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La Liga · Regular Season - 35 May 11, 2026 21:00 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
#14 · 4 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Girona
✗Model wrong — prediction Rayo Vallecano, result Draw
Alemao (ast. U. Lopez) 86'
90' (ast. V. Tsygankov) C. Stuani
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Girona 20%). The final result was Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Girona. In 1 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Girona.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
5
1.06
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
9
Corners
5
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
P. Diaz
44'
↕ F. Perez / Alemao
58'
↕ P. Diaz / G. Gumbau
58'
60'
C. Echeverri / T. Lemar ↕
60'
I. Martin / A. Ounahi ↕
↕ S. Camello / Pacha
68'
↕ J. de Frutos / C. Martin
68'
72'
H. Rincon / A. Martinez ↕
85'
C. Stuani / F. Beltran ↕
⚽Alemao · ast. U. Lopez
86'
90'
ast. V. Tsygankov · C. Stuani⚽
Pre-match prediction
55.65%
Rayo
23.59%
X ←
20.76%
Girona
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.59% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rayo
1.76
1.06
-0.7
Girona
0.79
0.86
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 4 12
2 Alaves Alaves 5 10
3 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
11 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 4 6
13 Levante Levante 4 5
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4 4
15 Getafe Getafe 4 4
16 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 3
17 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
18 Malaga Malaga 4 2
19 Elche Elche 4 1
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4-3-3
13 Augusto Batalla Augusto Batalla G 6.30
3 Pep Chavarría Pep Chavarría D 6.20
24 F. Lejeune F. Lejeune D 7.30
6 P. Ciss P. Ciss D 7.30
2 A. Rațiu A. Rațiu D 7.50
17 Unai López Unai López 1 👟 88' M 6.90
23 Óscar Valentín Óscar Valentín M 7.60
4 Pedro Díaz Pedro Díaz 58' M 6.50
21 Fran Pérez Fran Pérez 58' F 6.50
10 Sergio Camello Sergio Camello 68' F 6.90
19 Jorge de Frutos Jorge de Frutos 68' F 6.70
Bench
16 Abdul Mumin Abdul Mumin D
22 A. Espino A. Espino 28' D 6.30
9 Alemão Alemão 1 ⚽ 38' F 7.20
18 Álvaro García Álvaro García M
14 Carlos Martín Carlos Martín 28' F 6.60
1 Dani Cárdenas Dani Cárdenas G
15 Gerard Gumbau Gerard Gumbau 38' M 6.50
20 I. Balliu I. Balliu D
33 Jozhua Vertrouwd Jozhua Vertrouwd D
32 N. Mendy N. Mendy 8' D 6.30
8 Óscar Trejo Óscar Trejo M
11 R. Nteka R. Nteka M
Girona Girona 4-2-3-1
13 Paulo Gazzaniga Paulo Gazzaniga G 6.60
24 Álex Moreno Álex Moreno D 7.00
12 Vitor Nunes Vitor Nunes D 7.30
16 Alejandro Francés Alejandro Francés D 6.90
4 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez 72' D 7.00
8 Fran Beltrán Fran Beltrán 85' M 6.90
20 A. Witsel A. Witsel M 6.90
3 Joel Roca Joel Roca M 6.30
11 T. Lemar T. Lemar 60' M 6.50
15 V. Tsygankov V. Tsygankov 1 👟 M 6.70
18 A. Ounahi A. Ounahi 60' F 6.90
Bench
9 Abel Ruiz Abel Ruiz F
14 C. Echeverri C. Echeverri 36' M 6.50
7 C. Stuani C. Stuani 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.30
17 Daley Blind Daley Blind D
5 David López David López D
2 Hugo Rincón Hugo Rincón 24' D 6.30
23 Iván Martín Iván Martín 36' M 6.30
36 Ricard Artero Ricard Artero M
1 Rubén Blanco Rubén Blanco G
25
V. Krapyvtsov G
Best on the pitch
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín
M · Rayo
7.60
· 28 pass
A. Rațiu
A. Rațiu
D · Rayo
7.50
· 44 pass
F. Lejeune
F. Lejeune
D · Rayo
7.30
1 shots · 91 pass
P. Ciss
P. Ciss
D · Rayo
7.30
1 shots · 74 pass
Vitor Nunes
Vitor Nunes
D · Girona
7.30
· 50 pass
C. Stuani
C. Stuani
F · Girona
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Augusto Batalla G 96 6.30 — — — 48 29% — — —
Pep Chavarría D 96 6.20 — — — 39 32% — — —
F. Lejeune D 96 7.30 — — 1 91 83% 1 — —
P. Ciss D 96 7.30 — — 1 74 66% 2 — —
A. Rațiu D 96 7.50 — — — 44 37% 4 — —
Unai López M 88 6.90 — 1 — 53 48% — — —
Óscar Valentín M 96 7.60 — — — 28 26% 2 — —
Pedro Díaz M 58 6.50 — — — 32 26% 1 1 —
Fran Pérez F 58 6.50 — — 1 12 9% — — —
Sergio Camello F 68 6.90 — — 2 18 13% 2 — —
Jorge de Frutos F 68 6.70 — — — 14 8% — — —
A. Espino D 28 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Alemão F 38 7.20 1 — 2 8 6% — — —
Carlos Martín F 28 6.60 — — 1 7 7% 1 — —
Gerard Gumbau M 38 6.50 — — 2 12 9% — — —
N. Mendy D 8 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Girona Girona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Paulo Gazzaniga G 96 6.60 — — — 29 21% — — —
Álex Moreno D 96 7.00 — — — 30 24% 3 — —
Vitor Nunes D 96 7.30 — — — 50 42% 3 — —
Alejandro Francés D 96 6.90 — — — 38 30% — — —
Arnau Martínez D 72 7.00 — — — 23 16% 1 — —
Fran Beltrán M 85 6.90 — — 1 39 32% 1 — —
A. Witsel M 96 6.90 — — — 40 34% 1 — —
Joel Roca M 96 6.30 — — 1 11 9% 2 — —
T. Lemar M 60 6.50 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
V. Tsygankov M 96 6.70 — 1 2 24 18% 1 — —
A. Ounahi F 60 6.90 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
C. Echeverri M 36 6.50 — — — 8 4% — — —
C. Stuani F 11 7.30 1 — 1 1 1% — 1 —
Hugo Rincón D 24 6.30 — — — 8 6% 2 — —
Iván Martín M 36 6.30 — — 1 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Girona?
The final score was Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Girona.
What did the model predict before Rayo Vallecano vs Girona?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Rayo Vallecano win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Girona win.