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La Liga · Regular Season - 35 May 11, 2026 21:00 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
#8 · 50 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Girona
#19 · 41 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Rayo Vallecano, result Draw
Alemao (ast. U. Lopez) 86'
90' (ast. V. Tsygankov) C. Stuani
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Girona 20%). The final result was Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Girona. In 1 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Girona.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
5
1.06
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
9
Corners
5
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
P. Diaz
44'
↕ F. Perez / Alemao
58'
↕ P. Diaz / G. Gumbau
58'
60'
C. Echeverri / T. Lemar ↕
60'
I. Martin / A. Ounahi ↕
↕ S. Camello / Pacha
68'
↕ J. de Frutos / C. Martin
68'
72'
H. Rincon / A. Martinez ↕
85'
C. Stuani / F. Beltran ↕
⚽Alemao · ast. U. Lopez
86'
90'
ast. V. Tsygankov · C. Stuani⚽
Pre-match prediction
55.65%
Rayo
23.59%
X ←
20.76%
Girona
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.59% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rayo
1.76
1.06
-0.7
Girona
0.79
0.86
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 38 94
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 38 86
3 Villarreal Villarreal 38 72
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 38 69
5 Real Betis Real Betis 38 60
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe Getafe 38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 38 50
9 Valencia Valencia 38 49
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 38 46
11 Espanyol Espanyol 38 46
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 38 45
13 Sevilla Sevilla 38 43
14 Alaves Alaves 38 43
15 Elche Elche 38 43
16 Levante Levante 38 42
17 Osasuna Osasuna 38 42
18 Mallorca Mallorca 38 42
19 Girona Girona 38 41
20 Oviedo Oviedo 38 29
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4-3-3
13 Augusto Batalla Augusto Batalla G 6.30
3 Pep Chavarría Pep Chavarría D 6.20
24 Florian Lejeune Florian Lejeune D 7.30
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss Pathé Ismaël Ciss D 7.30
2 Andrei Rațiu Andrei Rațiu D 7.50
17 Unai López Unai López 1 👟 88' M 6.90
23 Óscar Valentín Óscar Valentín M 7.60
4 Pedro Díaz Pedro Díaz 58' M 6.50
21 Fran Pérez Fran Pérez 58' F 6.50
10 Sergio Camello Sergio Camello 68' F 6.90
19 Jorge de Frutos Jorge de Frutos 68' F 6.70
Bench
16 Abdul Mumin Abdul Mumin D
9 Alemão Alemão 1 ⚽ 38' F 7.20
18 Álvaro García Álvaro García M
14 Carlos Martín Carlos Martín 28' F 6.60
1 Dani Cárdenas Dani Cárdenas G
15 Gerard Gumbau Gerard Gumbau 38' M 6.50
20 Iván Balliu Iván Balliu D
33 Jozhua Vertrouwd Jozhua Vertrouwd D
32 N. Mendy N. Mendy 8' D 6.30
8 Óscar Trejo Óscar Trejo M
22 Pacha Pacha 28' D 6.30
11 Randy Nteka Randy Nteka M
Girona Girona 4-2-3-1
13 Paulo Gazzaniga Paulo Gazzaniga G 6.60
24 Álex Moreno Álex Moreno D 7.00
12 Vitor Nunes Vitor Nunes D 7.30
16 Alejandro Francés Alejandro Francés D 6.90
4 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez 72' D 7.00
8 Fran Beltrán Fran Beltrán 85' M 6.90
20 Axel Witsel Axel Witsel M 6.90
3 Joel Roca Joel Roca M 6.30
11 Thomas Lemar Thomas Lemar 60' M 6.50
15 Viktor Tsygankov Viktor Tsygankov 1 👟 M 6.70
18 Azzedine Ounahi Azzedine Ounahi 60' F 6.90
Bench
9 Abel Ruíz Abel Ruíz F
14 Claudio Echeverri Claudio Echeverri 36' M 6.50
7 Cristhian Stuani Cristhian Stuani 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.30
17 Daley Blind Daley Blind D
5 David López David López D
2 Hugo Rincón Hugo Rincón 24' D 6.30
23 Iván Martín Iván Martín 36' M 6.30
36 Ricard Artero Ricard Artero M
1 Rubén Blanco Rubén Blanco G
25
V. Krapyvtsov G
Best on the pitch
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín
M · Rayo
7.60
· 28 pass
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu
D · Rayo
7.50
· 44 pass
Cristhian Stuani
Cristhian Stuani
F · Girona
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune
D · Rayo
7.30
1 shots · 91 pass
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
D · Rayo
7.30
1 shots · 74 pass
Vitor Nunes
Vitor Nunes
D · Girona
7.30
· 50 pass
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Augusto Batalla G 96 6.30 — — — 48 29% — — —
Pep Chavarría D 96 6.20 — — — 39 32% — — —
Florian Lejeune D 96 7.30 — — 1 91 83% 1 — —
Pathé Ismaël Ciss D 96 7.30 — — 1 74 66% 2 — —
Andrei Rațiu D 96 7.50 — — — 44 37% 4 — —
Unai López M 88 6.90 — 1 — 53 48% — — —
Óscar Valentín M 96 7.60 — — — 28 26% 2 — —
Pedro Díaz M 58 6.50 — — — 32 26% 1 1 —
Fran Pérez F 58 6.50 — — 1 12 9% — — —
Sergio Camello F 68 6.90 — — 2 18 13% 2 — —
Jorge de Frutos F 68 6.70 — — — 14 8% — — —
Alemão F 38 7.20 1 — 2 8 6% — — —
Carlos Martín F 28 6.60 — — 1 7 7% 1 — —
Gerard Gumbau M 38 6.50 — — 2 12 9% — — —
N. Mendy D 8 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Pacha D 28 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Girona Girona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Paulo Gazzaniga G 96 6.60 — — — 29 21% — — —
Álex Moreno D 96 7.00 — — — 30 24% 3 — —
Vitor Nunes D 96 7.30 — — — 50 42% 3 — —
Alejandro Francés D 96 6.90 — — — 38 30% — — —
Arnau Martínez D 72 7.00 — — — 23 16% 1 — —
Fran Beltrán M 85 6.90 — — 1 39 32% 1 — —
Axel Witsel M 96 6.90 — — — 40 34% 1 — —
Joel Roca M 96 6.30 — — 1 11 9% 2 — —
Thomas Lemar M 60 6.50 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
Viktor Tsygankov M 96 6.70 — 1 2 24 18% 1 — —
Azzedine Ounahi F 60 6.90 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
Claudio Echeverri M 36 6.50 — — — 8 4% — — —
Cristhian Stuani F 11 7.30 1 — 1 1 1% — 1 —
Hugo Rincón D 24 6.30 — — — 8 6% 2 — —
Iván Martín M 36 6.30 — — 1 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Girona?
The final score was Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Girona.
What did the model predict before Rayo Vallecano vs Girona?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Rayo Vallecano win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Girona win.