✓Model correct — prediction Rayo Vallecano
S. Camello
(ast. I. Akhomach)
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 67% win probability (draw 18%, Espanyol 13%). The final result was Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol. In 2 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Espanyol.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
4
1.67
Actual xG
1.97
4
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
5
13
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
2'
P. Milla
19'
P. Lozano
A. Batalla
35'
46'
C. Pickel
/
P. Lozano
P. Ciss
50'
Pacha
/ I. Akhomach
58'
67'
R. Terrats
/
R. Fernandez Jaen
74'
(missed pen.)
K. Garcia⚽
75'
L. Cabrera
Alemao
/ G. Gumbau
76'
O. Valentin
/ U. Lopez
76'
78'
C. Riedel
/
F. Calero
78'
C. Ngonge
/
T. Dolan
J. Vertrouwd
/ A. Mumin
81'
P. Diaz
/ S. Camello
81'
83'
C. Ngonge
⚽S. Camello
· ast. I. Akhomach
87'
90'+1
M. Rubio
/
P. Milla
Pre-match prediction
67.48%
Rayo ←
18.66%
X
13.85%
Espanyol
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rayo Vallecano)
67.48%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.30
1.67
-0.64
0.73
1.97
+1.24
xG dominance was balanced (1.67 – 1.97).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Dani Cárdenas
G
Dani Cárdenas
G
3
D
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
81'
D
Jozhua Vertrouwd
81'
D
6
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
D
2
A. Rațiu
D
A. Rațiu
D
23
Óscar Valentín
76'
M
Óscar Valentín
76'
M
4
Pedro Díaz
81'
M
22
A. Espino
58'
M
A. Espino
58'
M
7
Isi Palazón
M
Isi Palazón
M
19
Jorge de Frutos
M
Jorge de Frutos
M
9
Alemão
76'
F
Alemão
76'
F
Bench
13
Augusto Batalla
G
Augusto Batalla
G
14
Carlos Martín
F
Carlos Martín
F
15
Gerard Gumbau
14'
M
Gerard Gumbau
14'
M
12
Ilias Akhomach
1 👟
32'
F
Ilias Akhomach
1 👟
32'
F
10
Sergio Camello
1 ⚽
9'
F
Sergio Camello
1 ⚽
9'
F
17
Unai López
14'
M
13
G
22
Carlos Romero
D
Carlos Romero
D
6
Leandro Cabrera
D
Leandro Cabrera
D
5
Fernando Calero
78'
D
Fernando Calero
78'
D
23
Omar El Hilali
D
Omar El Hilali
D
11
Pere Milla
89'
M
Pere Milla
89'
M
8
Edu Expósito
M
Edu Expósito
M
10
Pol Lozano
45'
M
Pol Lozano
45'
M
24
Tyrhys Dolan
78'
M
Tyrhys Dolan
78'
M
9
Roberto Fernández
67'
F
Roberto Fernández
67'
F
19
Kike García
F
Kike García
F
Bench
38
Clemens Riedel
12'
D
Clemens Riedel
12'
D
16
C. Ngonge
12'
F
C. Ngonge
12'
F
14
Ramón Terrats
23'
M
Ramón Terrats
23'
M
2
Rubén Sánchez
D
Rubén Sánchez
D
Best on the pitch
Dani Cárdenas
G · Rayo
8.50
· 40 pass
A. Rațiu
D · Rayo
8.30
2 shots
· 35 pass
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
D · Rayo
7.70
2 shots
· 42 pass
Sergio Camello
F · Rayo
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Jozhua Vertrouwd
D · Rayo
7.30
· 35 pass
D · Rayo
7.20
· 36 pass
Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Cárdenas | G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| Jozhua Vertrouwd | D | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Rațiu | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Óscar Valentín | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Espino | M | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Isi Palazón | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 6 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Alemão | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gerard Gumbau | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Ilias Akhomach | F | 32 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Camello | F | 9 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Unai López | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
Espanyol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Carlos Romero | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Leandro Cabrera | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Fernando Calero | D | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Omar El Hilali | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Pere Milla | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Edu Expósito | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Pol Lozano | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Tyrhys Dolan | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Roberto Fernández | F | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Kike García | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Clemens Riedel | D | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Ngonge | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Ramón Terrats | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?
The final score was Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol.
What did the model predict before Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Rayo Vallecano win, 18% to a draw, and 13% to an Espanyol win.