giorgi Tsitaishvili | F | 45 | 6.43 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Gnangoro Bouaré | M | 14 | 6.68 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Isi Palazón | M | 30 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Jozhua Vertrouwd | D | 30 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Elche — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dituro | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Revivo | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Víctor Chust | D | 90 | 7.22 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Redondo | D | 83 | 7.34 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Buba Sangaré | D | 90 | 7.58 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Lemar | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Morcillo | M | 90 | 7.36 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | M | 45 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Germán Valera | F | 90 | 7.86 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Fer Niño | F | 61 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Cepeda | F | 72 | 6.79 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Osorio | F | 29 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Bigas | D | 7 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Buonanotte | M | 45 | 7.06 | — | 1 | 0 | 24 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Martim Neto | M | 18 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Tete Morente | F | 18 | 6.68 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
The final score was Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche.
What did the model predict before Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Rayo Vallecano win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an Elche win.