✗Model wrong — prediction Rayo Vallecano, result Draw
Alemao
(ast. U. Lopez)
86'
90'
(ast. V. Tsygankov)
C. Stuani
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Girona 20%). The final result was Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Girona. In 1 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Girona.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
5
1.06
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
9
Corners
5
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
P. Diaz
44'
F. Perez
/ Alemao
58'
P. Diaz
/ G. Gumbau
58'
60'
C. Echeverri
/
T. Lemar
60'
I. Martin
/
A. Ounahi
S. Camello
/ Pacha
68'
J. de Frutos
/ C. Martin
68'
72'
H. Rincon
/
A. Martinez
85'
C. Stuani
/
F. Beltran
⚽Alemao
· ast. U. Lopez
86'
90'
ast. V. Tsygankov ·
C. Stuani⚽
Pre-match prediction
55.65%
Rayo
23.59%
X ←
20.76%
Girona
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
1.06
-0.7
0.79
0.86
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 0.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Augusto Batalla
G
Augusto Batalla
G
3
Pep Chavarría
D
Pep Chavarría
D
24
Florian Lejeune
D
Florian Lejeune
D
6
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
D
2
A. Rațiu
D
A. Rațiu
D
17
Unai López
1 👟
88'
M
23
Óscar Valentín
M
Óscar Valentín
M
4
Pedro Díaz
58'
M
21
Fran Pérez
58'
F
Fran Pérez
58'
F
10
Sergio Camello
68'
F
Sergio Camello
68'
F
19
Jorge de Frutos
68'
F
Jorge de Frutos
68'
F
Bench
16
Abdul Mumin
D
Abdul Mumin
D
22
A. Espino
28'
D
A. Espino
28'
D
9
Alemão
1 ⚽
38'
F
Alemão
1 ⚽
38'
F
18
Álvaro García
M
Álvaro García
M
14
Carlos Martín
28'
F
Carlos Martín
28'
F
1
Dani Cárdenas
G
Dani Cárdenas
G
15
Gerard Gumbau
38'
M
Gerard Gumbau
38'
M
20
Iván Balliu
D
Iván Balliu
D
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
D
Jozhua Vertrouwd
D
32
N. Mendy
8'
D
N. Mendy
8'
D
8
Óscar Trejo
M
Óscar Trejo
M
11
Randy Nteka
M
Randy Nteka
M
13
Paulo Gazzaniga
G
Paulo Gazzaniga
G
24
Álex Moreno
D
Álex Moreno
D
12
Vitor Nunes
D
Vitor Nunes
D
16
Alejandro Francés
D
Alejandro Francés
D
4
Arnau Martínez
72'
D
Arnau Martínez
72'
D
8
Fran Beltrán
85'
M
Fran Beltrán
85'
M
20
A. Witsel
M
A. Witsel
M
3
Joel Roca
M
Joel Roca
M
11
T. Lemar
60'
M
T. Lemar
60'
M
15
V. Tsygankov
1 👟
M
V. Tsygankov
1 👟
M
18
A. Ounahi
60'
F
A. Ounahi
60'
F
Bench
9
Abel Ruiz
F
Abel Ruiz
F
14
C. Echeverri
36'
M
C. Echeverri
36'
M
7
C. Stuani
1 ⚽
11'
F
C. Stuani
1 ⚽
11'
F
5
David López
D
David López
D
17
D. Blind
D
D. Blind
D
2
Hugo Rincón
24'
D
Hugo Rincón
24'
D
23
Iván Martín
36'
M
Iván Martín
36'
M
36
Ricard Artero
M
Ricard Artero
M
1
Rubén Blanco
G
Rubén Blanco
G
25
V. Krapyvtsov
G
Best on the pitch
Óscar Valentín
M · Rayo
7.60
· 28 pass
A. Rațiu
D · Rayo
7.50
· 44 pass
Florian Lejeune
D · Rayo
7.30
1 shots
· 91 pass
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
D · Rayo
7.30
1 shots
· 74 pass
Vitor Nunes
D · Girona
7.30
· 50 pass
C. Stuani
F · Girona
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Batalla | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Pep Chavarría | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Florian Lejeune | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 83% | 1 | — | — |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rațiu | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Unai López | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 53 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Óscar Valentín | M | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fran Pérez | F | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Camello | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | F | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Espino | D | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Alemão | F | 38 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Martín | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Gerard Gumbau | M | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. Mendy | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Girona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Gazzaniga | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Álex Moreno | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Vitor Nunes | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Alejandro Francés | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Arnau Martínez | D | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Fran Beltrán | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Witsel | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel Roca | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Lemar | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Tsygankov | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ounahi | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Echeverri | M | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Stuani | F | 11 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Hugo Rincón | D | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Iván Martín | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Girona?
The final score was Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Girona.
What did the model predict before Rayo Vallecano vs Girona?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Rayo Vallecano win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Girona win.